We estimate ocean heat content (OHC) change in the upper 2000 m in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) from 1950 to 2020 to improve understanding of regional warming. Our estimates are based on 192 890 temperature profiles from the World Ocean Database. Warming occurs at all depths and in most regions except for a small region at northeastern GOM between 200 and 600 m. GOM OHC in the upper 2000 m increases at a rate of 0.38 ± 0.13 ZJ decade⁻¹ between 1970 and 2020, which is equivalent to 1.21 ± 0.41 terawatts (TW). The GOM sea surface temperature (SST) increased ∼1.0° ± 0.25°C between 1970 and 2020, equivalent to a warming rate of 0.19° ± 0.05°C decade⁻¹. Although SST in the GOM increases at a rate approximately twice that for the global ocean, the full-depth ocean heat storage rate in the GOM (0.86 ± 0.26 W m⁻²) applied to the entire GOM surface is comparable to that for the global ocean (0.82–1.11 W m⁻²). The upper-1000-m layer accounts for approximately 80%–90% of the total warming and variations in the upper 2000 m in the GOM. The Loop Current advective net heat flux is estimated to be 40.7 ± 6.3 TW through the GOM. A heat budget analysis shows the difference between the advective heat flux and the ocean heat storage rate (1.76 ± 1.36 TW, 1992–2017) can be roughly balanced with the annual net surface heat flux from ECCO (−37.9 TW).

This study characterizes the spatial patterns of the overall and monthly trends in sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) of the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) to investigate the seasonal variations in oceanic climate trends. We also investigate the trends in mesoscale eddies using three parameters to identify ocean-eddy-related energetic features in their area, strength, and intensity. Multidecadal remote-sensing-based observations of monthly SST, Chl-a, and sea surface height are used to detect trends at both basin and grid scales. Prominent warming trends are found in most regions of the GoM in all months, with the largest trends in the northern GoM. Winter cooling trends are also detected along the Texas and Florida coast. The overall summer warming trend (~0.22 °C/decade) is larger than the winter trend (~0.05 °C/decade), suggesting seasonal variations of increase in SST with warming. Chl-a trends and variations are confined on the continental shelf and slope in the northern GoM. The largest increase trends are found near the Mississippi River Delta. No obvious Chl-a trend is detected in the deepwater of the GoM, consistent with previous studies. Small but significant changes are found in eddy characteristics, indicating the eddy activities might be slowly affected by climate change in the GoM. The detailed monthly trends at per-grid scale are valuable for regional resource management, environmental protection, and policy making in the GoM.