Purpose The DIANA study aimed to evaluate how often antimicrobial de-escalation (ADE) of empirical treatment is performed in the intensive care unit (ICU) and to estimate the effect of ADE on clinical cure on day 7 following treatment initiation. Methods Adult ICU patients receiving empirical antimicrobial therapy for bacterial infection were studied in a prospective observational study from October 2016 until May 2018. ADE was defined as (1) discontinuation of an antimicrobial in case of empirical combination therapy or (2) replacement of an antimicrobial with the intention to narrow the antimicrobial spectrum, within the first 3 days of therapy. Inverse probability (IP) weighting was used to account for time-varying confounding when estimating the effect of ADE on clinical cure. Results Overall, 1495 patients from 152 ICUs in 28 countries were studied. Combination therapy was prescribed in 50%, and carbapenems were prescribed in 26% of patients. Empirical therapy underwent ADE, no change and change other than ADE within the first 3 days in 16%, 63% and 22%, respectively. Unadjusted mortality at day 28 was 15.8% in the ADE cohort and 19.4% in patients with no change [p = 0.27; RR 0.83 (95% CI 0.60–1.14)]. The IP-weighted relative risk estimate for clinical cure comparing ADE with no-ADE patients (no change or change other than ADE) was 1.37 (95% CI 1.14–1.64). Conclusion ADE was infrequently applied in critically ill-infected patients. The observational effect estimate on clinical cure suggested no deleterious impact of ADE compared to no-ADE. However, residual confounding is likely.

Several population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) models for meropenem dosing in ICU patients are available. It is not known to what extent these models can predict meropenem concentrations in an independent validation dataset when meropenem is infused continuously. A PopPK model was developed with concentration-time data collected from routine care of 21 ICU patients (38 samples) receiving continuous infusion meropenem. The predictability of this model and seven other published PopPK models was studied using an independent dataset that consisted of 47 ICU patients (161 samples) receiving continuous infusion meropenem. A statistical comparison of imprecision (mean square prediction error) and bias (mean prediction error) was conducted. A one-compartment model with linear elimination and creatinine clearance as a covariate of clearance best described our data. The mean ± SD parameter estimate for CL was 9.89 ± 3.71 L/h. The estimated volume of distribution was 48.1 L. The different PopPK models showed a bias in predicting serum concentrations from the validation dataset that ranged from -8.76 to 7.06 mg/L. Imprecision ranged from 9.90 to 42.1 mg/L. Published PopPK models for meropenem vary considerably in their predictive performance when validated in an external dataset of ICU patients receiving continuous infusion meropenem. It is necessary to validate PopPK models in a target population before implementing them in a therapeutic drug monitoring program aimed at optimizing meropenem dosing.

Individualizing antibiotic therapy is paramount to improve clinical outcomes while minimizing the risk of toxicity and antimicrobial therapy. β-lactam antibiotics are amongst the drugs most commonl...