Biopsy-confirmed liver fibrosis is a prognostic factor for patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We performed a systematic review to quantify the prognostic value of fibrosis stage in patients with NAFLD and the subgroup of patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and to assess the evidence that change in fibrosis stage is a surrogate endpoint. We searched the MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, and trial registry databases through August 2018 for prospective or retrospective cohort studies of liver-related clinical events and outcomes in adults with NAFLD or NASH. We collected data on mortality (all cause and liver related) and morbidity (cirrhosis, liver cancer, and all liver-related events) by stage of fibrosis, determined by biopsy, for patients with NAFLD or NASH. Using fibrosis stage 0 as a reference population, we calculated fibrosis stage-specific relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) values for mortality and morbidities. We performed fixed-effect and random-effect model meta-analyses. Metaregression was used to examine associations among study design (prospective vs retrospective cohort), overall risk of bias (medium or high), and mean duration of follow-up (in years). Our meta-analysis included 13 studies, comprising 4428 patients with NAFLD; 2875 of these were reported to have NASH. Compared with no fibrosis (stage 0), unadjusted risk increased with increasing stage of fibrosis (stage 0 vs 4): all-cause mortality RR, 3.42 (95% CI, 2.63-4.46); liver-related mortality RR, 11.13 (95% CI, 4.15-29.84); liver transplant RR, 5.42 (95% CI, 1.05-27.89); and liver-related events RR, 12.78 (95% CI, 6.85-23.85). The magnitude of RR did not differ significantly after adjustment for confounders, including age or sex in the subgroup of NAFLD patients with NASH. Three studies examined the effects of increasing fibrosis on quality of life had inconsistent findings. In a systematic review and meta-analysis, we found biopsy-confirmed fibrosis to be associated with risk of mortality and liver-related morbidity in patients with NAFLD, with and without adjustment for confounding factors and in patients with reported NASH. Further studies are needed to assess the association between fibrosis stage and patient quality of life and establish that change in liver fibrosis stage is a valid endpoint for use in clinical trials.

Liver steatosis may occur concomitantly in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) and is implicated in increased morbidity and mortality. Hepatitis B virus (HBV) viral load is a marker for disease progression and long-term outcomes in CHB. We investigated the association between liver steatosis and HBV viral load and their individual effects on all-cause mortality and the development of cancer in patients with CHB and liver steatosis. This retrospective study included 524 treatment-naïve patients with CHB, with a mean follow-up of 6 years. Liver biopsy was available for 170 patients and liver steatosis was validated by at least 3 ultrasonographic examinations. A total of 241/524 (46%) patients with CHB had liver steatosis, with a strong correlation between the degree of liver steatosis as assessed by ultrasonography or by liver biopsy (r = 0.9, p < 0.001). Although liver steatosis was not significantly associated with advanced fibrosis, a multivariate analysis showed that liver steatosis was associated with a 4-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality and cancer (hazard ratio 4.35; 95% CI 1.69-8.99; p < 0.001), irrespective of other major metabolic factors. However, baseline HBV viral load was not significantly associated with this composite outcome (hazard ratio 1.65; p = 0.29). In addition, liver steatosis was inversely associated with HBV viral load. Patients with CHB and liver steatosis have an increased risk of all-cause mortality and cancer development compared to patients with CHB without liver steatosis, regardless of their baseline HBV viral load. Although tending to have a lower baseline viral load, patients with CHB and liver steatosis should be closely monitored irrespective of viral load. Patients with chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) may have liver steatosis at the same time. Here we show that in patients with CHB, liver steatosis is significantly associated with all-cause mortality and cancer, irrespective of other major metabolic factors, and the effect of liver steatosis on mortality and cancer is stronger than the effect of hepatitis B viral load on these outcomes. Thus, patients with CHB and liver steatosis should be closely monitored, irrespective of their viral load.

Summary: Background: Following induction therapy with a calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) in severe ulcerative colitis, transitioning to vedolizumab as maintenance therapy could be an option.Aim: To report on the largest cohort of patients successfully induced with CNIs who were transitioned to vedolizumab maintenance therapy.Methods: This is a retrospective observational study of adult patients with severe steroid‐refractory ulcerative colitis. Patients were included if they were induced with a CNI followed by maintenance therapy with vedolizumab between January 2014 and December 2018. The primary endpoint was colectomy‐free survival. Secondary endpoints included survival without vedolizumab discontinuation as well as clinical, steroid‐free and biochemical remission at week 14.Results: A total of 71 patients (59% male) were treated with vedolizumab after induction therapy with CNIs for severe steroid‐refractory colitis. Patients were followed for a median time of 25 months (IQR 16‐36). Colectomy‐free survival rates from vedolizumab initiation were 93% at 3 months, 67% at 1 year and 55% at 2 years. At the end of induction with vedolizumab at week 14, 50% of patients were in clinical remission, and 62% of patients had a normal CRP. At 1 and 2 years following vedolizumab initiation, 43% and 28% of patients were still on vedolizumab respectively. Vedolizumab was dose escalated to infusions every 4 weeks in 44% of patients. The median time to dose escalation was 5.6 months (IQR 4.1‐8.2). No serious adverse events were recorded in our patient cohort.Conclusions: Transitioning to vedolizumab following induction of remission with CNIs is effective and safe.

Liver fibrosis predicts liver-related morbidity and mortality in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Non-invasive scores correlate with the degree of liver fibrosis in these patients. To investigate the accuracy of noninvasive scoring systems in predicting long-term outcomes and cancer incidence of patients with NAFLD, we performed a single-center retrospective study of patients with biopsy proven NAFLD. Mean follow up period was 100 months. Outcomes included liver-related complications, hospitalizations, overall mortality and the development of any malignancies. 32 patients had advanced fibrosis (F3-F4) per biopsy at baseline and 121 patients had mild to moderate fibrosis (F0-F2). Both advanced histologic fibrosis stage as well as higher non-invasive scores predicted repeated hospitalizations and longer hospitalization stays. In a multivariate analysis, liver fibrosis (p = 0.002), FIB-4 score (p<0.001), NFS (p<0.001) but not APRI score (p = 0.07) were predictors of overall mortality, and the occurrence of malignancies was associated with higher APRI (p<0.001), FIB-4 (p<0.001) and NFS (p = 0.008) scores, but not with advanced fibrosis, as determined by liver biopsy (p = 0.105). In NAFLD patients, noninvasive scoring systems are good predictors of morbidity and mortality and may have an additive value in predicting the development of hepatic and extra-hepatic cancers.