Ovarian cancer (OV) is the most lethal gynecological cancer in women. We aim to develop a generalized, individualized immune prognostic signature that can stratify and predict overall survival for ovarian cancer. The gene expression profiles of ovarian cancer tumor tissue samples were collected from 17 public cohorts, including 2777 cases totally. Single sample gene set enrichment (ssGSEA) analysis was used for the immune genes from ImmPort database to develop an immune-based prognostic score for OV (IPSOV). The signature was trained and validated in six independent datasets (n = 519, 409, 606, 634, 415, 194). The IPSOV significantly stratified patients into low- and high-immune risk groups in the training set and in the 5 validation sets (HR range: 1.71 [95%CI: 1.32-2.19; P = 4.04 × 10-5] to 2.86 [95%CI: 1.72-4.74; P = 4.89 × 10-5]). Further, we compared IPSOV with nine reported ovarian cancer prognostic signatures as well as the clinical characteristics including stage, grade and debulking status. The IPSOV achieved the highest mean C-index (0.625) compared with the other signatures (0.516 to 0.602) and clinical characteristics (0.555 to 0.583). Further, we integrated IPSOV with stage, grade and debulking, which showed improved prognostic accuracy than clinical characteristics only. The proposed clinical-immune signature is a promising biomarker for estimating overall survival in ovarian cancer. Prospective studies are needed to further validate its analytical accuracy and test the clinical utility. FUND: This work was supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China, National Natural Science Foundation of China and Natural Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China.

N6-Methyladenosine (m6A) is an RNA modification that interacts with numerous coding and non-coding RNAs and plays important roles in the development of cancers. Nonetheless, the clinical impacts of m6A interactive genes on these cancers largely remain unclear since most studies focus only on a single cancer type. We comprehensively evaluated m6A modification patterns, including 23 m6A regulators and 83 interactive coding and non-coding RNAs among 9,804 pan-cancer samples. We used clustering analysis to identify m6A subtypes and constructed the m6A signature based on an unsupervised approach. We used the signatures to identify potential m6A modification targets across the genome. The prognostic value of one target was further validated in 3,444 samples from six external datasets. We developed three distinct m6A modification subtypes with different tumor microenvironment cell infiltration degrees: immunological, intermediate, and tumor proliferative. They were significantly associated with overall survival in 24 of 27 cancer types. Our constructed individual-level m6A signature was associated with survival, tumor mutation burden, and classical pathways. With the signature, we identified 114 novel genes as potential m6A targets. The gene shared most commonly between cancer types, BCL9L, is an oncogene and interacts with m6A patterns in the Wnt signaling pathway. In conclusion, m6A regulators and their interactive genes impact the outcome of various cancers. Evaluating the m6A subtype and the signature of individual tumors may inform the design of adjuvant treatments.

Rationale: Over 40% of lung cancer cases occurred in never-smokers in China. However, high-risk never-smokers were precluded from benefiting from lung cancer screening as most screening guidelines did not consider them. Objectives: We sought to develop and validate prediction models for 3-year lung cancer risks for never- and ever-smokers, named the China National Cancer Center Lung Cancer models (China NCC-LCm2021 models). Methods: 425,626 never-smokers and 128,952 ever-smokers from the National Lung Cancer Screening program were used as the training cohort and analyzed using multivariable Cox models. Models were validated in two independent prospective cohorts: one included 369,650 never-smokers and 107,678 ever-smokers (841 and 421 lung cancers), and the other included 286,327 never-smokers and 78,469 ever-smokers (503 and 127 lung cancers). Measurements and Main Results: The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves in the two validation cohorts were 0.698 and 0.673 for never-smokers and 0.728 and 0.752 for ever-smokers. Our models had higher areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves than other existing models and were well calibrated in the validation cohort. The China NCC-LCm2021 ≥0.47% threshold was suggested for never-smokers and ≥0.51% for ever-smokers. Moreover, we provided a range of threshold options with corresponding expected screening outcomes, screening targets, and screening efficiency. Conclusion: The construction of the China NCC-LCm2021 models can accurately reflect individual risk of lung cancer, regardless of smoking status. Our models can significantly increase the feasibility of conducting centralized lung cancer screening programs because we provide justified thresholds to define the high-risk population of lung cancer and threshold options to adapt different configurations of medical resources.

Hypoxia occurs frequently in human cancers and promotes stabilization and activation of hypoxia inducible factor (HIF). HIF-1α is specific for the hypoxia response, and its degradation mediated by three enzymes EGLN1, EGLN2 and EGLN3. Although EGLNs expression has been found to be related to prognosis of many cancers, few studies examined DNA methylation in EGLNs and its relationship to prognosis of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We analyzed EGLNs DNA methylation data from tumor tissue samples of 1,230 early-stage NSCLC patients, as well as gene expression data from The Cancer Genome Atlas. The sliding windows sequential forward feature selection method and weighted random forest were used to screen out the candidate CpG probes in lung adenocarcinomas (LUAD) and lung squamous cell carcinomas patients, respectively, in both discovery and validation phases. Then Cox regression was performed to evaluate the association between DNA methylation and overall survival. Among the 34 CpG probes in EGLNs, DNA methylation at cg25923056_EGLN2 was identified to be significantly associated with LUAD survival (HR = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01–1.03, P = 9.90 × 10^–5), and correlated with EGLN2 expression (r = – 0.36, P = 1.52 × 10^–11). Meanwhile, EGLN2 expression was negatively correlated with HIF1A expression in tumor tissues (r = – 0.30, P = 4.78 × 10^–8) and significantly (P = 0.037) interacted with HIF1A expression on overall survival. Therefore, DNA methylation of EGLN2- HIF1A is a potential marker for LUAD prognosis and these genes are potential treatment targets for further development of HIF-1α inhibitors in lung cancer therapy.

A reliable risk prediction model is critically important for identifying individuals with high risk of developing lung cancer as candidates for low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT) screening. Leveraging a cutting-edge machine learning technique that accommodates a wide list of questionnaire-based predictors, we sought to optimize and validate a lung cancer prediction model. We developed an Optimized early Warning model for Lung cancer risk (OWL) using the XGBoost algorithm with 323,344 participants from the England area in UK Biobank (training set), and independently validated it with 93,227 participants from UKB Scotland and Wales area (validation set 1), as well as 70,605 and 66,231 participants in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian cancer screening trial (PLCO) control and intervention subpopulations, respectively (validation sets 2 & 3) and 23,138 and 18,669 participants in the United States National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) control and intervention subpopulations, respectively (validation sets 4 & 5). By comparing with three competitive prediction models, i.e., PLCO modified 2012 (PLCO_m2012), PLCO modified 2014 (PLCO_all2014), and the Liverpool Lung cancer Project risk model version 3 (LLPv3), we assessed the discrimination of OWL by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) at the designed time point. We further evaluated the calibration using relative improvement in the ratio of expected to observed lung cancer cases (RI_EO), and illustrated the clinical utility by the decision curve analysis. For general population, with validation set 1, OWL (AUC = 0.855, 95% CI: 0.829-0.880) presented a better discriminative capability than PLCO_all2014 (AUC = 0.821, 95% CI: 0.794-0.848) (p < 0.001); with validation sets 2 & 3, AUC of OWL was comparable to PLCO_all2014 (AUC_PLCOall2014-AUC_OWL < 1%). For ever-smokers, OWL outperformed PLCO_m2012 and PLCO_all2014 among ever-smokers in validation set 1 (AUC_OWL = 0.842, 95% CI: 0.814-0.871; AUC_PLCOm2012 = 0.792, 95% CI: 0.760-0.823; AUC_PLCOall2014 = 0.791, 95% CI: 0.760-0.822, all p < 0.001). OWL remained comparable to PLCO_m2012 and PLCO_all2014 in discrimination (AUC difference from -0.014 to 0.008) among the ever-smokers in validation sets 2 to 5. In all the validation sets, OWL outperformed LLPv3 among the general population and the ever-smokers. Of note, OWL showed significantly better calibration than PLCO_m2012, PLCO_all2014 (RI_EO from 43.1% to 92.3%, all p < 0.001), and LLPv3 (RI_EO from 41.4% to 98.7%, all p < 0.001) in most cases. For clinical utility, OWL exhibited significant improvement in average net benefits (NB) over PLCO_all2014 in validation set 1 (NB improvement: 32, p < 0.001); among ever smokers of validation set 1, OWL (average NB = 289) retained significant improvement over PLCO_m2012 (average NB = 213) (p < 0.001). OWL had equivalent NBs with PLCO_m2012 and PLCO_all2014 in PLCO and NLST populations, while outperforming LLPv3 in the three populations. OWL, with a high degree of predictive accuracy and robustness, is a general framework with scientific justifications and clinical utility that can aid in screening individuals with high risks of lung cancer. National Natural Science Foundation of China, the US NIH.

Lung and gastrointestinal diseases often occur together, leading to more adverse health outcomes than when a disease of one of these systems occurs alone. However, the potential genetic mechanisms underlying lung-gastrointestinal comorbidities remain unclear. Here, we leverage lung and gastrointestinal trait data from individuals of European, East Asian and African ancestries, to perform a large-scale genetic cross trait analysis, followed by functional annotation and Mendelian randomization analysis to explore the genetic mechanisms involved in the development of lung-gastrointestinal comorbidities. Notably, we find significant genetic correlations between 27 trait pairs among the European population. The highest correlation is between chronic bronchitis and peptic ulcer disease. At the variant level, we identify 42 candidate pleiotropic genetic variants (3 of them previously uncharacterized) in 14 trait pairs by integrating cross-trait meta-analysis, fine-mapping and colocalization analyses. We also find 66 candidate pleiotropic genes, most of which were enriched in immune or inflammatory response-related activities. Causal inference approaches result in 4 potential lung-gastrointestinal associations. Introducing the gut microbiota as a variable establishes a relationship between the genus Parasutterella, gastro-oesophageal reflux disease and asthma. In summary, our findings highlight the genetic relationship between lung and gastrointestinal diseases, providing insights into the genetic mechanisms underlying the development of lung gastrointestinal comorbidities.