Based on the PVAR model and taking the data of 10 major coal provinces in China from 2011 to 2020 as an example, the dynamic relationship between coal mine accidents, environmental regulation and economic development is analyzed at the provincial level. Research findings include: (1) From the static relationship between coal mine accidents, environmental regulation and economic development in China’s ten major coal provinces, coal mine accidents promote environmental regulation; environmental regulation inhibits coal mine accidents; economic development strongly promotes environmental regulation; environmental regulation has a weak inhibitory effect on economic development; coal mine accidents slightly inhibit economic development; economic development strongly inhibits coal mine accidents. (2) From the dynamic relationship between coal mine accidents, environmental regulation and economic development in China’s ten major coal provinces, there is a strong dynamic response relationship between environmental regulation and coal mine accidents. The impact of environmental regulation on coal mine accidents shows a decreasing volatility trend, and the impact of coal mine accidents on environmental regulation shows a rising volatility trend. There is a short-term positive interaction between economic development and environmental regulation, but the interaction response relationship between them decreases with time. Economic development has a long-term inhibitory effect on coal mine accidents, while the negative impact of coal mine accidents on economic development has gradually decreased to 0.
Coal still occupies a key position in China’s energy consumption structure, and ensuring safe production in coal mines is a key focus for ensuring energy security. Spontaneous combustion fires in coal mines are a serious threat to the sustainability of safe production in coal mines. In order to prevent coal mine fire risk scientifically and effectively and to assess the level of disaster risk effectively and rationally, a study was conducted on the risk of spontaneous combustion fires in underground coal mines. An evaluation cloud model of spontaneous combustion fire risk in coal mines integrating the interval gray number with the Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) was established. Seventeen representative risk evaluation indicators were selected, and a coal mine spontaneous combustion fire risk evaluation index system was constructed based on four aspects: personnel, machinery, environment, and management. The interval gray number theory was introduced to improve the classical DEMATEL analysis method, which fully expresses the expert empirical knowledge and solves the problem of ambiguity and randomness in the semantic expression of expert evaluation. The relative importance of each indicator was determined by analyzing the influence relationships between risk evaluation indicators through the improved DEMATEL. A cloud model capable of transforming quantitative descriptions and qualitative concepts was used for comprehensive evaluation of risk, and based on the results of DEMATEL analysis, a comprehensive evaluation cloud model of coal mine spontaneous combustion fire risk was formed. Finally, the validity and practicality of the model were verified by using a mine in Shenmu City, Shaanxi Province, China as an example. This study provides a powerful tool to prevent spontaneous combustion fires in coal mines and makes a positive contribution to the sustainable development of coal mine safety management.
The process of urban development in China is that cities retain independent administrative divisions, realize inter-regional urban integration, and then establish metropolitan areas; this process has high requirements for the coordinated development of cities. China’s cities still need to receive approximately 300 million people in the future, and these urban populations are mainly planned in the emerging metropolitan area. In order to clarify the problems and development of the direction of China’s emerging megalopolis in the process of building a framework for carrying urban population, and to provide reference for China’s urbanization process, the entropy weight method–coupling coordination degree model–panel vector autoregression model (EWM-CCDM-PVAR) is constructed to measure the development level, coupling coordination degree and dynamic response relationship of NTU-UI-UE in the Jiaodong Economic Circle. First, the development level of new-type urbanization and urban infrastructure in the Jiaodong Economic Circle has been steadily improved, but regional differences have been expanding year by year. The urban environment of most cities in the Jiaodong Economic Circle is deteriorating. Second, the CCD level of NTU-UI-UE in the Jiaodong Economic Circle is on the rise, but the CCD level of NTU-UI-UE in Weifang and Yantai is only a Moderate-coupling coordination type, and the development within the region is uneven. Third, both NTU-UI and UI-UE in the Jiaodong Economic Circle have established a dynamic response relationship of mutual promotion, but NTU-UE has a dynamic response relationship of mutual inhibition. Fourth, despite different problems, the Jiaodong Economic Circle has made certain achievements in the process of regional integration and has initially formed a metropolitan circle pattern with Qingdao as its core, Weifang as its west center, Yantai and Weihai as its north center and Rizhao as its south center.
This paper analyzes the management system of safety partnership in coal mining enterprises through the methods of evolutionary game and optimized behavioral propagation of SEIR, considering the miners’ benefits and losses, as well as the influencing factors from miners and enterprises. It is found that, under the influence of the management system of safety partnership within miners, after the evolutionary game between miner partners, the behavioral strategies and personal benefits of the two miners are both consistent. Moreover, the benefits of individual miner and overall benefits of two miner partners, will affect the miners’ choice of safe behavioral strategies, as a result of which, the coal mines could improve the miners’ benefits through the management system of safety partnership to stimulate the implementation of miners’ safe behavior. Additionally, under the incentive of the management system of the safety partnership, the number of miners implementing unsafe behavior is decreasing, while the number of miners who are not easily affected by unsafe behavior is increasing. When the rewards and punishments of miners are strengthened, the propagation of miners’ safe behavior is accelerated. Finally, the propagation of miners’ safe behavior has a certain spillover effect within a certain range. The results of this paper provide a theoretical basis for the implementation of the management system of safety partnership in coal mining enterprises, which helps enterprises in guiding miners to take up safe behavior, which is better for enterprises’ safe development.