Célestin Coquidé

Dr. Célestin Coquidé

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 February 2022 in Entropy
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Journal Article
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CCCélestin Coquidé
Célestin Coquidé
JLJosé Lages
José Lages
LELeonardo Ermann
Leonardo Ermann
DSDima L. Shepelyansky
Dima L. Shepelyansky
We analyze how the COVID-19 pandemic affected the trade of products between countries. With this aim, using the United Nations Comtrade database, we perform a Google matrix analysis of the multiproduct World Trade Network (WTN) for the years 2018–2020, comprising the emergence of the COVID-19 as a global pandemic. The applied algorithms—PageRank, CheiRank and the reduced Google matrix—take into account the multiplicity of the WTN links, providing new insights into international trade compared to the usual import–export analysis. These complex networks analysis algorithms establish new rankings and trade balances of countries and products considering all countries on equal grounds, independent of their wealth, and every product on the basis of its relative exchanged volumes. In comparison with the pre-COVID-19 period, significant changes in these metrics occurred for the year 2020, highlighting a major rewiring of the international trade flows induced by the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. We define a new PageRank–CheiRank product trade balance, either export or import-oriented, which is significantly perturbed by the pandemic.

17 February 2023 in Entropy
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Journal Article
Open access
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CCCélestin Coquidé
Célestin Coquidé
JLJosé Lages
José Lages
DSDima L. Shepelyansky
Dima L. Shepelyansky
From the Bretton Woods agreement in 1944 till the present day, the US dollar has been the dominant currency in world trade. However, the rise of the Chinese economy has recently led to the emergence of trade transactions in Chinese yuan. Here, we mathematically analyze how the structure of international trade flows would favor a country to trade whether in US dollar or in Chinese yuan. The trade currency preference of a country is modeled as a binary variable with the properties of a spin in an Ising model. The computation of this trade currency preference is based on the world trade network built from the 2010–2020 UN Comtrade data and is determined by two multiplicative factors: the relative weight of trade volume exchanged by the country with its direct trade partners and the relative weight of its trade partners in global international trade. The performed analysis, based on the convergence of the Ising spin interactions, shows that from 2010 to present a transition took place, and the majority of the world countries would now have a preference to trade in Chinese yuan if one only considers the world trade network structure.

13 December 2020 in Entropy
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Journal Article
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CCCélestin Coquidé
Célestin Coquidé
JLJosé Lages
José Lages
DSDima L. Shepelyansky
Dima L. Shepelyansky
We apply the recently developed reduced Google matrix algorithm for the analysis of the OECD-WTO World Network of Economic Activities. This approach allows to determine interdependencies and interactions of economy sectors of several countries, including China, Russia and the USA, properly taking into account the influence of all the other world countries and their economic activities. Within this analysis, we also obtain the sensitivity of EU countries’ economies to the petroleum activity sector. We show that this approach takes into account the multiplicity of economical interactions between countries and activity sectors, thus providing a richer analysis compared to the usual export-import analysis.

5 February 2024 in Entropy
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Journal Article
Open access
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CCCélestin Coquidé
Célestin Coquidé
JLJosé Lages
José Lages
DSDima L. Shepelyansky
Dima L. Shepelyansky
We extend the opinion formation approach to probe the world influence of economical organizations. Our opinion formation model mimics a battle between currencies within the international trade network. Based on the United Nations Comtrade database, we construct the world trade network for the years of the last decade from 2010 to 2020. We consider different core groups constituted by countries preferring to trade in a specific currency. We will consider principally two core groups, namely, five Anglo-Saxon countries that prefer to trade in US dollar and the 11 BRICS+ that prefer to trade in a hypothetical currency, hereafter called BRI, pegged to their economies. We determine the trade currency preference of the other countries via a Monte Carlo process depending on the direct transactions between the countries. The results obtained in the frame of this mathematical model show that starting from the year 2014, the majority of the world countries would have preferred to trade in BRI than USD. The Monte Carlo process reaches a steady state with three distinct groups: two groups of countries preferring to trade in whatever is the initial distribution of the trade currency preferences, one in BRI and the other in USD, and a third group of countries swinging as a whole between USD and BRI depending on the initial distribution of the trade currency preferences. We also analyze the battle between three currencies: on one hand, we consider USD, BRI and EUR, the latter currency being pegged by the core group of nine EU countries. We show that the countries preferring EUR are mainly the swing countries obtained in the frame of the two currencies model. On the other hand, we consider USD, CNY (Chinese yuan), OPE, the latter currency being pegged to the major OPEC+ economies for which we try to probe the effective economical influence within international trade. Finally, we present the reduced Google matrix description of the trade relations between the Anglo-Saxon countries and the BRICS+.

22 July 2020
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Book Chapter
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CCCélestin Coquidé
Célestin Coquidé
Włodzimierz LewoniewskiWłodzimierz Lewoniewski
Włodzimierz Lewoniewski
Nowadays, information describing navigation behaviour of internet users are used in several fields, e-commerce, economy, sociology and data science. Such information can be extracted from different knowledge bases, including business-oriented ones. In this paper, we propose a new model for the PageRank, CheiRank and 2DRank algorithm based on the use of clickstream and pageviews data in the google matrix construction. We used data from Wikipedia and analysed links between over 20 million articles from 11 language editions. We extracted over 1.4 billion source-destination pairs of articles from SQL dumps and more than 700 million pairs from XML dumps. Additionally, we unified the pairs based on the analysis of redirect pages and removed all duplicates. Moreover, we also created a bigger network of Wikipedia articles based on all considered language versions and obtained multilingual measures. Based on real data, we discussed the difference between standard PageRank, Cheirank, 2DRank and measures obtained based on our approach in separate languages and multilingual network of Wikipedia.

29 March 2025
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Book Chapter
Closed access
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CCCélestin Coquidé
Célestin Coquidé
RCRemy Cazabet
Remy Cazabet
NTNatkamon Tovanich
Natkamon Tovanich