Avraham Shtub

Prof. Avraham Shtub

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

26Years (2001-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 October 2006 in Journal of Engineering Education
Verified
Journal Article
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LDL. Davidovitch
L. Davidovitch
APA. Parush
A. Parush
Avraham ShtubAvraham Shtub
Avraham Shtub

9 November 2022 in Mathematics
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Journal Article
Open access
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ILItai Lishner
Itai Lishner
Avraham ShtubAvraham Shtub
Avraham Shtub
One of the most challenging tasks in project management is estimating the duration of a project. The unknowns that accompany projects, the different risks, the uniqueness of each project, and the differences between organizations’ culture and management techniques, hinder the ability to build one project duration prediction tool that can fit all types of projects and organizations. When machine learning (ML) techniques are used for project duration prediction, the challenge is even greater, as each organization has a different dataset structure, different features, and different quality of data. This hinders the ability to create one ML model that fits all types of organizations. This paper presents a new dynamic ML tool for improving the prediction accuracy of project duration. The tool is based on an artificial neural network (ANN) which is automatically adapted and optimized to different types of prediction methods and different datasets. The tool trains the ANN model multiple times with different architectures and uses a genetic algorithm to eventually choose the architecture which gives the most accurate prediction results. The validation process of the prediction accuracy is performed by using real-life project datasets supplied by two different organizations which have different project management approaches, different project types, and different project features. The results show that the proposed tool significantly improved the prediction accuracy for both organizations despite the major differences in the size, type, and structure of their datasets.

1 February 2005 in Annals of Operations Research
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Journal Article
Closed access
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Izack CohenIzack Cohen
Izack Cohen
BGBoaz Golany
Boaz Golany
Avraham ShtubAvraham Shtub
Avraham Shtub

21 August 2023 in Algorithms
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Journal Article
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Claudio SzwarcfiterClaudio Szwarcfiter
Claudio Szwarcfiter
YHYale Herer
Yale Herer
Avraham ShtubAvraham Shtub
Avraham Shtub
Industrial projects are plagued by uncertainties, often resulting in both time and cost overruns. This research introduces an innovative approach, employing Reinforcement Learning (RL), to address three distinct project management challenges within a setting of uncertain activity durations. The primary objective is to identify stable baseline schedules. The first challenge encompasses the multimode lean project management problem, wherein the goal is to maximize a project’s value function while adhering to both due date and budget chance constraints. The second challenge involves the chance-constrained critical chain buffer management problem in a multimode context. Here, the aim is to minimize the project delivery date while considering resource constraints and duration-chance constraints. The third challenge revolves around striking a balance between the project value and its net present value (NPV) within a resource-constrained multimode environment. To tackle these three challenges, we devised mathematical programming models, some of which were solved optimally. Additionally, we developed competitive RL-based algorithms and verified their performance against established benchmarks. Our RL algorithms consistently generated schedules that compared favorably with the benchmarks, leading to higher project values and NPVs and shorter schedules while staying within the stakeholders’ risk thresholds. The potential beneficiaries of this research are project managers and decision-makers who can use this approach to generate an efficient frontier of optimal project plans.

18 April 2013 in Systems Engineering
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Journal Article
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Izack CohenIzack Cohen
Izack Cohen
MIMichal Iluz
Michal Iluz
Avraham ShtubAvraham Shtub
Avraham Shtub

1 January 2010
Verified
Book
Closed access
Avraham ShtubAvraham Shtub
Avraham Shtub
RKReuven Karni
Reuven Karni