Using a shape model (SM) is a typical method to determine the phenological phases of crops with long-time-series satellite remote sensing data. The average AGDD-based shape model (AAGDD-SM) takes temperature into account compared to SM, however, the commonly used daily average temperature is not sufficient to determine the exact AGDD owing to the possibly significant changes in temperatures throughout the day. In this paper, a modified shape model was proposed for the better estimation of phenological dates and it is incorporated into the continuous AGDD (CAGDD) which was calculated based on temperatures from a continuous 24 h within a day, different from the calendar day or the average AGDD indicators. In this study, the CAGDD replaced the abscissa of the NDVI growth curve over a 5-year period (2014 to 2018, excluding 2015) for a test site of early rice in Jiangxi province of China. Four key phenological phases, including the reviving, tillering, heading and anthesis phases, were selected and determined with reference to the field-observed phenological data. The results show that compared with the AAGDD-SM, the method proposed in this paper has basically improved the prediction of each phenological period. For those cases where the average temperature is lower than the minimum temperatures (K1) but the effective accumulated temperature is not zero, more accurate AGDD can be calculated according to the method in this paper.
Reducing the lag in the accuracy assessment of multi-temporal land-cover products has been a hot research topic. By identifying the changed strata, the annual accuracy in multi-temporal products can be quickly evaluated. However, there are still two limitations in the accuracy assessment of multi-temporal products. Firstly, the setting of the parameters (e.g., the total sample size, allocation of samples in the changed strata, etc.) in the fundamental sampling design is not based on specific setting criteria. Therefore, this evaluation method is not always applicable when the product or research area changes. Secondly, the accuracy evaluation of multi-temporal products does not consider the influence of misclassification. This can lead to an overestimation of the accuracy of changed strata in single-year evaluations. In this paper, we describe how the total sample and the assignment of samples in every stratum can be adjusted according to the characteristics of the land-cover product, which improves the applicability of the evaluation. The samples in the changed strata that propagate misclassification are essentially pixels that have not undergone any land-cover change. Therefore, in order to eliminate the propagation of this inter-annual classification error, the misclassified samples are reclassified as unchanged strata. This method was used in the multi-temporal ESA CCI land-cover product. The experimental results indicate that the single-year accuracy, considering classification error, is closer to the traditional evaluation accuracy of single-temporal data. For the categories with a small ratio of unchanged strata samples to changed strata samples, the accuracy improvement, after eliminating the classification errors, is more obvious. For the urban class, in particular, the misclassification affects its estimated accuracy by 9.72%.