Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) of SARS-CoV-2 has been used as a complementary indicator to follow up on the trends in the COVID-19 spread in Belgium and in many other countries. To further develop the use of WBE, a multiplex digital polymerase chain reaction (dPCR) assay was optimized, validated and applied for the measurement of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC) in influent wastewater (IWW) samples. Key mutations were targeted in the different VOC strains, including SΔ69/70 deletion, N501Y, SΔ241 and SΔ157. The presented bioanalytical method was able to distinguish between SARS-CoV-2 RNA originating from the wild-type and B.1.1.7, B.1.351 and B.1.617.2 variants. The dPCR assay proved to be sensitive enough to detect low concentrations of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in IWW since the limit of detection of the different targets ranged between 0.3 and 2.9 copies/µL. This developed WBE approach was applied to IWW samples originating from different Belgian locations and was able to monitor spatio-temporal changes in the presence of targeted VOC strains in the investigated communities. The present dPCR assay developments were realized to bring added-value to the current national WBE of COVID-19 by also having the spatio-temporal proportions of the VoC in presence in the wastewaters.

Wastewater-based surveillance was conducted by the national public health authority to monitor SARS-CoV-2 circulation in the Belgian population. Over 5 million inhabitants representing 45% of the Belgian population were monitored throughout 42 wastewater treatment plants for 15 months comprising three major virus waves. During the entire period, a high correlation was observed between the daily new COVID-19 cases and the SARS-CoV-2 concentration in wastewater corrected for rain impact and covered population size. Three alerting indicators were included in the weekly epidemiological assessment: High Circulation, Fast Increase, and Increasing Trend. These indicators were computed on normalized concentrations per individual treatment plant to allow for a comparison with a reference period as well as between analyses performed by distinct laboratories. When the indicators were not corrected for rain impact, rainy events caused an underestimation of the indicators. Despite this negative impact, the indicators permitted us to effectively monitor the evolution of the fourth virus wave and were considered complementary and valuable information to conventional epidemiological indicators in the weekly wastewater reports communicated to the National Risk Assessment Group.

Wastewater-based surveillance can be used as a complementary method to other SARS-CoV-2 surveillance systems. It allows the emergence and spread of infections and SARS-CoV-2 variants to be monitored in time and place. This study presents an RT-ddPCR method that targets the T19I amino acid mutation in the spike protein of the SARS-CoV-2 genomes, which is specific to the BA.2 variant (omicron). The T19I assay was evaluated both in silico and in vitro for its inclusivity, sensitivity, and specificity. Moreover, wastewater samples were used as a proof of concept to monitor and quantify the emergence of the BA.2 variant from January until May 2022 in the Brussels-Capital Region which covers a population of more than 1.2 million inhabitants. The in silico analysis showed that more than 99% of the BA.2 genomes could be characterized using the T19I assay. Subsequently, the sensitivity and specificity of the T19I assay were successfully experimentally evaluated. Thanks to our specific method design, the positive signal from the mutant probe and wild-type probe of the T19I assay was measured and the proportion of genomes with the T19I mutation, characteristic of the BA.2 mutant, compared to the entire SARS-CoV-2 population was calculated. The applicability of the proposed RT-ddPCR method was evaluated to monitor and quantify the emergence of the BA.2 variant over time. To validate this assay as a proof of concept, the measurement of the proportion of a specific circulating variant with genomes containing the T19I mutation in comparison to the total viral population was carried out in wastewater samples from wastewater treatment plants in the Brussels-Capital Region in the winter and spring of 2022. This emergence and proportional increase in BA.2 genomes correspond to what was observed in the surveillance using respiratory samples; however, the emergence was observed slightly earlier, which suggests that wastewater sampling could be an early warning system and could be an interesting alternative to extensive human testing.