Oil palm plantations cover ≈14.6 million ha worldwide and the total area under cultivation is expected to increase during the 21st century . Indonesia and Malaysia together account for 87% of global palm oil production and the combined harvested area in these countries has expanded by 6.5 million ha since 1990. Despite this, soil C cycling in oil palm systems is not well quantified but such information is needed for C budget inventories. We quantified soil C storage (root biomass, soil organic matter (SOM) and microbial biomass) and losses [potential soil respiration (Rs) and soil surface CO 2 flux (Fs)] in mineral soils from an oil palm plantation chronosequence (11–34 years since planting) in Selangor, Malaysia. There were no significant effects of plantation age on SOM, microbial biomass, Rs or Fs, implying soil C was in dynamic equilibrium over the chronosequence. However, there was a significant increase in root biomass with plantation age, indicating a short‐term C sink. Across the chronosequence, Rs was driven by soil moisture, soil particle size, root biomass and soil microbial biomass N but not microbial biomass C. This suggests that the nutrient status of the microbial community may be of equal or greater importance for soil CO2 losses than substrate availability and also raises particular concerns regarding the addition of nitrogenous fertilizer, i.e. increased yields will be associated with increased soil CO2 emissions. To fully assess the impact of oil palm plantations on soil C storage, initial soil C losses following land conversion (e.g. from native forest or other previous plantations) must be accounted for. If initial soil C losses are large, our data show that there is no accumulation of stable C in the soil as the plantation matures and hence the conversion to oil palm would probably represent a net loss of soil C.
The prevalence of smokers is a major driver of lung cancer incidence in a population, though the “exposure–lag” effects are ill-defined. Here we present a multi-country ecological modelling study using a 30-year smoking prevalence history to quantify the exposure–lag response. To model the temporal dependency between smoking prevalence and lung cancer incidence, we used a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM), controlling for gender, age group, country, outcome year, and population at risk, and presented the effects as the incidence rate ratio (IRR) and cumulative incidence rate ratio (IRRcum). The exposure–response varied by lag period, whilst the lag–response varied according to the magnitude and direction of changes in smoking prevalence in the population. For the cumulative lag–response, increments above and below the reference level was associated with an increased and decreased IRRcum respectively, with the magnitude of the effect varying across the lag period. Though caution should be exercised in interpretation of the IRR and IRRcum estimates reported herein, we hope our work constitutes a preliminary step towards providing policy makers with meaningful indicators to inform national screening programme developments. To that end, we have implemented our statistical model a shiny app and provide an example of its use.
22 January 2025 in JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute
Background: Although precision oncology has rapidly been developed in recent years, its real-world impact and challenges in health care implementation remain underexplored. Through a meta-analysis of real-world evidence (RWE), we aimed at investigating the applicability and clinical impact of comprehensive genome profiling (CGP) in cancer patients with metastatic solid tumors. Methods: We systematically searched Medline, Embase, and Web of Science for RWE studies on CGP and matched therapies in metastatic solid tumors (publication period: 2012-2023). Pooled proportions of actionable genomic alterations, patients treated with matched targeted therapies, treatment, and survival outcomes were calculated. Data from Swedish cancer registries were used as a case study for nationwide CGP implementation. Results: Out of the 7218 identified studies, 144 were included in our analysis; 59.8% of CGP-tested patients had actionable genomic alterations, with 15.6% (95% CI = 13.4% to 18.2%) of them having received targeted therapy. Objective response was seen in 23.9% (95% CI = 20.8% to 27.3%). Overall, CGP-guided treatment was correlated with prolonged progression-free survival (pooled hazard ratio [HR] = 0.63; 95% CI = 0.56 to 0.70; 18 studies) and overall survival (pooled HR = 0.60; 95% CI = 0.51 to 0.70; 21 studies) when compared to conventional treatment. Meta-regression time projections analyses showed that these rates will steadily increase by 2030. Conclusions: Pooled analyses of RWE studies indicate that approximately one-fourth of the patients receiving CGP-matched treatment have an objective response. By utilizing meta-regression projections, our nationwide cancer registry case study offers insights into the potential of precision oncology for patients with metastatic cancer and to inform future health care strategies.
23 August 2024 in Clinical and Translational Radiation Oncology
Background: The benefit of prophylactic whole pelvis radiation therapy (WPRT) in prostate cancer has been debated for decades, with evidence based mainly on conventional fractionation targeting pelvic nodes. Aim: This retrospective cohort study aimed to explore the impact of adding moderately hypofractionated pelvic radiotherapy to prostate-only irradiation (PORT) on prognosis, toxicity, and quality of life in real-world settings. Materials and methods: Patients with high-risk and conventionally staged prostate cancer (cT1-3N0M0) treated with moderately hypofractionated WPRT or PORT, using external beam radiotherapy alone or combined with high-dose-rate brachytherapy, at Orebro rebro University Hospital between 2008 and 2021 were identified. Biochemical failure-free survival (BFFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS), and overall survival (OS) were compared using Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards. Toxicity and quality of life measures were also analysed. Results: Among 516 patients (227 PORT, 289 WPRT), 5-year BFFS rates were 77 % (PORT) and 74 % (WPRT), adjusted HR=1.50 =1.50 (95 % CI=0.88-2.55). =0.88-2.55). No significant differences were found in MFS, PCSS, or OS in main analyses. WPRT was associated with a higher risk of acute grade >= 2 and 3 genitourinary toxicities whereas no differences in late toxicities or quality of life between PORT and WPRT were observed. Conclusion: We found no significant differences in oncological outcomes or quality of life when comparing moderately hypofractionated PORT to WPRT. Some differences in toxicity patterns were observed. Despite caveats related to study design, our findings support the need for further research on WPRT's impact on treatment- related and patient-reported outcomes.
4 December 2024 in JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute
Background: This prospective cohort study aimed to assess whether postoperative radiotherapy could safely be omitted in women aged 65 years and older with low-risk, estrogen receptor–positive T1N0 breast cancer treated with breast-conserving surgery and adjuvant endocrine therapy. Methods: Eligible patients were women aged 65 years and older with unifocal, nonlobular, grade 1 or 2, estrogen receptor–positive, pT1N0 breast cancer treated with breast-conserving surgery and endocrine therapy for 5 years. Patients were followed up with mammography at least annually for 10 years. The primary endpoint was local recurrence. Secondary endpoints were contralateral breast cancer, recurrence-free survival, and overall survival. Results: The final study cohort included 601 patients with a median age of 71 years (range = 65-90 years) and a median tumor size of 11 mm (range = 3-20 mm). Median follow-up time was 119 months (interquartile range = 103-121 months). The cumulative incidence of local recurrence was 1.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.8% to 2.8%) and 5.5% (95% CI = 3.8% to 7.6%) at 5 and 10 years, respectively. The cumulative incidence of contralateral breast cancer was 1.7% (95% CI = 0.9% to 3.0%) at 5 years and 4.5% (95% CI = 3.0% to 6.6%) at 10 years. The overall survival rate at 10 years was 83.1% (95% CI = 80.8% to 85.4%). In total, 3 (0.5%) patients died because of breast cancer. Conclusion: Our results support the possibility to omit radiotherapy after breast-conserving surgery in a well-defined subgroup of women aged 65 years and older with low-risk, estrogen receptor–positive, pT1N0 breast cancer receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy.
4 October 2023 in European Journal of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery