Introduction: Dry matter accumulation (DMA) and dry matter partitioning (DMP) are important physiological processes determining crop yield formation. Deep understanding of the DMA and DMP processes and their responses to drought are limited by difficulty in acquiring total root biomass.Methods: Pot experiments with treatments quitting and ceasing ear growth (QC) and controlling soil water (WC) during vegetative (VP) and reproductive (RP) growth stages of maize (Zea mays) were conducted in Jinzhou in 2019 and 2020 to investigate the effects of drought and rewatering on DMW and DMP of different organs.Results: The response of DMW of reproductive organ to drought was more sensitive than those of vegetative organs, and was maintained after rehydration. Drought during VP (VPWC) reduced more sharply DMW of stalk than of leaves, and that during RP (RPWC) decreased more substantially leaves DMW. The effect of drought on DMPR was inconsistent with that on DMW for each organ. The DMP patterns of maize in different growth stages have adaptability to some level of water stress, and their responses increased with drought severity. Drought increased significantly DMP rates (DMPRs) of vegetative organs and reduced the ear DMPR and harvest index (HI), attributing to the suppressed photosynthates partitioning into ear and dry matter redistribution (DMRD) of vegetative organs, especially for stalk DMRD decreasing 26%. The persistence of drought impact was related to its occurrence stage and degree as well as the duration during rewatering to maturity. The aftereffect of drought during different growth periods on DMP were various, and that of VPWC enlarged and drastically induced the reduction of HI, also was larger than that of RPWC which demonstrated obvious alleviation in the previous responses of DMP and HI. Root-shoot ratio (RSR) increased under VPWC and RPWC and subsequent rehydration.Discussion: The DMWs of stalk, roots and leaves were affected by VPWC in order from large to small, and were close to or larger than the controls after rehydration, indicating the compensation effect of rewatering after drought. The DMPRs, RSR AND HI are the important parameters in agricultural production, and are often used as the constants, but in fact they vary with plant growth. In addition, the interannual differences in ear and stalk DMPRs in response to drought were probably caused by the difference in degree and occurrence stage of drought, further reflecting the variation in response of allometry growth among organs to the environment. Besides, the persistence of drought impact was related to the occurrence stage and degree of drought, which is also associated with the duration during rewatering to maturity. Notably, the effect of drought on DMW was inconsistent with that on DMPR for each organ meaning that the two variables should be discussed separately. The QC did not affect total DMW but increased RSR, changed and intensified the effect and aftereffect of RPWC on DMP, respectively, indicating that the DMP pattern and its response to drought occur change under the condition of QC.

Observational data on dry matter accumulation (DMA) and dry matter partitioning (DMP) from the experiment of maize sown on four different dates in a normal year (2012) and three drought years (2014, 2015, 2018) were analyzed to assess the impact of drought and the sowing date on DMA and DMP in different above-ground organs. The phenology of maize was more closely related to the sowing date than to drought. In the normal year, the amount of dry matter in different organs differed slightly among sowing dates, except for those at maturity, and increased linearly after jointing: the dry matter of leaves and stalks increased rapidly before tasselling and the milk stage, respectively, and both increased slowly thereafter, whereas the dry matter of the ears increased linearly. In the drought years, DMA was more sensitive to precipitation relative to the normal year and was affected by the sowing date and drought. Specifically, drought lowered the dry matter of the above-ground organs to varying degrees and accentuated that variation in crops sown on different dates. From the view of DMP, a mild drought lowers the stalk DMP rate but increases the rate in ears. The more severe the drought, the smaller the DMP rate in ears and the stronger the inhibition of the transfer of dry matter from stalk to ears, as well as the more significant difference in the DMP pattern among the sowing dates. High temperatures and drought had a significant synergistic effect on DMAs in all the organs relative to that of drought alone, reversely having an inappreciable impact on the DMP pattern. During the three growth periods, namely jointing to tasselling, tasselling to the milk stage, and the milk stage to maturity, DMA during any two adjacent periods had a clear complementary effect, especially before and after tasselling. Dry matters of the above-ground parts in aggregate, of the stalk and of the ears, at the milk and maturity stages were negatively correlated to the degree of drought, and the maximum correlation was for the ears.

Northeast China (NEC) is a region sensitive to climate change. However, the adoption of long-season maize cultivars in NEC has caused a substantial yield increase under climate change conditions. It is important to determine whether such cultivar adoptions are effective throughout the whole NEC to sustainably increase grain yield. In this study, phenological observations and meteorological data at six sites from 1981 to 2018 were used to detect thermal time (TT) trends during the maize growing period. TT, as a parameter for measuring changes in maize cultivars, was used in the crop simulation model CERES-Maize to examine the variations in maize yield produced with different cultivar × climate combinations in different decades. In NEC, both TTs from emergence to anthesis and from anthesis to physiological maturity showed significant increasing trends from 1981 to 2018. Simulation results for humid areas revealed that adopting longer-season cultivars during 2000–2018 caused yield increases, ranging from 6.3% to 13.3%, compared with the 1980s. However, for stations in semi-humid areas, maize grain yield showed a decrease or a small increase (from −12.7% to 8.0%) when longer-season cultivars were adopted during 2000–2018. For semi-humid areas, decreasing trends in the ratios of rainfed yield to no water-stress yield (Y_rainfed/Y_{no water-stress}) and lower Y_rainfed/Y_{no water-stress} values during 2000–2018 indicated a growing sensitivity of maize production to water, which was attributed to changes in TT and precipitation. Our results indicate that, for the semi-humid area, maize yield was limited by water after introducing cultivars with higher TT requirement under climate change conditions. Therefore, securing food supplies will depend on increases in water-use efficiency levels and other adaptive strategies, such as varietal diversification, drought-resistant varieties, conservation tillage and irrigation.

Accurate feature identification of drought disaster events is required for proper risk management in agriculture. This study improved the crop water deficit index (CWDI) by including the daily meteorological, crop development stage, soil moisture content, and yield data for 1981–2020 in northeastern China. Two drought characteristic variables (drought duration and intensity) were extracted using the theory of runs to produce the improved crop water deficit index (CWDIwp). Thresholds for the bivariate indicators were also determined for agricultural drought events of varying severity. A joint distribution model for drought variables was constructed based on five types of Archimedean copulas. The joint probability and the joint recurrence period for agricultural drought events were analyzed for drought events with varying intensities in northeast China. The results suggest that the CWDIwp can reliably identify the onset, duration, and intensity of drought events over the study area and can be used to monitor agricultural drought events. The conditional probability of drought intensity (duration) decreased as the drought duration (intensity) threshold increased, whereas the drought recurrence period increased as the threshold for drought duration and intensity rose. In the period (1981–2020), drought intensity in the three Northeastern provinces showed an increasing trend in the order Jilin Province > Liaoning Province > Heilongjiang Province. The spatial distribution of the joint probability and the joint recurrence period was obvious, and the joint probability showed a decreasing distribution trend from west to east. The distribution trend for the joint probability was opposite to that of the joint recurrence period. Furthermore, the areas with high drought probability values corresponded to the areas with low values for the recurrence period, indicating that the drought occurrence probability was higher, and the recurrence period value was lower in the drought-prone areas. The high-risk drought areas (60–87%) were in western Liaoning and western Jilin, with a recurrence period of 1–3 years, whereas the low-risk areas ( moderate drought > severe drought > extreme drought. The order for the recurrence period was light drought < moderate drought < severe drought < extreme drought. The results provide technical support for disaster prevention and mitigation in drought risk management.

The Northeast China maize belt is one of the three major golden maize belts in the world and has been severely affected by climate change, however, the evapotranspiration (ET) partitioning is not clear. It is important to study ET and its components under climate change. In this paper, the water balance model SOILWAT2 was used to estimate ET partitioning in drought and humid years, seasons, and maize growth stages from 1989 to 2018 over rainfed maize farmland. The results indicated that the SOILWAT2 model performed well for the prediction of ET and its partitioning compared with eddy covariance measurements. The mean yearly ET, transpiration (T), soil evaporation (Es), and canopy interception evaporation (Int) were 432.3 mm, 197.6 mm, 204.7 mm and 19.2 mm, respectively, over 30 years. Es/ET was 6.3% lower in drought years than in humid years, T/ET was conversely higher (6.2% higher in drought years). There was no clear difference of Int/ET between humid and drought years. In the growing season, T/ET, Es/ET, and Int/ET varied from 40.0% to 75.0%, 22.8% to 55.7%, and 0.7% to 7.0%, respectively. T/ET decreased along with the growth of maize and was greatest at the greening–jointing stage. Es/ET was smallest at the greening–jointing stage. We found a power function relationship between T/ET, Es/ET, and leaf area index (LAI) and above-ground biomass. Our results indicated that for the rainfed farmland, drought may limit maize yield by increasing water loss of maize through increasing T under climate change conditions. Therefore, securing food yield will depend on increases in water-use efficiency and other adaptive strategies, such as drought-resistant varieties, and irrigation.

To understand the drought response mechanisms of dry matter partitioning of maize, pot experiments under drought conditions were conducted during the vegetative and reproductive growth periods of maize. The aim was to calculate allometric relationships between the dry matter weight of different organs and their responses to drought. Results showed that allometric relationships between the roots, above-ground plant, and total biomass gradually increased with maize growth approaching maturity under a normal water supply. Drought during the vegetative period reinforced allometric relationships during the growth process and after rewatering and increased the size-dependence of the root shoot ratio. However, drought during the reproductive period weakened them. The ear–shoot allometric relationship was more significant during growth than at later growth under normal conditions but strengthened during later growth in those plants suffering droughts during the vegetative and reproductive stages. The ear–shoot allometric relationship and the size-dependence of harvest index at later growth were significantly enhanced by drought during the reproductive period compared to the vegetative period.