Patients with early-stage and locally advanced rectal cancer are often treated with neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgery or watch and wait. This study evaluated the role of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to measure disease after neoadjuvant treatment and surgery to optimize treatment choices. Patients with rectal cancer treated with both chemotherapy and radiotherapy were included and diagnostic biopsies were analyzed for tumor-specific mutations. Presence of ctDNA was measured in plasma by tracing the tumor-informed mutations using a next-generation sequencing panel. The association between ctDNA detection and clinicopathological characteristics and progression-free survival was measured. Before treatment ctDNA was detected in 69% (35/51) of patients. After neoadjuvant therapy ctDNA was detected in only 15% (5/34) of patients. In none of the patients with a complete clinical response who were selected for a watch and wait strategy (0/10) or patients with ypN0 disease (0/8) ctDNA was detected, whereas it was detected in 31% (5/16) of patients with ypN + disease. After surgery ctDNA was detected in 16% (3/19) of patients, of which all (3/3) developed recurrent disease compared to only 13% (2/16) in patients with undetected ctDNA after surgery. In an exploratory survival analysis, both ctDNA detection after neoadjuvant therapy and after surgery was associated with worse progression-free survival (p = 0.01 and p = 0.007, respectively, Cox-regression). These data show that in patients with early-stage and locally advanced rectal cancer tumor-informed ctDNA detection in plasma using ultradeep sequencing may have clinical value to complement response prediction after neoadjuvant therapy and surgery.

Patients diagnosed with locally advanced esophageal cancer are often treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery. This study explored whether detection of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in plasma can be used to predict residual disease during treatment. Diagnostic tissue biopsies from patients with esophageal cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery were analyzed for tumor-specific mutations. These tumor-informed mutations were used to measure the presence of ctDNA in serially collected plasma samples using hybrid capture-based sequencing. Plasma samples were obtained before chemoradiotherapy, and prior to surgery. The association between ctDNA detection and progression-free and overall survival was measured. Before chemoradiotherapy, ctDNA was detected in 56% (44/78) of patients and detection was associated with tumor stage and volume (p = 0.05, Fisher exact and p = 0.02, Mann-Whitney, respectively). After chemoradiotherapy, ctDNA was detected in 10% (8/78) of patients. This preoperative detection of ctDNA was independently associated with recurrent disease (hazard ratio 2.8, 95% confidence interval 1.1–6.8, p = 0.03, multivariable Cox-regression) and worse overall survival (hazard ratio 2.9, 95% confidence interval 1.2–7.1, p = 0.02, multivariable Cox-regression).Ultradeep sequencing-based detection of ctDNA in preoperative plasma of patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer may help to assess which patients have a high risk of recurrence after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery.