In the deep central part of the Bohai Sea off the coast of northern China, long-term observations show significantly lower dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration near the bottom in summer during 2006–2018 than during 1978–2005. The decrease in bottom DO is closely linked to changes in phytoplankton community driven by nutrient structure changes in the water column. From literature review, observations in the phytoplankton community structure indicate an increase in the abundant proportion of dinoflagellate to diatom and miniaturization since the 21st century. The new dominate species of dinoflagel-late and the pico- and nano-celled algae detritus, with slow sinking rate and long residence time, favor the efficient oxygen consumption in the water column and lead to oxygen depletion enhancement and DO concentration decrease after 2006. Analyses also suggest that water temperature, stratification, and resuspension of sediment play less significant roles in long-term variations of DO. The linkage of hypoxia formation to changes of phytoplankton community answers why hypoxia in the Bohai Sea started to occur in the recent decade while eutrophication began since the 1980s. The identified new mechanism of hypoxia formation may be applicable to other coastal seas where eutrophication has led to changes in the phytoplankton community, and should be considered in biogeochemical models.

In the East China Sea, hypoxia (oxygen ≤ 62.5 mmol m⁻³) is frequently observed off the Changjiang (or Yangtze River) estuary covering up to about 15 000 km². The Changjiang is a major contributor to hypoxia formation because it discharges large amounts of freshwater and nutrients into the region. However, modeling and observational studies have suggested that intrusions of nutrient-rich oceanic water from the Kuroshio Current also contribute to hypoxia formation. The relative contributions of riverine vs. oceanic nutrient sources to hypoxia have not been estimated before. Here, we combine a three-dimensional physical-biogeochemical model with an element-tracing method to quantify the relative contributions of nitrogen from different riverine and oceanic sources to hypoxia formation during 2008–2013. Our results suggest that the hypoxic region north of 30^∘ N is dominated by Changjiang inputs, with its nitrogen loads supporting 74 % of oxygen consumption. South of 30^∘ N, oceanic nitrogen sources become more important, supporting 39 % of oxygen consumption during the hypoxic season, but the Changjiang remains the main control on hypoxia formation also in this region. Model scenarios with reduced Changjiang nitrogen loads and reduced open-ocean oxygen levels suggest that nitrogen load reductions can significantly reduce hypoxia in the East China Sea and counteract a potential future decline in oxygen supply from the open ocean into the region.

A three-dimensional physical-biological model of the marginal seas of China was used to analyze interannual and intra-seasonal variations in hypoxic conditions and identify the main processes controlling their generation off the Changjiang (or Yangtze River) estuary. The model was compared against available observations and reproduces the observed temporal and spatial variability of physical and biological properties including bottom oxygen. Interannual variations of hypoxic extent in the simulation are partly explained by variations in river discharge but not nutrient load. As riverine inputs of freshwater and nutrients are consistently high, promoting large productivity and subsequent oxygen consumption in the region affected by the river plume, wind forcing is important in modulating interannual and short-term variability. Wind direction is relevant because it determines the spatial extent and distribution of the freshwater plume, which is strongly affected by either upwelling or downwelling conditions. High-wind events can lead to partial reoxygenation of bottom waters and, when occurring in succession throughout the hypoxic season, can effectively suppress the development of hypoxic conditions, thus influencing interannual variability. A model-derived oxygen budget is presented and suggests that sediment oxygen consumption is the dominant oxygen sink below the pycnocline and that advection of oxygen in the bottom waters acts as an oxygen sink in spring but becomes a source during hypoxic conditions in summer, especially in the southern part of the hypoxic region, which is influenced by open-ocean intrusions.

The Changjiang is the largest river in Asia and the main terrestrial source of freshwater and nutrients to the East China Sea (ECS). Nutrient concentrations have long been increasing in the Changjiang, especially after 1960 with urbanization, the development of industrial animal production, and fertilizer application in agriculture, resulting in coastal eutrophication and recurring summer hypoxia. The supply of anthropogenic nitrogen (N) exceeds that of phosphorus (P) relative to the Redfield ratio. This results in seasonal P limitation in the Changjiang plume. P limitation and its effects on primary production, respiration, and hypoxia in the ECS have not been studied systematically, although such knowledge is needed to understand bloom dynamics in the region, to assess the consequences of altered nutrient loads, and to implement nutrient reduction strategies that mitigate hypoxia. Using a coupled physical–biogeochemical model of the ECS that was run with and without P limitation, we quantify the distribution and effects of P limitation. The model shows that P limitation develops eastward of the Changjiang Estuary and on the Yangtze Bank but rarely southward along the Zhejiang coast. P limitation modifies oxygen sinks over a large area of the shelf by partly relocating primary production and respiration offshore, away from the locations prone to hypoxia near the Changjiang Estuary. This relocation drastically reduces sediment oxygen consumption nearshore and dilutes the riverine-driven primary production and respiration over a large area offshore. Our results suggest that the hypoxic zone would be 48 % larger in its horizontal extent, on average, if P limitation was not occurring. Results are summarized in a conceptual model of P limitation on the ECS shelf that is also applicable to other systems. Then we carried out nutrient reduction simulations which indicate that, despite the effect of P limitation on hypoxia, reducing only P inputs as a nutrient reduction strategy would not be effective. A dual N + P nutrient reduction strategy would best mitigate hypoxia. The model results suggest that decreasing the size of the hypoxic zone by 50 % and 80 % would require reductions in N + P load of 28 % and 44 %, respectively.

The Bohai Sea (BS) has been experiencing prominent deoxygenation in recent years that forms a typically coastal oxygen depleted region in summer. A three-dimensional coupled physical-biogeochemical model was used in this study to investigate temporal variations of the two separately-developing oxygen depleted zones in the BS. Comparison with observations shows a good model performance for multi-year’s oxygen depletion simulation. Two separately-developing oxygen depleted cores are always identified in these years with a threshold of oxygen concentration less than 3 mg/L. The oxygen depletion in the northern core is generally more severe with larger areas and lower oxygen minima. During the evolution of oxygen depletion, the bottom oxygen concentration decreases more smoothly in the northern core, while fluctuates frequently in the southern core. Nonetheless, the oxygen depletion in both cores fades away almost simultaneously, with a sudden oxygen increase in late summer or early autumn. Oxygen budget estimation indicates that the biological oxygen consumption in the southern core is greater than that in the northern core, but compensated by the oxygen replenishment of oxygen-rich water from the Bohai Strait and vertical diffusion of the water column, which is less in the northern core, so that the oxygen depletion in the northern core is more severe. During oxygen depletion development in June and July, bottom oxygen in the southern core is more susceptible to strong winds than the northern core attributed to differences in topography, with a shallower and smoother bathymetry leading to weaker water column stability in summer. Recognition of characteristics of the two separate oxygen depleted cores would advance understanding spatial pattern of oxygen dynamics and provide a basis for statistical seasonal prediction of coastal oxygen depletion with consideration of spatial heterogeneity.