RODRIGO GONÇALVES NOVAIS

Mr. RODRIGO GONÇALVES NOVAIS

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 March 2022 in Entropy
Verified
Journal Article
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RNRODRIGO GONÇALVES NOVAIS
RODRIGO GONÇALVES NOVAIS
PWPeter Wanke
Peter Wanke
JAJorge Junio Moreira Antunes
Jorge Junio Moreira Antunes
Yong TanYong Tan
Yong Tan
This paper describes a new model for portfolio optimization (PO), using entropy and mutual information instead of variance and covariance as measurements of risk. We also compare the performance in and out of sample of the original Markowitz model against the proposed model and against other state of the art shrinkage methods. It was found that ME (mean-entropy) models do not always outperform their MV (mean-variance) and robust counterparts, although presenting an edge in terms of portfolio diversity measures, especially for portfolio weight entropy. It further shows that when increasing return constraints on portfolio optimization, ME models were more stable overall, showing dampened responses in cumulative returns and Sharpe indexes in comparison to MV and robust methods, but concentrated their portfolios more rapidly as they were more evenly spread initially. Finally, the results suggest that it was also shown that, depending on the market, increasing return constraints may have positive or negative impacts on the out-of-sample performance.

19 July 2026
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Conference Paper
Open access
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JDJean Arthur Costa Dias
Jean Arthur Costa Dias
AAAndré Vinicius N. Alves
André Vinicius N. Alves
Waldemiro José Assis Gomes NegreirosWaldemiro José Assis Gomes Negreiros
Waldemiro José Assis Gomes Negreiros
RNRODRIGO GONÇALVES NOVAIS
RODRIGO GONÇALVES NOVAIS
Fernando Luiz Cyrino OliveiraFernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira
Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira
MSMarcos Seruffo
Marcos Seruffo
This study investigates the imputation of missing values in mean air temperature time series in the state of Pará, Brazil, by integrating observational data from INMET and the ERA5-Land reanalysis. A multivariate non-linear approach based on the MissForest algorithm was developed and compared with models using only station data and with linear interpolation. The evaluation employed synthetic gaps together with the RMSE, MAE, and MAE in quantile 99 metrics. The results indicate that the inclusion of ERA5-Land reduced RMSE to 0.664–0.744 °C, MAE to 0.509–0.569 °C, and ∆P99 to 0.909–1.013 °C, while increasing model stability and outperforming the other strategies, thus supporting the methodological consistency of the approach for tropical climate time series.