Temporally compound heatwaves (CHWs), two consecutive heatwaves (HWs) with an intermittent cool break between them, are projected to occur more frequently under a warming globe. However, their spatiotemporal characteristics and interaction with urban heat island (UHI) are unexplored at the continental scale. Using observational data from over 2000 ground‐based stations over China, we find that CHWs constitute an increasing portion of HW hazard from 1961 to 2021. The increasing trend is especially evident when using the daily minimum temperature to define hot days, suggesting an aggravated thermal environment at night. Urban‐rural contrast of CHW trends illustrates that urbanization contributes substantially to the increased frequency of CHWs in cities, especially in southern China. Results show that mean UHI intensity (UHII) tends to weaken under HW and CHW conditions, which correlates with increased pressure and reduced precipitation. During CHW events, UHII reduces during cool break due to enhanced evaporative cooling in urban areas under precipitation. The interaction between UHI and HW is subject to change with background climate, which is positive for dry regions and negative for wet regions. This study provides insights into CHW evolution over mainland China and demonstrates the need for heat mitigation strategies under climate change.
With global warming, extreme high temperatures become more frequent and are an important factor affecting aircrafts’ takeoff performance. Using Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1) and Boeing Performance Software (BPS), the influence of increasing temperature on aircrafts’ maximum takeoff weight (MTOW) and takeoff distance is evaluated quantitatively in this study. The results show that the distribution of summer daily maximum temperature shifts obviously to higher temperature at all the chosen airports and the variation in temperature is larger at four airports (Jinan, Shanghai, Lhasa, and Urumqi) during 2071−2080 under the RCP8.5 scenario than that in the historical run (1991−2000). The warming air leads to the MTOW reducing and takeoff distance increasing. Taking the Boeing 737–800 aircraft as an illustration, the number of weight-restriction days increases significantly across the airports, which can influence airlines’ economic benefit and flight operations in the future. It is also found that the takeoff distance does not change linearly with temperature, but shows a stronger increase with higher temperature. The takeoff distance increases about 6.2% on average during 2071−2080 compared to 1991−2000 for the low-altitude airports, calling for an additional 113−222 m takeoff distance in future summers.
The variations in summer precipitation according to different grades and their effects on summer drought/flooding in the Haihe River basin were analyzed using the daily precipitation data from 161 meteorological stations from 1972 to 2021. The results showed that the number of rainy days (NRD) in summer in the Haihe River basin significantly declined in the past 50 years, mainly due to the reduction in the number of light-rain days. The precipitation amount (PA) exhibited prominent interdecadal characteristics, showing an upward tendency in the past 20 years accompanied by a remarkable increase in the proportion of torrential rain. The NRD in the northern part of the basin significantly decreased, while the PA in the southeast showed an increasing trend. Summer drought/flooding was strongly linked to the changes in the NRD and was predominantly affected by intense precipitation, with contribution rates of 5.5%, 16.8%, 31.2%, and 46.5% from light, moderate, heavy, and torrential rain, respectively. The effects of torrential rain increased in recent decades, particularly in the flooding scenarios. In addition, July was the critical period for summer drought/flooding, with the major influence of heavy and torrential rain. The most intense summer rainfall event in the Haihe River basin could contribute from 15% to 29% of total precipitation, resulting in changes in the severity and state of summer drought/flooding, which indicated that the precipitation process had a decisive impact on seasonal drought/flooding. Therefore, when predicting summer precipitation in the Haihe River basin, it is necessary to pay attention to the intense rainfall events during critical periods.
12 December 2023 in International Journal of Climatology
This study evaluates the applicability of the IMERG satellite precipitation product in Northwest China using data from more than 6000 ground-level meteorological stations during the warm season (April–September) from 2016 to 2023. The evaluation spans climatological, annual, monthly, and daily time scales with different precipitation intensities. IMERG precipitation can well capture the spatial and temporal precipitation climatology, with precipitation decreasing from southeast to Northwest China, and peaking in August. The correlation coefficient (CC) between IMERG precipitation and ground-observed precipitation is 0.69. However, IMERG precipitation systematically overestimates precipitation at climatological, annual, and monthly scales, especially in areas with relatively low precipitation climatology. At the daily time scale, IMERG precipitation data can represent precipitation events very well, especially in the southeastern part of Northwest China. IMERG precipitation overestimates light rainfall while underestimating precipitation of other intensities. While IMERG precipitation performs well in detecting light rain events, its accuracy diminishes for heavier rainfall, highlighting limitations for monitoring extreme precipitation. The Probability of Detection (POD) for light rainfall events is consistently above 0.9, while for Torrential Rainfall events, the POD is below 0.7. These findings provide insights into the effective application of IMERG data in precipitation monitoring and forecasting in Northwest China.