In the context of global warming, the increasing frequency of drought events has caused negative impacts on agricultural productivity and societal activities. However, the drought occurrences have not been well predicted by any single model, and precipitation may show nonstationary behavior. In this study, 60 years of monthly precipitation data from 1960 to 2019 for the Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region were analyzed. The standard precipitation index (SPI) was used to classify drought events. This study combined the strengths of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) to predict drought. First, based on the precipitation dataset, the SPI at timescales of 1, 3, 6, 9, 12, and 24 months was calculated. Then, each of these SPI time series was predicted using the ARIMA model and the CEEMD–ARIMA combined model. Finally, the models′ performance was compared using statistical metrics, namely, root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE), Willmott index (WI), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The results show that the following: (1) Compared with the ARIMA forecast value, the prediction results of the CEEMD–ARIMA model were in good agreement with the SPI values, indicating that the combined model outperformed the single model. (2) Two different models obtained the lowest accuracy for the SPI1 prediction and the highest accuracy for the SPI24 prediction. (3) The CEEMD–ARIMA model achieved higher prediction accuracy than the ARIMA model at each time scale. The most precise model during the test phase was the CEEMD–ARIMA model at SPI24 at Xiji Station, with error measures of MAE = 0.076, RMSE = 0.100, NSE = 0.994, KGE = 0.993, and WI = 0.999. Such findings will be essential for government to make decisions.

Smart tourism is the new frontier field of the tourism research. To solve current problems of smart tourism and tourism geographic information system (GIS), individualized tour guide route plan algorithm based on tourist sight spatial interest field is set up in the study. Feature interest tourist sight extracting matrix is formed and basic modeling data is obtained from mass tourism data. Tourism groups are determined by age index. Different age group tourists have various interests; thus interest field mapping model is set up based on individual needs and interests. Random selecting algorithm for selecting interest tourist sights by smart machine is designed. The algorithm covers all tourist sights and relative data information to ensure each tourist sight could be selected equally. In the study, selected tourist sights are set as important nodes while iteration intervals and sub-iteration intervals are defined. According to the principle of proximity and completely random, motive iteration clusters and sub-clusters are formed by all tourist sight parent nodes. Tourist sight data information and geospatial information are set as quantitative indexes to calculate motive iteration values and motive iteration decision trees of each cluster are formed, and then all motive iteration values are stored in descending order in a vector. For each cluster, there is an optimal motive iteration tree and a local optimal solution. For all clusters, there is a global optimal solution. Simulation experiments are performed and results data as well as motive iteration trees are analyzed and evaluated. The evaluation results indicate that the algorithm is effective for mass tourism data mining. The final optimal tour routes planned by the smart machine are closely related to tourists’ needs, interests, and habits, which are fully integrated with geospatial services. The algorithm is an effective demonstration of the application on mass tourism data mining.

Aiming at the problems in current research into low-carbon and water scenery tourism, this paper brings forward a low-carbon tour route algorithm of urban scenic water spots based on an improved Divisive Analysis clustering model. Based on the ecological attributes of scenic water spots, the clustering model is set up to create scenic spot clusters. Via the clusters, the low-carbon tour route algorithm of urban scenic water spots based on the optimal energy conservation and emission reduction mode is proposed, and it provides the optimal scenic water spots and low-carbon tour routes for tourists. The model can thus realize the optimization of vehicle exhaust emission in urban travel and reduce exhaust emission damage to urban water bodies and natural environments. In order to verify the advantages of the proposed algorithm, this paper performs an experiment to compare the proposed algorithm with the frequently used route planning methods by tourists. The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has great advantages in energy conservation, emission reduction and low-carbon travel and can reduce the exhaust emission and the damage to the urban water bodies and the natural environment, realizing low-carbon tourism. The main findings and contributions of the proposed work are as follows. First, an improved clustering algorithm is set up, and the urban scenic water spots are clustered according to attribute data, which could optimize the scenic spot recommendation spatial model. Second, combining with the specific characteristics of scenic water spots, the scenic spot mining and matching algorithm is set up to satisfy tourists’ needs. Third, a method that could reduce emission exhaust by optimizing self-driving tour routes is proposed, which could control and reduce the damage to urban environments and protect water ecosystems. The proposed algorithm could be used as the embedded algorithm of tour recommendation systems or the reference algorithm for planning urban tourism transportation. Especially in peak tourism season, it could be used as an effective method for tourism and traffic management departments to direct traffic flow.

Synthetic aperture radar images can be used for ship target detection. However, due to the unclear ship outline in SAR images, noise and land background factors affect the difficulty and accuracy of ship (especially small target ship) detection. Therefore, based on the YOLOv5s model, this paper improves its backbone network and feature fusion network algorithm to improve the accuracy of ship detection target recognition. First, the LSKModule is used to improve the backbone network of YOLOv5s. By adaptively aggregating the features extracted by large-size convolution kernels to fully obtain context information, at the same time, key features are enhanced and noise interference is suppressed. Secondly, multiple Depthwise Separable Convolution layers are added to the SPPF (Spatial Pyramid Pooling-Fast) structure. Although a small number of parameters and calculations are introduced, features of different receptive fields can be extracted. Third, the feature fusion network of YOLOv5s is improved based on BIFPN, and the shallow feature map is used to optimize the small target detection performance. Finally, the CoordConv module is added before the detect head of YOLOv5, and two coordinate channels are added during the convolution operation to further improve the accuracy of target detection. The map50 of this method for the SSDD dataset and HRSID dataset reached 97.6% and 91.7%, respectively, and was compared with a variety of advanced target detection models. The results show that the detection accuracy of this method is higher than other similar target detection algorithms.