Nauzer Forbes

Dr. Nauzer Forbes


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

21Years (2006-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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7 November 2024 in Gastroenterology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
KBKirles Bishay
Kirles Bishay
ZMZhao Wu Meng
Zhao Wu Meng
RKRishad Khan
Rishad Khan
MGMehul Gupta
Mehul Gupta
YRYibing Ruan
Yibing Ruan
NFNauzer Forbes
Nauzer Forbes
Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP)-related adverse events (AEs) are associated with morbidity, mortality, and health care expenditure. We aimed to assess incidences and comparisons of ERCP AEs. We included studies performed after 2000 reporting on ERCP AEs from database inception through March 12, 2024. Outcomes included pancreatitis, bleeding, cholangitis, cholecystitis, perforation, and death. DerSimonian and Laird random effects meta-analyses were performed to calculate incidences of AEs. Subgroup and pairwise meta-analyses were performed. Meta-regression was performed on median recruitment year to assess temporal trends in pancreatitis incidence. A total of 380 studies were included. The incidence of death attributable to ERCP was 0.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.1%-0.3%; I2, 44%; n = 47,258) in all-comers. The overall incidence of pancreatitis was 4.6% (95% CI, 4.0%-5.1%; I2, 96%; n = 293,378) among all-comers and 6.5% (95% CI, 5.9%-7.1%, I2, 89%; n = 88,809) among first-time patients. Pancreatitis incidence remained stable between 2000 and 2023 (average annual percent change 0.06, 95% CI, -0.27 to 0.39). The overall incidences of the following AEs for all-comers were: bleeding (1.5%; 95% CI, 1.2%-1.7%; I2, 93%; n = 229,655), cholangitis (2.5%; 95% CI, 1.9%-3.3%; I2, 96%; n = 121,619), cholecystitis (0.8%; 95% CI, 0.5%-1.2%; I2, 39%; n = 7799), and perforation (0.5%; 95% CI, 0.4%-0.6%; I2, 90%; n = 306,378). ERCP-associated AEs remain common. Incidence of post-ERCP pancreatitis remained static despite improvements in techniques, prevention, and recognition. These results are important to patients, endoscopists, and policy makers to inform consent and to encourage implementation of available risk mitigation strategies.

1 November 2020 in Gastrointestinal Endoscopy
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
KBKirles Bishay
Kirles Bishay
NCNatalia Causada-Calo
Natalia Causada-Calo
MSMichael A. Scaffidi
Michael A. Scaffidi
CWCatharine M. Walsh
Catharine M. Walsh
JAJohn T. Anderson
John T. Anderson
NFNauzer Forbes
Nauzer Forbes

1 March 2023 in JAMA Internal Medicine
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
NFNauzer Forbes
Nauzer Forbes
BEB. Joseph Elmunzer
B. Joseph Elmunzer
TAThibault Allain
Thibault Allain
MPMichael D. Parkins
Michael D. Parkins
PSPrameet M. Sheth
Prameet M. Sheth
SHSteven J. Heitman
Steven J. Heitman
Importance: Infection transmission following endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) can occur due to persistent contamination of duodenoscopes despite high-level disinfection to completely eliminate microorganisms on the instrument.Objective: To determine (1) contamination rates after high-level disinfection and (2) technical performance of duodenoscopes with disposable elevator caps compared with those with standard designs.Design, Setting, and Participants: In this parallel-arm multicenter randomized clinical trial at 2 tertiary ERCP centers in Canada, all patients 18 years and older and undergoing ERCP for any indication were eligible.Intervention: The intervention was use of duodenoscopes with disposable elevator caps compared with duodenoscopes with a standard design.Main Outcomes and Measures: Coprimary outcomes were persistent microbial contamination of the duodenoscope elevator or channel, defined as growth of at least 10 colony-forming units of any organism or any growth of gram-negative bacteria following high-level disinfection (superiority outcome), and technical success of ERCP according to a priori criteria (noninferiority outcome with an a priori noninferiority margin of 7%), assessed by blinded reviewers.Results: From December 2019 to February 2022, 518 patients were enrolled (259 disposable elevator cap duodenoscopes, 259 standard duodenoscopes). Patients had a mean (SD) age of 60.7 (17.0) years and 258 (49.8%) were female. No significant differences were observed between study groups, including in ERCP difficulty. Persistent microbial contamination was detected in 11.2% (24 of 214) of standard duodenoscopes and 3.8% (8 of 208) of disposable elevator cap duodenoscopes (P = .004), corresponding to a relative risk of 0.34 (95% CI, 0.16-0.75) and number needed to treat of 13.6 (95% CI, 8.1-42.7) to avoid persistent contamination. Technical success using the disposable cap scope was noninferior to that of the standard scope (94.6% vs 90.7%, P = .13). There were no differences between study groups in adverse events and other secondary outcomes.Conclusions and Relevance: In this randomized clinical trial, disposable elevator cap duodenoscopes exhibited reduced contamination following high-level disinfection compared with standard scope designs, without affecting the technical performance and safety of ERCP.Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04040504

27 July 2023 in BMC Gastroenterology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SLSuqing Li
Suqing Li
LGLeonardo Guizzetti
Leonardo Guizzetti
CMChristopher Ma
Christopher Ma
ASAbdel Aziz Shaheen
Abdel Aziz Shaheen
EDElijah Dixon
Elijah Dixon
NFNauzer Forbes
Nauzer Forbes
Background: Gallstone disease poses a significant health burden in the United States. Choledocholithiasis and cholangitis are common complications of gallstone disease for which data on current epidemiological trends are lacking. We aimed to evaluate temporal changes in hospitalization, management, and outcomes for patients with choledocholithiasis and cholangitis. Methods: The National Inpatient Sample was used to identify discharges for choledocholithiasis and cholangitis between 2005 and 2014. Temporal trends were evaluated via annual percent changes (APCs). Joinpoint regression was used to assess inflection points. Multivariable regression models were used to evaluate associations of interest. Results: From 189,362 unweighted discharges for choledocholithiasis and/or cholangitis, there was an increase in discharges for choledocholithiasis (APC 2.3%, 95% confidence intervals, CI, 1.9–2.7%) and cholangitis (APC 1.5%, 95% CI 0.7–2.2%). Procedural interventions were more likely at urban hospitals for choledocholithiasis (adjusted odds ratio, aOR, 2.94, 95% CI 2.72 to 3.17) and cholangitis (aOR 2.97, 95% CI 2.50 to 3.54). In-hospital mortality significantly decreased annually for choledocholithiasis (aOR 0.90, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.93) and cholangitis (aOR 0.93, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.97). In-hospital mortality between rural and urban centers was comparable for choledocholithiasis (aOR 1.16, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.52) and cholangitis (aOR 1.12, 95% CI 0.72 to 1.72). Conclusions: Hospitalizations for choledocholithiasis and cholangitis have increased between 2005 and 2014, reflecting a growing burden of gallstone disease. Hospital mortality between urban and rural centers is similar, however urban centers have a higher rate of procedural interventions suggesting limitations to accessing procedural interventions at rural centers.

1 June 2016 in Best Practice & Research Clinical Gastroenterology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
NFNauzer Forbes
Nauzer Forbes
RMRachid Mohamed
Rachid Mohamed
Maitreyi RamanMaitreyi Raman
Maitreyi Raman

1 September 2022 in Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MMMatthew Mazurek
Matthew Mazurek
AMAlistair Murray
Alistair Murray
SHSteven J. Heitman
Steven J. Heitman
YRYibing Ruan
Yibing Ruan
SAStavros A. Antoniou
Stavros A. Antoniou
NFNauzer Forbes
Nauzer Forbes