Nicole Estrella

Dr. Nicole Estrella

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

26Years (2001-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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21 August 2006 in Global Change Biology
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AMAnnette Menzel
Annette Menzel
TSTim Sparks
Tim Sparks
NENicole Estrella
Nicole Estrella
EKElisabeth Koch
Elisabeth Koch
AAAnto Aasa
Anto Aasa
AZAna Zust
Ana Zust

15 May 2008 in Nature
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CRCynthia Rosenzweig
Cynthia Rosenzweig
DKDavid Karoly
David Karoly
MVMarta Vicarelli
Marta Vicarelli
PNPeter Neofotis
Peter Neofotis
QWQigang Wu
Qigang Wu
AIAnton Imeson
Anton Imeson

17 January 2020 in Global Change Biology
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Journal Article
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AMAnnette Menzel
Annette Menzel
Ye YuanYe Yuan
Ye Yuan
MMMichael Matiu
Michael Matiu
TSTim Sparks
Tim Sparks
HSHelfried Scheifinger
Helfried Scheifinger
NENicole Estrella
Nicole Estrella
A paper published in Global Change Biology in 2006 revealed that phenological responses in 1971–2000 matched the warming pattern in Europe, but a lack of chilling and adaptation in farming may have reversed these findings. Therefore, for 1951–2018 in a corresponding data set, we determined changes as linear trends and analysed their variation by plant traits/groups, across season and time as well as their attribution to warming following IPCC methodology. Although spring and summer phases in wild plants advanced less (maximum advances in 1978–2007), more (~90%) and more significant (~60%) negative trends were present, being stronger in early spring, at higher elevations, but smaller for nonwoody insect‐pollinated species. These trends were strongly attributable to winter and spring warming. Findings for crop spring phases were similar, but were less pronounced. There were clearer and attributable signs for a delayed senescence in response to winter and spring warming. These changes resulted in a longer growing season, but a constant generative period in wild plants and a shortened one in agricultural crops. Phenology determined by farmers’ decisions differed noticeably from the purely climatic driven phases with smaller percentages of advancing (~75%) trends, but farmers’ spring activities were the only group with reinforced advancement, suggesting adaptation. Trends in farmers’ spring and summer activities were very likely/likely associated with the warming pattern. In contrast, the advance in autumn farming phases was significantly associated with below average summer warming. Thus, under ongoing climate change with decreased chilling the advancing phenology in spring and summer is still attributable to warming; even the farmers’ activities in these seasons mirror, to a lesser extent, the warming. Our findings point to adaptation to climate change in agriculture and reveal diverse implications for terrestrial ecosystems; the strong attribution supports the necessary mediation of warming impacts to the general public.

30 October 2013 in Global Change Biology
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JLJulia Laube
Julia Laube
TSTim Sparks
Tim Sparks
NENicole Estrella
Nicole Estrella
JHJosef Höfler
Josef Höfler
DADonna P. Ankerst
Donna P. Ankerst
AMAnnette Menzel
Annette Menzel

13 April 2012 in PLOS ONE
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CZChiara Ziello
Chiara Ziello
TSTim Sparks
Tim Sparks
NENicole Estrella
Nicole Estrella
JBJordina Belmonte
Jordina Belmonte
KBKarl C. Bergmann
Karl C. Bergmann
AMAnnette Menzel
Annette Menzel
A progressive global increase in the burden of allergic diseases has affected the industrialized world over the last half century and has been reported in the literature. The clinical evidence reveals a general increase in both incidence and prevalence of respiratory diseases, such as allergic rhinitis (common hay fever) and asthma. Such phenomena may be related not only to air pollution and changes in lifestyle, but also to an actual increase in airborne quantities of allergenic pollen. Experimental enhancements of carbon dioxide (CO ) have demonstrated changes in pollen amount and allergenicity, but this has rarely been shown in the wider environment. The present analysis of a continental-scale pollen data set reveals an increasing trend in the yearly amount of airborne pollen for many taxa in Europe, which is more pronounced in urban than semi-rural/rural areas. Climate change may contribute to these changes, however increased temperatures do not appear to be a major influencing factor. Instead, we suggest the anthropogenic rise of atmospheric CO levels may be influential.

7 May 2007 in Global Change Biology
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NENicole Estrella
Nicole Estrella
TSTim Sparks
Tim Sparks
AMAnnette Menzel
Annette Menzel