An urban, commercial central district is often regarded as the heart of a city. Therefore, quantitative research on commercial central districts plays an important role when studying the development and evaluation of urban spatial layouts. However, conventional planar kernel density estimation (KDE) and network kernel density estimation (network KDE) do not reflect the fact that the road network density is high in urban, commercial central districts. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a new method (commercial-intersection KDE), which combines road intersections with KDE to identify commercial central districts based on point of interest (POI) data. First, we extracted commercial POIs from Amap (a Chinese commercial, navigation electronic map) based on existing classification standards for urban development land. Second, we calculated the commercial kernel density in the road intersection neighborhoods and used those values as parameters to build a commercial intersection density surface. Finally, we used the three standard deviations method and the commercial center area indicator to differentiate commercial central districts from areas with only commercial intersection density. Testing the method using Nanjing City as a case study, we show that our new method can identify seven municipal, commercial central districts and 26 nonmunicipal, commercial central districts. Furthermore, we compare the results of the traditional planar KDE with those of our commercial-intersection KDE to demonstrate our method’s higher accuracy and practicability for identifying urban commercial central districts and evaluating urban planning.

Accurate forecasting of droughts can effectively reduce the risk of drought. We propose a hybrid model based on complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) to improve drought prediction accuracy. Taking the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region as an example, the prediction accuracy of the LSTM and CEEMD-LSTM models for the standardized precipitation index (SPI) on multiple timescales was compared and analyzed. Multiple evaluation metrics were used in the comparison of the models, such as the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The results show that (1) with increasing timescale, the prediction accuracy of the LSTM and CEEMD-LSTM models gradually improves, and both reach their highest accuracy at the 24-month timescale; (2) the CEEMD can effectively stabilize the time-series, and the prediction accuracy of the hybrid model is higher than that of the single model at each timescale; and (3) the NSE values for the hybrid CEEMD-LSTM model at SPI24 were 0.895, 0.930, 0.908, and 0.852 for Fuhai, Kuerle, Yutian, and Hami station, respectively. This indicates the applicability of the hybrid model in the forecasting of drought.

Studies on urban–rural fringes, which represent regions facing various urbanization problems caused by rapid expansion, have steadily increased in recent years. However, problems persist in the quantitative delimitation of such regions. Based on the characteristics of abrupt urbanization-level changes in urban–rural fringe areas, we propose a constraint-based method in this study to detect the urban–rural fringes of cities with a spatial polycentric structure of ‘Main center–Subcenter’ based on data from multiple sources. We used the proposed approach to delimitate the fringe areas of Jiangyin and Zhangjiagang and identify their urban main center and subcenter pre-defined by their city master plans, towns, and rural hinterlands. Comparison of the identified results of different single urbanization indices, a single detection center, kernel density estimation, and a single constraint revealed that the patch density and Shannon’s diversity index of the proposed method were higher in urban–rural fringes and smaller in city centers and rural hinterlands. This suggests that the landscape of urban–rural fringes delimitated by the proposed method is more fragmented, diverse, and complicated, thereby performing better. This study is significant for future urban spatial analysis, planning, and management.

It has been suggested that the method of constructing an urban spatial structure typically follows a forward process from planning and design up to expression, as reflected in both graphic and text descriptions of urban planning. Although unorthodox, the original status structures can be extracted and constructed from an existing urban land-use map. This approach not only provides the methodological foundation for urban spatial structure evolution and allows for a comparative and quantitative analysis between the existing and planned conditions, but also lays a theoretical basis for failure in scientific decision making during the planning phase. This study attempts to achieve this by identifying the city centre (a typical element of the urban spatial structure) from urban land use data. The city centre is a special region consisting of several units with particular spatial information, including geometric attributes, topological attributes, and thematic attributes. In this paper, we develop a methodology to support the delineation of the city centre, considering these factors. First, using commercial land data, we characterise the city centre as units based on a series of indicators, including geometric and thematic attributes, and integrate them into a composite index of “urban centrality”; Second, a graph-based spatial clustering method that considers both topological proximity and attribute similarity is designed and used to identify the city centre. The precise boundary of the city centre is subsequently delimited using a shape reconstruction method based on the cluster results. Finally, we present a case study to demonstrate the effectiveness and practicability of the methodology.

With the availability of large geospatial datasets, the study of collective human mobility spatiotemporal patterns provides a new way to explore urban spatial environments from the perspective of residents. In this paper, we constructed a classification model for mobility patterns that is suitable for taxi OD (Origin-Destination) point data, and it is comprised of three parts. First, a new aggregate unit, which uses a road intersection as the constraint condition, is designed for the analysis of the taxi OD point data. Second, the time series similarity measurement is improved by adding a normalization procedure and time windows to address the particular characteristics of the taxi time series data. Finally, the DBSCAN algorithm is used to classify the time series into different mobility patterns based on a proximity index that is calculated using the improved similarity measurement. In addition, we used the random forest algorithm to establish a correlation model between the mobility patterns and the regional functional characteristics. Based on the taxi OD point data from Nanjing, we delimited seven mobility patterns and illustrated that the regional functions have obvious driving effects on these mobility patterns. These findings are applicable to urban planning, traffic management and planning, and land use analyses in the future.

While cellular automata (CA) has become increasingly popular in land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) simulations, insufficient research has considered the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of urban development strategies and applied it to constrain CA models. Consequently, we proposed to add a zoning transition rule and planning influence that consists of a development grade coefficient and traffic facility coefficient in the CA model to reflect the top-down and heterogeneous characteristics of spatial layout and the dynamic and heterogeneous external interference of traffic facilities on land-use development. Testing the method using Nanjing city as a case study, we show that the optimal combinations of development grade coefficients are different in different districts, and the simulation accuracies are improved by adding the grade coefficients into the model. Moreover, the integration of the traffic facility coefficient does not improve the model accuracy as expected because the deployment of the optimal spatial layout has considered the effect of the subway on land use. Therefore, spatial layout planning is important for urban green, humanistic and sustainable development.