Since the sequential treatment of Kasai operation with or without liver transplantation became available, the overall prognosis of biliary atresia remains unclear. This study examined the prognostic factors from diagnosis. All patients with biliary atresia living in France and born in the years 1986 to 1996 were reviewed. Actuarial survival rates were calculated for survival with native liver, survival after liver transplantation, and overall survival. Potential prognostic factors were analyzed using the logrank test and the Cox model. A total of 472 patients were identified. Ten-year overall survival was 68%. Independent prognostic factors for overall survival were (S = 10-year rates) performance of Kasai operation (performed: S = 69%; not performed: S = 50%), age at Kasai operation (≤45 days: S = 80%; >45 days: S = 66%), anatomical pattern of extrahepatic bile ducts, polysplenia syndrome, experience of the center (≤2 new biliary atresia [BA] patients/year [24 centers]: S = 54%; 3 to 5 [2 centers]: S = 60%; ≥20 [1 center]: S = 78%). Survival with native liver depended on the same independent prognostic factors. In conclusion (1) Kasai operation remains the first line treatment of BA, and (2) early performance of Kasai operation and treatment in an experienced center reduces the need for liver transplantation in infancy and childhood and provides children with the best chance of survival.

Why the cohort was set up?CONSTANCES is a general-purpose cohort with a focus on occupational and environmental factors. Cohort participants CONSTANCES was designed as a randomly selected sample of French adults aged 18–69 years at inception; 200 000 participants will be included. Data collection phases At enrolment, the participants are invited to complete questionnaires and to attend a health screening centre (HSC) for a health examination. A biobank will be set up. The follow-up includes an yearly self-administered questionnaire, a periodic visit to an HSC and linkage to social and national health administrative databases. Main types of data collected Data collected for participants include social and demographic characteristics, socioeconomic status, life events and behaviours. Regarding occupational and environmental factors, a wealth of data on organisational, chemical, biological, biomechanical and psychosocial lifelong exposure, as well as residential characteristics, are collected at enrolment and during follow-up. The health data cover a wide spectrum: self-reported health scales, reported prevalent and incident diseases, long-term chronic diseases and hospitalisations, sick-leaves, handicaps, limitations, disabilities and injuries, healthcare usage and services provided, and causes of death. Control of selection effects To take into account non-participation and attrition, a random cohort of non-participants was set up and will be followed through the same national databases as participants. Data access Inclusions begun at the end of 2012 and more than 110 000 participants were already included by September 2016. Several projects on occupational and environmental risks already applied to a public call for nested research projects.

To determine the seroprevalence of HIV and herpes simplex virus-2 (HSV-2) by age and gender among young people aged 14--24 years in a South African town and to identify risk factors for HIV infection. A community-based, cross-sectional study was conducted on a random sample of men (n = 723) and women (n = 784) living in a township in the Carletonville district of South Africa. Potential demographic and behavioural risk factors associated with HIV were recorded by questionnaire and biological tests were performed on serum and urine. Data analysis was performed using multivariate logistic regression. Among men and women the prevalence of HIV infection was 9.4 and 34.4%, respectively, and of positive HSV-2 serology was 17.0 and 53.3%, respectively. Among 24-year-old women the prevalence of HIV was 66.7% [95% confidence interval (CI), 54.6--77.3%]. HSV-2 seropositivity was a strong independent risk factor for HIV infection with odds ratios of 5.3 (95% CI, 2.7--10.3) for men and 8.4 (95% CI, 4.9--14.2) for women. There was no independent effect of age at first sex or serological markers of other sexually transmitted infections on HIV infection. HIV infection among young women increases rapidly after the onset of sexual activity and reaches extremely high levels by 24 years of age. These findings suggest that rates of HIV transmission from men to women are high and that HSV-2 plays a major role in the spread of HIV in this population.

PURPOSE: To determine the incidence and the prognostic value of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR) in patients treated with primary chemotherapy and breast-conserving surgery. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between January 1985 and December 1994, 257 patients with invasive T1 to T3 breast carcinoma were treated with primary chemotherapy, lumpectomy, and radiation therapy. The median follow-up time was 93 months. To evaluate the role of IBTR in metastase-free survival, a Cox regression multivariate analysis was performed using IBTR as a time-dependent covariate. RESULTS: The IBTR rates were 16% (± 2.4%) at 5 years and 21.5% (± 3.2%) at 10 years. Multivariate analysis showed that the probability of local control was decreased by the following independent factors: age ≤ 40 years, excision margin ≤ 2 mm, S-phase fraction more than 4%, and clinical tumor size more than 2 cm at the time of surgery. In patients with excision margins of more than 2 mm, the IBTR rates were 12.7% at 5 years and 17% at 10 years. Nodal status, age ≤ 40 years, and negative estrogen receptor status were predictors of distant disease in the Cox multivariate model with fixed covariates. The contribution of IBTR was highly significant (relative risk = 5.34) when added to the model, whereas age ≤ 40 years was no longer significant. After IBTR, 31.4% (± 7.0%) of patients developed metastases at 2 years and 59.7% (± 8.1%) at 5 years. Skin involvement, size at initial surgery, and estrogen receptor status were predictors of metastases after IBTR. CONCLUSION: IBTR is a strong predictor for distant metastases. There are implications for conservative surgery after downstaging of the tumor and therapy at the time of IBTR.

Background: Prospective cohorts represent an essential design for epidemiological studies and allow for the study of the combined effects of lifestyle, environment, genetic predisposition, and other risk factors on a large variety of disease endpoints. The CONSTANCES cohort is intended to provide public health information and to serve as an "open epidemiologic laboratory" accessible to the epidemiologic research community. Although designed as a "general-purpose" cohort with very broad coverage, it will particularly focus on occupational and social determinants of health, and on aging. Methods/Design: The CONSTANCES cohort is designed as a randomly selected representative sample of French adults aged 18-69 years at inception; 200,000 subjects will be included over a five-year period. At inclusion, the selected subjects will be invited to fill a questionnaire and to attend a Health Screening Center (HSC) for a comprehensive health examination: weight, height, blood pressure, electrocardiogram, vision, auditory, spirometry, and biological parameters; for those aged 45 years and older, a specific work-up of functional, physical, and cognitive capacities will be performed. A biobank will be set up. The follow-up includes a yearly self-administered questionnaire, and a periodic visit to an HSC. Social and work-related events and health data will be collected from the French national retirement, health and death databases. The data that will be collected include social and demographic characteristics, socioeconomic status, life events, behaviors, and occupational factors. The health data will cover a wide spectrum: self-reported health scales, reported prevalent and incident diseases, long-term chronic diseases and hospitalizations, sick-leaves, handicaps, limitations, disabilities and injuries, healthcare utilization and services provided, and causes of death. To take into account non-participation at inclusion and attrition throughout the longitudinal follow-up, a cohort of non-participants will be set up and followed through the same national databases as participants. A field-pilot was performed in 2010 in seven HSCs, which included about 3,500 subjects; it showed a satisfactory structure of the sample and a good validity of the collected data. Discussion: The constitution of the full eligible sample is planned during the last trimester of 2010, and the cohort will be launched at the beginning of 2011.