Haxilegen Glacier No.51 (43.731°N, 84.391°E; CN5Y741C0051) is located in the Kuytun river basin, Erenharbirga range, eastern Tien Shan. This study presents the annual mass balance of Haxilegen Glacier No.51 for 7 hydrological years and uses a temperature-index and an accumulation model to reconstruct the annual mass balance from 1999 to 2015. The model is calibrated against annual altitudinal mass-balance measurements and then applied to the period with no measurements. We find an accumulated mass balance of −6.06 ± 0.88 m w.e.a−1 over the period of 16 hydrological years, with an average annual value of −0.32 ± 0.22 m w.e.a−1. The mean glacier-wide annual, summer and winter balances for 1999 to 2015 are −0.37, −0.54 and 0.16 ± 0.22 m w.e.a−1, respectively, with a high correlation coefficient (r = 0.95, p < 0.001) between annual balance and summer balance. The calculated mass-balance sensitivity of the glacier to temperature is −0.51 m w.e.a−1 °C−1 and to precipitation is 0.08 m w.e.a−1 for a 10% increase. The sensitivity of seasonal mass balance indicates that temperature during the melt season (May–August) and annual precipitation are the major contributors to mass-balance fluctuation.
The seasonal surface changes of glaciers in Tien Shan have seen little prior investigation despite the increase in geodetic studies of multi-year changes. In this study, we analyzed the potential of an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) to analyze seasonal surface change processes of the Urumqi Glacier No. 1 in eastern Tien Shan. We carried out UAV surveys at the beginning and the end of the ablation period in 2018. The high-precision evolution of surface elevation, geodetic mass changes, surface velocity, and terminus change in the surveyed ablation area were correspondingly derived in combination with ground measurements, including stake/snow-pit observation and GPS measurement. The derived mean elevation change in the surveyed ablation area was −1.64 m, corresponding to the geodetic mass balance of approximately −1.39 m w.e. during the ablation period in 2018. The mean surface velocity was 3.3 m/yr and characterized by the spatial change of the velocity, which was less in the East Branch than in the West Branch. The UAV survey results were a little less than those from the ground measurements, and the correlation coefficient was 0.88 for the surface elevation change and 0.87 for surface displacement. The relative error of the glacier terminus change was 4.5% for the East Branch and 6.2% for the West Branch. These results show that UAV photogrammetry is ideal for assessing seasonal glacier surface changes and has a potential application in the monitoring of detailed glacier changes.
The impact of climate change on glaciers and the hydrological processes in the easternmost end of the eastern Tianshan Mountains has yet to be understood. This study investigated the glacier change (area, surface elevation and volume change) and analyzed the variation of the observed runoff series over the past four decades in the Yushugou Basin, Eastern Tianshan Mountains. The hydrological processes were also simulated through the HBV-light model to quantify the impact of climate change on the glacier and runoff. The results showed that the glacier area has decreased by 13% and the total volume has decreased by 0.018 km3 over the past four decades. A significant increasing trend (p < 0.01) was detected for the annual runoff and monthly runoff (May to September; p < 0.01). The simulation results revealed that the Yushugou River was highly recharged by glacial runoff and a negative tendency was found for the glacier mass balance on the basin scale over the past 38 years. As a region with an extremely dry climate and the lowest precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains, the observation and simulation of glaciers is critical to the security assessment of local water resources.
The west branch of Karayaylak Glacier (eastern Pamir Plateau) surged in May 2015, significantly impacting on local socio-economic development. This event was also of great significance for studies of surging glaciers. Using Sentinel-1 imagery analyzed by offset tracking, based on normalized cross-correlation (NCC), and with the support of the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, we quantified the ice surface velocity of the west branch and terminus of Karayaylak Glacier from 13 October 2014 to 17 October 2020. Sentinel-1 images were acquired at intervals of 12 or 24 days. We also used a three-dimensional (3-D) laser scanner to measure the velocity of 3 ablation stakes and 56 feature points in the study region from 15 August to 6 October 2015, for the purpose of accuracy assessment. We set up an automatic meteorological station to record the air temperature in the same period and combined this with data from Tashkurgan meteorological station from 1957 to 2015. Analysis of this dataset provided insights into the glacier surge mechanism, with the following conclusions. (1) Surface velocity of the west branch and terminus of Karayaylak Glacier increased sharply after October 2014. The velocity then dropped significantly in the two months after the surge, and stayed at low values for nearly a year. After 2017, the velocity was slightly higher than in the previous period. (2) The surge event occurred from 11 April to 17 May 2015; the average surface velocity in this phase attained 2395 m a−1 with a maximum velocity of 4265 m a−1 at the west branch terminus. (3) From 2017 to 2020, the velocity showed periodic annual changes. (4) Based on the meteorological data analysis, we conclude that this surge resulted from the interaction between thermal and hydrological control mechanisms. Simultaneously, we demonstrate the high potential of the GEE platform and Sentinel-1 data to extract glacier surface velocity.