Winter wheat is a widely-grown cereal crop worldwide. Using growth-stage information to estimate winter wheat yields in a timely manner is essential for accurate crop management and rapid decision-making in sustainable agriculture, and to increase productivity while reducing environmental impact. UAV remote sensing is widely used in precision agriculture due to its flexibility and increased spatial and spectral resolution. Hyperspectral data are used to model crop traits because of their ability to provide continuous rich spectral information and higher spectral fidelity. In this study, hyperspectral image data of the winter wheat crop canopy at the flowering and grain-filling stages was acquired by a low-altitude unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), and machine learning was used to predict winter wheat yields. Specifically, a large number of spectral indices were extracted from the spectral data, and three feature selection methods, recursive feature elimination (RFE), Boruta feature selection, and the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC), were used to filter high spectral indices in order to reduce the dimensionality of the data. Four major basic learner models, (1) support vector machine (SVM), (2) Gaussian process (GP), (3) linear ridge regression (LRR), and (4) random forest (RF), were also constructed, and an ensemble machine learning model was developed by combining the four base learner models. The results showed that the SVM yield prediction model, constructed on the basis of the preferred features, performed the best among the base learner models, with an R² between 0.62 and 0.73. The accuracy of the proposed ensemble learner model was higher than that of each base learner model; moreover, the R² (0.78) for the yield prediction model based on Boruta’s preferred characteristics was the highest at the grain-filling stage.

Yield prediction is of great significance in agricultural production. Remote sensing technology based on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) offers the capacity of non-intrusive crop yield prediction with low cost and high throughput. In this study, a winter wheat field experiment with three levels of irrigation (T1 = 240 mm, T2 = 190 mm, T3 = 145 mm) was conducted in Henan province. Multispectral vegetation indices (VIs) and canopy water stress indices (CWSI) were obtained using an UAV equipped with multispectral and thermal infrared cameras. A framework combining a long short-term memory neural network and random forest (LSTM-RF) was proposed for predicting wheat yield using VIs and CWSI from multi-growth stages as predictors. Validation results showed that the R² of 0.61 and the RMSE value of 878.98 kg/ha was achieved in predicting grain yield using LSTM. LSTM-RF model obtained better prediction results compared to the LSTM with n R² of 0.78 and RMSE of 684.1 kg/ha, which is equivalent to a 22% reduction in RMSE. The results showed that LSTM-RF considered both the time-series characteristics of the winter wheat growth process and the non-linear characteristics between remote sensing data and crop yield data, providing an alternative for accurate yield prediction in modern agricultural management.

Timely and accurate monitoring of winter wheat yields is beneficial for the macro-guidance of agricultural production and for making precise management decisions throughout the winter wheat reproductive period. The accuracy of crop yield prediction can be improved by combining unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based multispectral data with deep learning algorithms. In this study, 16 yield-sensitive vegetation indices were constructed, and their correlations were analyzed based on UAV multispectral data of winter wheat at the heading, flowering, and filling stages. Seven input variable sets were obtained based on the combination of data from these three periods, and four generalized machine learning algorithms (Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Bagging, and Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR)) and one deep learning algorithm (1D Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN)) were used to predict winter wheat yield. The results showed that the RF model had the best prediction performance among the generalised machine learning models. The CNN model achieved the best prediction accuracy based on all seven sets of input variables. Generalised machine learning models tended to underestimate or overestimate yields under different irrigation treatments, with good prediction performance for observed yields < 7.745 t·ha⁻¹. The CNN model showed the best prediction performance based on most input variable groups across the range of observed yields. Most of the differences between observed and predicted values (Y_i) for the CNN models were distributed between −0.1 t·ha⁻¹ and 0.1 t·ha⁻¹, and the model was relatively stable. Therefore, the CNN model is recommended in this study for yield prediction and as a reference for future precision agriculture research.

Crop chlorophyll content measuring plays a vital role in monitoring crop growth and optimizing agricultural inputs such as water and fertilizer. However, traditional methods for measuring chlorophyll content primarily rely on labor-intensive chemical analysis. These methods not only involve destructive sampling but also are time-consuming, often resulting in obtaining monitoring results after the optimal growth period of crops. Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing technology offers the potential for rapidly acquiring chlorophyll content estimations over large areas. Currently, most studies only utilize single features from UAV data and employ traditional machine learning algorithms to estimate chlorophyll content, while the potential of multisource feature fusion and stacking ensemble learning in chlorophyll content estimation research remains largely unexplored. Therefore, this study collected UAV spectral features, thermal features, structural features, as well as chlorophyll content data during maize jointing, trumpet, and big trumpet stages, creating a multisource feature dataset. Subsequently, chlorophyll content estimation models were built based on four machine learning algorithms, namely, ridge regression (RR), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), random forest regression (RFR), and stacking ensemble learning. The research results demonstrate that (1) the multisource feature fusion approach achieves higher estimation accuracy compared to the single-feature method, with R² ranging from 0.699 to 0.754 and rRMSE ranging from 8.36% to 9.47%; and (2) the stacking ensemble learning outperforms traditional machine learning algorithms in chlorophyll content estimation accuracy, particularly when combined with multisource feature fusion, resulting in the best estimation results. In summary, this study proves the effective improvement in chlorophyll content estimation accuracy through multisource feature fusion and stacking ensemble learning. The combination of these methods provides reliable estimation of chlorophyll content using UAV remote sensing technology and brings new insights to precision agriculture management in this field.

Above-ground biomass (AGB) serves as an indicator of crop growth status, and acquiring timely AGB information is crucial for estimating crop yield and determining appropriate water and fertilizer inputs. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) equipped with RGB cameras offer an affordable and practical solution for efficiently obtaining crop AGB. However, traditional vegetation indices (VIs) alone are insufficient in capturing crop canopy structure, leading to poor estimation accuracy. Moreover, different flight heights and machine learning algorithms can impact estimation accuracy. Therefore, this study aims to enhance wheat AGB estimation accuracy by combining VIs, crop height, and texture features while investigating the influence of flight height and machine learning algorithms on estimation. During the heading and grain-filling stages of wheat, wheat AGB data and UAV RGB images were collected at flight heights of 30 m, 60 m, and 90 m. Machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest Regression (RFR), Gradient Boosting Regression Trees (GBRT), Ridge Regression (RR), Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (Lasso) and Support Vector Regression (SVR), were utilized to construct wheat AGB estimation models. The research findings are as follows: (1) Estimation accuracy using VIs alone is relatively low, with R² values ranging from 0.519 to 0.695. However, combining VIs with crop height and texture features improves estimation accuracy, with R² values reaching 0.845 to 0.852. (2) Estimation accuracy gradually decreases with increasing flight height, resulting in R² values of 0.519–0.852, 0.438–0.837, and 0.445–0.827 for flight heights of 30 m, 60 m, and 90 m, respectively. (3) The choice of machine learning algorithm significantly influences estimation accuracy, with RFR outperforming other machine learnings. In conclusion, UAV RGB images contain valuable crop canopy information, and effectively utilizing this information in conjunction with machine learning algorithms enables accurate wheat AGB estimation, providing a new approach for precision agriculture management using UAV remote sensing technology.

Timely and accurate monitoring of the nitrogen levels in winter wheat can reveal its nutritional status and facilitate informed field management decisions. Machine learning methods can improve total nitrogen content (TNC) prediction accuracy by fusing spectral and texture features from UAV-based image data. This study used four machine learning models, namely Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Random Forest Regression (RFR), Ridge Regression (RR), and Elastic Network Regression (ENR), to fuse data and the stacking ensemble learning method to predict TNC during the winter wheat heading period. Thirty wheat varieties were grown under three nitrogen treatments to evaluate the predictive ability of multi-sensor (RGB and multispectral) spectral and texture features. Results showed that adding texture features improved the accuracy of TNC prediction models constructed based on spectral features, with higher accuracy observed with more features input into the model. The GPR, RFR, RR, and ENR models yielded coefficient of determination (R²) values ranging from 0.382 to 0.697 for TNC prediction accuracy. Among these models, the ensemble learning approach produced the best TNC prediction performance (R² = 0.726, RMSE = 3.203 mg·g⁻¹, MSE = 10.259 mg·g⁻¹, RPD = 1.867, RPIQ = 2.827). Our findings suggest that accurate TNC prediction based on UAV multi-sensor spectral and texture features can be achieved through data fusion and ensemble learning, offering a high-throughput phenotyping approach valuable for future precision agriculture research.