In the previous research on traffic flow prediction models, most of the models mainly studied the time series of traffic flow, and the spatial correlation of traffic flow was not fully considered. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a method to predict the spatio-temporal characteristics of short-term traffic flow by combining the k-nearest neighbor algorithm and bidirectional long short-term memory network model. By selecting the real-time traffic flow data observed on high-speed roads in the United Kingdom, the K-nearest neighbor algorithm is used to spatially screen the station data to determine the points with high correlation and then input the BILSTM model for prediction. The experimental results show that compared with SVR, LSTM, GRU, KNN-LSTM, and CNN-LSTM models, the model proposed in this paper has better prediction accuracy, and its performance has been improved by 77%, 19%, 18%, 22%, and 13%, respectively. The proposed K-nearest neighbor-bidirectional long short-time memory model shows better prediction performance.
Problem definition: The intelligent transportation system (ITS) plays a vital role in the construction of smart cities. For the past few years, traffic flow prediction has been a hot study topic in the field of transportation. Facing the rapid increase in the amount of traffic information, finding out how to use dynamic traffic information to accurately predict its flow has become a challenge. Methodology: Thus, to figure out this issue, this study put forward a multistep prediction model based on a convolutional neural network and bidirectional long short-term memory (BILSTM) model. The spatial characteristics of traffic data were considered as input of the BILSTM model to extract the time series characteristics of the traffic. Results: The experimental results validated that the BILSTM model improved the prediction accuracy in comparison to the support vector regression and gated recurring unit models. Furthermore, the proposed model was comparatively analyzed in terms of mean absolute error, mean absolute percentage error, and root mean square error, which were reduced by 30.4%, 32.2%, and 39.6%, respectively. Managerial implications: Our study provides useful insights into predicting the short-term traffic flow on highways and will improve the management of traffic flow optimization.
Being one of the weakest economies in the world, livelihoods in Afghanistan remain highly dependent on local ecosystem services. However, the risk of ecosystem services degradation in Afghanistan over the past two decades has significantly increased, mainly due to rapid changes in land-use and land-cover (LULC). As such, policy makers must be able to estimate the impact of LULC changes on various ecosystem services. By utilizing GlobeLand30 land cover products for 2000, 2010 and 2020, and by adopting the value transfer method, this study assessed the ecosystem services value (ESV) changes in response to the changes of LULC in Afghanistan. Additionally, the dynamics of the land system (DLS) model was innovatively coupled with linear programming to predict likely scenarios of ESV changes by 2030. The predicted results were also validated against actual land cover and achieved a Kappa value of 0.78. The results showed that over the 20-year period, ecologically important LULC categories such as forest, water bodies and grassland were severely unstable and rapidly decreasing in scope. These LULC types were being threatened by agricultural, built-up and unused lands. During this period, we estimated a decrease in the total ESV from 161 billion USD in 2000 to 152.27 billion USD in 2020. About 92% of this decrease was shared by supporting and provisioning services. The simulated scenarios also showed that ESV will likely further decrease under Business-As-Usual (BAU), and Rapid Economic Development (RED) scenarios. Positively, an Environmental Protection (ENP) scenario is predicted, with a 4.5% increase in ESV by 2030. However, achieving this scenario requires the enforcement of strict environmental protection measures.
With the advent of big data, the swift advancement of diverse algorithmic technologies has enhanced the transaction efficiency of the e-commerce business. Nevertheless, it is crucial to acknowledge that e-commerce platforms might employ algorithmic technology to enforce differential pricing for various consumers with the aim of maximizing profits, thus infringing upon the lawful rights and interests of consumers. This paper focuses on the algorithmic price discrimination commonly observed on e-commerce platforms. To effectively regulate this behavior, the paper utilizes evolutionary game theory (EGT) to analyze the strategies employed by e-commerce platforms, consumers, and market regulators to achieve stability. This research employs a real-life situation and utilizes parametric simulation to visualize and analyze the process and outcomes of the three-party evolutionary game. The results demonstrate the credibility and feasibility of the article’s findings. Based on our research, we have reached the following findings: During the process of evolution, the strategic decisions made by the game participants from the three parties will mutually impact each other, and various elements exert varying degrees of influence on the strategic choices made by the game participants from each party. Collaborative governance can enable consumers and market regulators to regulate the discriminatory pricing behavior of e-commerce platforms effectively. This article offers valuable insights into the governance of violations in the e-commerce sector based on robust data and model research.
Our contemporary society is powered by fossil fuels, which results in environmental catastrophes. The combustion of these materials results in the release of CO2, which accelerates the progression of climate change and its catastrophic consequences. The environmental repercussions of fossil fuel extraction have been highlighted through research into alternative energy sources. This inquiry uses the Tapio-Z decoupling approach to assess energy inputs and emissions. Furthermore, the fuzzy logic model is used to inspect the economic growth of the USA and China, as well as the impact of environmental factors, energy sources, and utilization, through decoupling effects from 1994 to 2023. The findings are substantiated by the individual perspectives of the environmental factors regarding decoupling, which ultimately lead to the acquisition of valuable results. We anticipate a substantial reduction in the total volume of CO2 emissions in both the USA and China. Compared to China, the USA shows a significant increase in CO2 emissions due to its reliance on fossil fuels. It is evident that a comprehensive transition to renewable resources and a broad range of technology is required to mitigate CO2 emissions in high-energy zones. In their pursuit of sustainability, these two nations are making remarkable strides. The percentage change in CO2 emissions indicates that effective changes in economic growth, energy input, and energy utilization, particularly sustainable energy, transmute energy output, as does the sustained implementation of robust environmental protection policies. The percentage change in CO2 emissions indicates a remarkable transformation in energy input, energy consumption, and economic growth. This transition has been most visible in the areas of energy transformation, sustainability, and the maintenance of strong environmental protection measures.
With the advancement of global digital transformation, data trading has become a pivotal element in value circulation and innovation among enterprises. In particular, pricing strategies in the industrial chain’s data trading process critically influence the cooperation and market competitiveness of upstream and downstream enterprises. To address this issue, this study develops a Business-to-Business data transaction pricing model tailored to a single industry chain. The model incorporates factors such as data scarcity, encryption protection efforts, and market demand dynamics. By employing a Stackelberg dynamic model, the study systematically examines the pricing strategies of upstream and downstream enterprises under various incentive mechanisms and evaluates the impacts of encryption protection efforts and incentive mechanism coefficients on the profitability of the industry chain. The experimental results reveal that introducing incentive mechanisms for downstream enterprises modestly increases the profits of both upstream and downstream entities. Meanwhile, incentivizing upstream enterprises yields a multiplier effect, significantly boosting their profits while causing a slight decline in the profitability of downstream enterprises.