This paper presents two origin-destination flow estimation models using sampled GPS positions of probe vehicles and link flow counts. The first model, named as SPP model (scaled probe OD as prior OD), uses scaled probe vehicle OD matrix as prior OD matrix and applies conventional generalized least squares (GLS) framework to conduct OD correction using link counts; the second model, PRA model (probe ratio assignment), is an extension of SPP in which the observed link probe ratios are also included as additional information in the OD estimation process. For both models, the study explored a new way to construct assignment matrices directly from sampled probe trajectories to avoid sophisticated traffic assignment process. Then, for performance evaluation, a comprehensive numerical experiment was conducted using simulation dataset. The results showed that when the distribution of probe vehicle ratios is homogeneous among different OD pairs, both proposed models achieved similar degree of improvement compared with the prior OD pattern. However, under the case that the distribution of probe vehicle ratios is heterogeneous across different OD pairs, PRA model achieved more significant reduction on OD flow estimations compared with SPP model. Grounded on both theoretical derivations and empirical tests, the study provided in-depth discussions regarding the strengths and challenges of probe vehicle based OD estimation models.
1 November 2013 in Journal of Transportation Engineering
Providing real-time bus arrival information can help to improve the service quality of a transit system and enhance its competitiveness among other transportation modes. Taking the city of Jinan, China, as an example, this study proposes two artificial neural network (ANN) models to predict the real-time bus arrivals, based on historical global positioning system (GPS) data and automatic fare collection (AFC) system data. Also, to contend with the difficulty in capturing the traffic fluctuations over different time periods and account for the impact of signalized intersections, this study also subdivides the collected dataset into a bunch of clusters. Sub-ANN models are then developed for each cluster and further integrated into a hierarchical ANN model. To validate the proposed models, six scenarios with respect to different time periods and route lengths are tested. The results reveal that both proposed ANN models can outperform the Kalman filter model. Particularly, with several selected performance indices, it has been found that the hierarchical ANN model clearly outperforms the other two models in most scenarios.
6 August 2020 in IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
This study aims to leverage the advances of connected automated vehicle (CAV) technology to design an eco-driving and platooning system that can improve both fuel and operational efficiency of vehicles on the freeways. The proposed algorithm optimizes CAVs’ trajectories with three objectives, including travel time minimization, fuel consumption minimization, and traffic safety improvement, following a two-stage control logic. The first stage, designed for CAV trajectory planning, is carried out with two optimization models. The first model functions to predict the freeway traffic states in the near future and accordingly optimize CAVs’ desired speed profile to minimize total freeway travel time. Notably, the interactions between CAVs and human-driven vehicles (HVs) are described in the embedded traffic flow model and the optimization can fully account for CAVs’ impact to HVs’ speeds. Then grounded on the obtained speed profile, the second eco-driving model would further update it so as to platoon CAVs and minimize their fuel consumption. The second stage, for real-time control purpose, is developed to ensure the operational safety of CAVs. Particularly, based on the speed profile from the first stage, real-time adaptions would be placed on CAVs to dynamically adjust speeds, in response to local driving conditions. To evaluate the proposed algorithms, this study selects a freeway segment of I-15 in Salt Lake City as the study site. The extensive numerical simulation results confirmed the effectiveness of the proposed framework in both mitigating freeway congestion and reducing vehicles’ fuel consumption.
1 November 2016 in Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour