The determination of endometrial carcinoma histological subtypes, molecular subtypes, and mutation status is critical for the diagnostic process, and directly affects patients’ prognosis and treatment. Sequencing, albeit slower and more expensive, can provide additional information on molecular subtypes and mutations that can be used to better select treatments. Here, we implement a customized multi-resolution deep convolutional neural network, Panoptes, that predicts not only the histological subtypes but also the molecular subtypes and 18 common gene mutations based on digitized H&E-stained pathological images. The model achieves high accuracy and generalizes well on independent datasets. Our results suggest that Panoptes, with further refinement, has the potential for clinical application to help pathologists determine molecular subtypes and mutations of endometrial carcinoma without sequencing.
18 July 2022 in Journal of Medical Internet Research
Background: Postpartum hemorrhage remains one of the largest causes of maternal morbidity and mortality in the United States. Objective: The aim of this paper is to use machine learning techniques to identify patients at risk for postpartum hemorrhage at obstetric delivery. Methods: Women aged 18 to 55 years delivering at a major academic center from July 2013 to October 2018 were included for analysis (N=30,867). A total of 497 variables were collected from the electronic medical record including the following: demographic information; obstetric, medical, surgical, and family history; vital signs; laboratory results; labor medication exposures; and delivery outcomes. Postpartum hemorrhage was defined as a blood loss of ≥1000 mL at the time of delivery, regardless of delivery method, with 2179 (7.1%) positive cases observed. Supervised learning with regression-, tree-, and kernel-based machine learning methods was used to create classification models based upon training (21,606/30,867, 70%) and validation (4630/30,867, 15%) cohorts. Models were tuned using feature selection algorithms and domain knowledge. An independent test cohort (4631/30,867, 15%) determined final performance by assessing for accuracy, area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC), and sensitivity for proper classification of postpartum hemorrhage. Separate models were created using all collected data versus models limited to data available prior to the second stage of labor or at the time of decision to proceed with cesarean delivery. Additional models examined patients by mode of delivery. Results: Gradient boosted decision trees achieved the best discrimination in the overall model. The model including all data mildly outperformed the second stage model (AUROC 0.979, 95% CI 0.971-0.986 vs AUROC 0.955, 95% CI 0.939-0.970). Optimal model accuracy was 98.1% with a sensitivity of 0.763 for positive prediction of postpartum hemorrhage. The second stage model achieved an accuracy of 98.0% with a sensitivity of 0.737. Other selected algorithms returned models that performed with decreased discrimination. Models stratified by mode of delivery achieved good to excellent discrimination but lacked the sensitivity necessary for clinical applicability. Conclusions: Machine learning methods can be used to identify women at risk for postpartum hemorrhage who may benefit from individualized preventative measures. Models limited to data available prior to delivery perform nearly as well as those with more complete data sets, supporting their potential utility in the clinical setting. Further work is necessary to create successful models based upon mode of delivery and to validate the findings of this study. An unbiased approach to hemorrhage risk prediction may be superior to human risk assessment and represents an area for future research.
We introduce a pioneering approach that integrates pathology imaging with transcriptomics and proteomics to identify predictive histology features associated with critical clinical outcomes in cancer. We utilize 2,755 H&E-stained histopathological slides from 657 patients across 6 cancer types from CPTAC. Our models effectively recapitulate distinctions readily made by human pathologists: tumor vs. normal (AUROC = 0.995) and tissue-of-origin (AUROC = 0.979). We further investigate predictive power on tasks not normally performed from H&E alone, including TP53 prediction and pathologic stage. Importantly, we describe predictive morphologies not previously utilized in a clinical setting. The incorporation of transcriptomics and proteomics identifies pathway-level signatures and cellular processes driving predictive histology features. Model generalizability and interpretability is confirmed using TCGA. We propose a classification system for these tasks, and suggest potential clinical applications for this integrated human and machine learning approach. A publicly available web-based platform implements these models.
9 July 2021 in Journal of Medical Internet Research
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic began in early 2021 and placed significant strains on health care systems worldwide. There remains a compelling need to analyze factors that are predictive for patients at elevated risk of morbidity and mortality. Objective: The goal of this retrospective study of patients who tested positive with COVID-19 and were treated at NYU (New York University) Langone Health was to identify clinical markers predictive of disease severity in order to assist in clinical decision triage and to provide additional biological insights into disease progression. Methods: The clinical activity of 3740 patients at NYU Langone Hospital was obtained between January and August 2020; patient data were deidentified. Models were trained on clinical data during different parts of their hospital stay to predict three clinical outcomes: deceased, ventilated, or admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Results: The XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) model that was trained on clinical data from the final 24 hours excelled at predicting mortality (area under the curve [AUC]=0.92; specificity=86%; and sensitivity=85%). Respiration rate was the most important feature, followed by SpO2 (peripheral oxygen saturation) and being aged 75 years and over. Performance of this model to predict the deceased outcome extended 5 days prior, with AUC=0.81, specificity=70%, and sensitivity=75%. When only using clinical data from the first 24 hours, AUCs of 0.79, 0.80, and 0.77 were obtained for deceased, ventilated, or ICU-admitted outcomes, respectively. Although respiration rate and SpO2 levels offered the highest feature importance, other canonical markers, including diabetic history, age, and temperature, offered minimal gain. When lab values were incorporated, prediction of mortality benefited the most from blood urea nitrogen and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH). Features that were predictive of morbidity included LDH, calcium, glucose, and C-reactive protein. Conclusions: Together, this work summarizes efforts to systematically examine the importance of a wide range of features across different endpoint outcomes and at different hospitalization time points.
Studies have shown that STK11 mutation plays a critical role in affecting the lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) tumor immune environment. By training an Inception-Resnet-v2 deep convolutional neural network model, we were able to classify STK11-mutated and wild-type LUAD tumor histopathology images with a promising accuracy (per slide AUROC = 0.795). Dimensional reduction of the activation maps before the output layer of the test set images revealed that fewer immune cells were accumulated around cancer cells in STK11-mutation cases. Our study demonstrated that deep convolutional network model can automatically identify STK11 mutations based on histopathology slides and confirmed that the immune cell density was the main feature used by the model to distinguish STK11-mutated cases.
Summary: The determination of endometrial carcinoma histological subtypes, molecular subtypes, and mutation status is a critical diagnostic process that directly affects patients’ prognosis and treatment options. Compared to the histopathological approach, however, the availability of molecular subtyping is limited as it can only be accurately obtained by genomic sequencing, which may be cost prohibitive. Here, we implemented a customized multi-resolution deep convolutional neural network, Panoptes, that predicts not only the histological subtypes, but also molecular subtypes and 18 common gene mutations based on digitized H&E stained pathological images. The model achieved high accuracy and generalized well on independent datasets. Our results suggest that Panoptes has potential clinical application of helping pathologists determine molecular subtypes and mutations of endometrial carcinoma without sequencing. Significance: Recently, molecular subtyping and mutation status are increasingly utilized in clinical practice as they offer better-informed prognosis and the possibility of individualized therapies for endometrial carcinoma patients. Taking advantage of the multi-resolution nature of the whole slide digital histopathology images, our Panoptes models integrate features of different magnification and make accurate predictions of histological subtypes, molecular subtypes, and key mutations in much faster workflows compared to conventional sequencing-based analyses. Feature extraction and visualization revealed that the model relied on human-interpretable patterns. Overall, our multi-resolution deep learning model is capable of assisting pathologists determine molecular subtypes of endometrial carcinoma, which can potentially accelerate diagnosis process.