Background: The residual SYNTAX score (rSS), a quantitative measure of angiographic completeness of revascularization after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and the triglyceride–glucose index (TyG index), a reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance, have been regarded as independent predictors of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) after PCI. Whether a combination of the rSS and the TyG index improves the predictive ability for MACEs in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) undergoing PCI remains unknown. Methods: A total of 633 consecutive patients with T2DM who underwent PCI were included in the present analyses. Patients were stratified according to the optimal cutoff point value of the TyG index, or the rSS determined by receiver‑operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The primary endpoint was the composite of MACEs, including all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and unplanned repeat revascularization. Cumulative curves were calculated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify predictors of MACEs. The predictive value of the TyG index combined with the rSS was estimated by the area under the ROC curve, continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Results: During a median follow-up of 18.83 months, 99 patients developed MACEs, more frequently in the patients with a higher TyG index or rSS. Multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis revealed that both the TyG index and rSS were independent predictors of MACEs (hazard ratio 1.8004; 95% CI 1.2603–2.5718; P = 0.0012; 1.0423; 95% CI 1.0088–1.0769; P = 0.0129, respectively). Furthermore, Kaplan–Meier analysis demonstrated that both the TyG index and the rSS were significantly associated with an increased risk of MACEs (log-rank, all P < 0.01). The addition of the rSS and the TyG index to the baseline risk model had an incremental effect on the predictive value for MACE (increase in C-statistic value from 0.660 to 0.732; IDI 0.018; NRI 0.274; all P < 0.01). Conclusions: The TyG index predicts intermediate-term MACE after PCI in patients with T2DM independent of known cardiovascular risk factors. Adjustment of the rSS by the TyG index further improves the predictive ability for MACEs in patients with T2DM undergoing PCI.

Insulin resistance is a crucial factor in the development of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), yet the relationship between the estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), an index reflecting insulin resistance, and the risk of new-onset CVD among individuals with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome stage 0–3 remains underexplored, and large-scale prospective cohort studies are needed to clarify this relationship. All data for this study were extracted from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). The primary outcome was the incidence of new-onset CVD (including heart diseases (HD) and stroke) during the follow-up period (from 2013 to 2020). Multivariable logistic regression models were applied to elucidate the relationship between the eGDR and the risk of developing CVD. The restricted cubic splines (RCS), mediation analysis, and stratified analyses were also employed. This study included 6752 participants, of whom 1495 (22%) developed CVD. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals from lowest eGDR level (<7.37 mg/kg/min) to highest eGDR level (≥ 11.16 mg/kg/min) were 1.00 (reference), 0.81 (0.68, 0.96), 0.72 (0.58, 0.88), and 0.74 (0.58, 0.94) respectively, for the occurrence of CVD; 1.00 (reference), 0.81 (0.67,0.97), 0.72 (0.57,0.90), and 0.75 (0.58,0.97) respectively, for the occurrence of HD; 1.00 (reference), 0.91 (0.74,1.12), 0.80 (0.62,1.04), and 0.71 (0.52,0.97) respectively, for the occurrence of stroke after adjusting for all potential covariates. The RCS analysis discovered an approximately inverse “L” correlation between eGDR and the occurrence of CVD and HD across all individuals with CKM syndrome stages 0–3 (All P for overall < 0.001, All P for nonlinear = 0.005), while there was a negative linear correlation between eGDR and the risk of new-onset stroke (P for overall = 0.026, P for nonlinear = 0.098). Furthermore, the proportions mediated through BMI were 41.98%, 43.05%, and 43.23% for CVD, HD and stroke, respectively. No significant interactions were found. The eGDR was a novel indicator of new-onset CVD in individuals with CKM syndrome stages 0–3, with BMI serving as a partial mediator in the association between eGDR and CVD risk. Addressing insulin resistance may represent a viable strategy for reducing the risk of CVD in this population.

Background: The Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, as a surrogate marker of insulin resistance, is independently associated with the severity of coronary artery lesions and the prognosis of coronary heart disease. The investigation aimed to explore the relationship between the TyG index and recurrent revascularization in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) resulting from the progression of lesions or in-stent restenosis (ISR) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Method: A total of 633 patients who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were enrolled and divided into three groups based on the tertiles of the TyG index. The primary endpoint was recurrent revascularization resulting from the progression of lesions or ISR. All-cause death was considered as the competing risk event. Competing risk analysis and Cox regression analysis for predicting recurrent revascularization after PCI were conducted stepwise. Variables were standardized to make the hazard ratio (HR), subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) and corresponding 95% CI more consistent prior to being used for fitting the multivariate risk model. The predictive ability of the TyG index was evaluated using several measures, including the ROC curve, likelihood ratio test, Akaike’s information criteria, category-free continuous net reclassification improvement (cNRI > 0), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Internal validation was conducted through bootstrapping with 1000 resamples. Results: During a median follow-up period of 18.33 months, a total of 64 (10.11%) patients experienced recurrent revascularization, including 55 cases of lesion progression and 9 cases of in-stent restenosis. After controlling for competitive risk events, the TyG index was independently associated with a higher risk of recurrent revascularization [SHR:1.4345, (95% CI 1.1458–1.7959), P = 0.002]. The likelihood ratio test and Akaike’s information criteria showed that the TyG index significantly improves the prognostic ability. Additionally, adding the TyG index improved the ability of the established risk model in predicting recurrent revascularization, indicated by a C-index of 0.759 (95% CI 0.724–0.792, P < 0.01), with a cNRI > 0 of 0.170 (95% CI 0.023–0.287, P < 0.05), and an IDI of 0.024 (95% CI 0.009–0.039, P = 0.002). These results remained consistent when the models containing TyG index were confirmed using an internal bootstrap validation method. Conclusion: The findings highlight the potential of the TyG index as a predictor of recurrent revascularization. Lesion progression emerged as the primary contributor to recurrent revascularization instead of in-stent restenosis. The incorporation of the TyG index into risk prediction models is likely to be beneficial for accurate risk stratification in order to improve prognosis.

The clinical risk factors associated with late recurrence in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) (NVAF) undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) remain unknown. Furthermore, the current prognostic risk score system is commonly used in such patients as a noninvasive method to assess late AF recurrence. According to recent research, the Age, creatinine, and ejection fraction (ACEF) score is a useful risk score for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. As a result, we hypothesized that pre-ablation ACEF score could be used to assess late recurrence in patients with NVAF. We included 325 NVAF patients undergoing RFCA. During a median follow-up period of 12 months, patients with late AF recurrence had higher ACEF scores (P < .001). The pre-ablation ACEF score was a risk factor for late AF recurrence after RFCA (P = .027). The ACEF score was a predictor of late AF recurrence after RFCA, with an AUC of 0.624 (P = .001). Moreover, the AUC of left atrial diameter (LAD) was 0.7 (P < .001), which was higher than the ACEF score, but no significant difference was found (P = .104). The ACEF score was positively correlated with LAD, advanced age, and B-type natriuretic peptide. In patients with NVAF, the pre-ablation ACEF score is a valuable risk score for assessing late AF recurrence after RFCA, as with LAD.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is acknowledged as a disease continuum. Despite catheter ablation being recommended as a primary therapy for AF, the high recurrence rates have tempered the initial enthusiasm. Insulin resistance (IR) has been established as an independent predictor for the onset of AF. However, the correlation between non-insulin-based IR indices and late AF recurrence in patients undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation remains unknown. A retrospective cohort of 910 AF patients who underwent radiofrequency catheter ablation was included in the analysis. The primary endpoint was late AF recurrence during the follow-up period after a defined blank period. The relationship between non-insulin-based IR indices and the primary endpoint was assessed using multivariate Cox hazards regression models and restricted cubic splines (RCS). Additionally, the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement index were calculated to further evaluate the additional predictive value of the four IR indices beyond established risk factors for the primary outcome. During a median follow-up period of 12.00 months, 189 patients (20.77%) experienced late AF recurrence, which was more prevalent among patients with higher levels of IR. The multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis revealed a significant association between these IR indices and late AF recurrence. Among the four indices, METS-IR provided the most significant incremental effect on the basic model for predicting late AF recurrence. Multivariable-adjusted RCS curves illustrated a nonlinear correlation between METS-IR and late AF recurrence. In subgroup analysis, METS-IR exhibited a significant correlation with late AF recurrence in patients with diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.697, 95% CI 1.397 − 2.063, P < 0.001). All the four non-insulin-based IR indices were significantly associated with late AF recurrence in patients undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation. Addressing IR could potentially serve as a viable strategy for reducing the late AF recurrence rate.