The maritime silk road policy of China brings opportunities to companies relating to overseas investment. Despite the investment potentials, the risks cannot be ignored and have still not been well assessed. Considering the fact that ICRG comprehensive risk has certain subjectivity, it is not completely applicable to China’s overseas investment. Therefore, based on the data of the China Statistical Yearbook and International Statistical Yearbook, a new indictor is adopted to better capture the Chinese investment risk and to make our prediction more objective. In order to acquire the ability to predict the investment risk in the future which is essential to stakeholders, machine learning techniques are applied by training the ICRG data of the previous year and Outward Foreign Direct Investment (OFDI) data of the next year together. Finally, a relative reliable link has been built between the OFDI indicator in the next year and the left ICRG indicators in the last year with both the best precision score of 86% and recall score of 86% (KNN method). Additionally, the KNN method has a better performance than the other algorithms even for high-level risk, which is more concerning for stakeholders. The selected model cannot only be used to predict an objective and reasonable investment risk level, but can also be used to provide investment risk predictions and suggestions for stakeholders.
Offshore wind energy has become a hot spot in new-energy development due to its abundant reserves, long power generation time, high unit capacity and low land occupation. In response to the current situation whereby wind energy, and natural and human factors have not been taken into account in the selection of sites for offshore wind-energy-resource development in the traditional “21st Century Maritime Silk Road” region, this paper intends to establish a new risk assessment framework that comprehensively considers the influence of wind resources, the natural environment, and the geopolitical and humanistic environment. The rationality of the new index system and weight determination methods are separately investigated. Some interesting results are obtained by comparing the new framework with traditional frameworks. The results show that the Persian Gulf, the Timor Sea in northern Australia, and the northern part of Sri Lanka in southern India are rich in wind-energy resources and have a low overall risk, making them recommended sites. In addition, unlike the results of previous studies, this paper does not recommend the Somali Sea as a priority area for wind-energy siting due to its high geographic humanity risks.
The algorithms based on Surface Quasi-Geostrophic (SQG) dynamics have been developed and validated by many researchers through model products, however it is still doubtful whether these SQG-based algorithms are worth using in terms of observed data. This paper analyzes the factors impeding the practical application of SQG and makes amends by a simple “first-guess (FG) framework”. The proposed framework includes the correction of satellite salinity and the estimation of the FG background, making the SQG-based algorithms applicable in realistic circumstances. The dynamical-statistical method SQG-mEOF-R is thereafter applied to satellite data for the first time. The results are compared with two dynamical algorithms, SQG and isQG, and three empirical algorithms, multivariate linear regression (MLR), random forest (RF), and mEOF-R. The validation against Argo profiles showed that the SQG-mEOF-R presents a robust performance in mesoscale reconstruction and outperforms the other five algorithms in the upper layers. It is promising that the SQG-mEOF-R and the FG framework are applicable to operational reconstruction.