With the increase in the aging population, cancer incidence has markedly increased worldwide. China has a substantial cancer burden, and lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer-related death, with an estimated 714 699 new deaths in China in 2020.
1 Similar to recommendations released by the US Preventive Services Task Force based on results from the National Lung Screening Trial,
2,3 China, which has one-third of the smoking population in the world,
4 initiated lung cancer screening programs in 2009 and drafted several versions of guidelines for lung cancer screening using low-dose computed tomography (LDCT).
5-7 In 2021, an advisory group on the formulation of guidelines for lung cancer screening, early diagnosis, and early treatment in China updated the 2018 version
6 of the guideline by increasing the minimum smoking exposure criterion from 20 to 30 pack-years while maintaining the annual screening frequency, the screening start age of 50 years, and the stop age of 74 years.
7 The modification of the minimum smoking exposure may substantially increase the detection rate of lung cancer among high-risk individuals who meet the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Because the effectiveness of lung cancer screening for mortality reduction has been confirmed,
2,3 the challenge for lung cancer screening now seems to be the high false-positive rate of LDCT.
2 Abnormal chest imaging findings may lead to subsequent diagnosis of invasive cancer and related complications according to the current protocols for lung cancer screening in China. The standard procedure in China for participants in whom small pulmonary nodules are detected is performing serial LDCT tests at intervals of 3 to 6 months.
5-7 However, results from the National Lung Screening Trial
8 demonstrated that 11.7% and 3.5% of the screening findings at baseline and subsequent LDCT tests, respectively, were indeterminate. Meanwhile, the false-positive rates for baseline screening and subsequent tests were 12.8% and 5.3%, respectively.
8 The prolonged time of uncertainty about the clinical significance of pulmonary nodules, a high use of harmful diagnostic follow-up, the additional frequency of radiation exposure, and increased patient costs and anxiety may contribute to uncertainty about the cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening.
9,10 Thus, there is a need to improve the accuracy of lung cancer screening to avoid unnecessary LDCT, diagnostic tests, and extra radiation exposure and to decrease overall morbidity.