Background: Neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission among term neonates is a rare event. The aim of this study was to study the association of the NICU admission of term neonates on the risk of long-term childhood mortality. Methods: A single-center case–control retrospective study between 2005 and 2019, including all in-hospital ≥ 37 weeks’ gestation singleton live-born neonates. The center perinatal database was linked with the birth and death certificate registries of the Israeli Ministry of Internal Affairs. The primary aim of the study was to study the association between NICU admission and childhood mortality throughout a 15-year follow-up period. Results: During the study period, 206,509 births were registered; 192,527 (93.22%) term neonates were included in the study; 5292 (2.75%) were admitted to NICU. Throughout the follow-up period, the mortality risk for term neonates admitted to the NICU remained elevated; hazard ratio (HR), 19.72 [14.66, 26.53], (p < 0.001). For all term neonates, the mortality rate was 0.16% (n = 311); 47.9% (n = 149) of those had records of a NICU admission. The mortality rate by time points (ratio_1:10,0000 births) related to the age at death during the follow-up period was as follows: 29, up to 7 days; 20, 7–28 days; 37, 28 days to 6 months; 21, 6 months to 1 year; 19, 1–2 years; 9, 2–3 years; 10, 3–4 years; and 27, 4 years and more. Following the exclusion of congenital malformations and chromosomal abnormalities, NICU admission remained the most significant risk factor associated with mortality of the study population, HRs, 364.4 [145.3; 913.3] for mortality in the first 7 days of life; 19.6 [12.1; 32.0] for mortality from 28 days through 6 months of life and remained markedly elevated after age 4 years; HR, 7.1 [3.0; 17.0]. The mortality risk related to the NICU admission event, adjusted for admission diagnoses remained significant; HR = 8.21 [5.43; 12.4]. Conclusions: NICU admission for term neonates is a pondering event for the risk of long-term childhood mortality. This group of term neonates may benefit from focused health care.

Objective: Neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission among term neonates is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, as well as high healthcare costs. A comprehensive NICU admission risk assessment using an integrated statistical approach for this rare admission event may be used to build a risk calculation algorithm for this group of neonates prior to delivery. Methods: A single-center case–control retrospective study was conducted between August 2005 and December 2019, including in-hospital singleton live born neonates, born at ≥37 weeks’ gestation. Analyses included univariate and multivariable models combined with the machine learning gradient-boosting model (GBM). The primary aim of the study was to identify and quantify risk factors and causes of NICU admission of term neonates. Results: During the study period, 206,509 births were registered at the Shaare Zedek Medical Center. After applying the study exclusion criteria, 192,527 term neonates were included in the study; 5292 (2.75%) were admitted to the NICU. The NICU admission risk was significantly higher (ORs [95%CIs]) for offspring of nulliparous women (1.19 [1.07, 1.33]), those with diabetes mellitus or hypertensive complications of pregnancy (2.52 [2.09, 3.03] and 1.28 [1.02, 1.60] respectively), and for those born during the 37th week of gestation (2.99 [2.63, 3.41]; p < 0.001 for all), adjusted for congenital malformations and genetic syndromes. A GBM to predict NICU admission applied to data prior to delivery showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.750 (95%CI 0.743–0.757) and classified 27% as high risk and 73% as low risk. This risk stratification was significantly associated with adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. Conclusion: The present study identified NICU admission risk factors for term neonates; along with the machine learning ranking of the risk factors, the highly predictive model may serve as a basis for individual risk calculation algorithm prior to delivery. We suggest that in the future, this type of planning of the delivery will serve different health systems, in both high- and low-resource environments, along with the NICU admission or transfer policy.