Climate change is a significant force influencing catchment hydrological processes, such as baseflow, i.e., the contribution of delayed pathways to streamflow in drought periods and is associated with catchment drought propagation. The Weihe River Basin is a typical arid and semi-arid catchment on the Loess Plateau in northwest China. Baseflow plays a fundamental role in the provision of water and environmental functions at the catchment scale. However, the baseflow variability in the projected climate change is not well understood. In this study, forcing meteorological data were derived from two climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) of three representative general circulation models (CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, MIROC5, and FGOALSg2) in CMIP5 and then were used as inputs in the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model to simulate future streamflow. Finally, a well-revised baseflow separation method was implemented to estimate the baseflow to investigate long-term (historical (1960–2012) and future (2010–2054) periods) baseflow variability patterns. We found (1) that baseflow showed a decreasing trend in some simulations of future climatic conditions but not in all scenarios (p < 0.05), (2) that the contribution of baseflow to streamflow (i.e., baseflow index) amounted to approximately 45%, with a slightly increasing trend (p ≤ 0.001), and (3) an increased frequency of severe hydrological drought events in the future (2041–2053) due to baseflows much lower than current annual averages. This study benefits the scientific management of water resources in regional development and provides references for the semi-arid or water-limited catchments.

Earthquakes–induced landslides generally provide abundant loose materials at hillslopes, possibly triggering morphological reshaping processes at river channels and riverbeds during the large flash flood hydrograph and bringing huge risk downstream. Therefore, in a Wenchuan earthquake-affected catchment, the collected hydro-meteorological data and high-precision small Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (sUAV) data were used to quantitatively analyze channel evolution by a large flash flood event on 25 and 26 June 2018. It was found that the stable riverbed structure formed by the armour layer appeared in the tenth year after the Wenchuan earthquake. In a confined channel, the layer can protect the channel and resist the drastic change after the flash flood event with only a small bed elevation from 0.2 m to 2 m. Without the protection of the armour, the change could reach 6 m in the unconfined channel. Meanwhile, more materials with a deposition volume of about 7450 m³ from tributaries were generally taken to the main channel, and more intense erosion with a volume of 10⁵ m³ mostly occurred downstream of tributaries. It was noted that, in the cross-section, the increased channel width could lead to a significant change with the large volume of 35 m³. Additionally, a conceptual diagram of the generalized channel response to large flash floods was provided during multi-stage periods after the Wenchuan earthquake. It determined the rebalance processes of channel evolution in the tenth year after the earthquake. This study will contribute to understanding the post-earthquake long-term channel evolutions and could provide decision-makers of assessing the mitigation strategies for higher-magnitude flood disasters triggered by channel change in earthquake-affected watersheds.

Phenology is a critical mirror reflecting vegetation growth and has a major impact on terrestrial ecosystems. The Loess Plateau (LP) is a paramount ecological zone in China that has experienced considerable vegetation changes. However, understanding the dynamics of vegetation phenology is limited by ambiguous vegetation interpretation and anthropogenic-induced forces. This study combined the multi-climatic and anthropogenic datasets to characterize the interactions between phenology shifts and environmental variables. The principal findings were as follows: (1) Phenological shifts exhibit spatial heterogeneity and an interannually increasing trend in greenness (R² > 0.6, p < 0.05). Notably, SOS (the start of the growing season) advances while EOS (the end of the growing season) delays in both the southeastern and northwestern regions. (2) SOS and EOS, primarily in the range of 100–150 and 285–320 days, respectively. Phenological changes vary depending on vegetation types. The forest has an early SOS, within 80–112 days, and a delayed EOS, within 288–320 days. The SOS of shrub is mainly within 80–144 days. (3) EOS shows a strong response to the preseason of each climate variable. Precipitation (R = 0.76), soil moisture (R = −0.64), and temperature (R = 0.89) are the governing determinants in shaping vegetation phenology. In addition, agriculture and urbanization play a significant role in shaping the spatial variations of SOS. These findings provide a basis for a systematic understanding of the processes that affect vegetation growth, which is crucial for maintaining the health and sustainability of arid and semiarid ecosystems.

Strong earthquakes often bring amounts of loose material, disrupting the balance of material transportation within a watershed and severely impacting the restoration of the ecological environment and human safety downstream. Therefore, it is crucial to identify the frequency and scale of these debris flow events, as well as to explore their long-term development and impact on internal and external channels. Using multi-source remote sensing images from four perspectives, hillslope, channel, accumulation fan, and their relationship with the mainstream, we reconstructed a debris flow event dataset from 2008 to 2020, explored a method for identifying these events, and analyzed their impacts on channels and accumulation fans in Mozi Gully affected by the Wenchuan earthquake. Loose matter was predominantly found in areas proximate to the channel and at lower elevations during debris flow events. Alterations in channel width, accumulation fans downstream, and their potential to obstruct rivers proved to be vital for identifying the large scale of debris flow event. Finally, we encapsulated the evolution patterns and constraints of post-earthquake debris flows. Determination in frequency and scale could offer valuable supplementary data for scenario hypothesis parameters in post-earthquake disaster engineering prevention and control.

Frequent flash floods threaten human well-being, hydropower infrastructure, and ecosystems. However, the long-term evolution of flash flood patterns over recent decades remains insufficiently understood, particularly in data-scarce high-altitude regions. Using multi-source remote sensing data integrated with historical disaster records and field investigations, this study examined the spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of flash floods across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP). The results indicate that flash floods have increased exponentially, which may be influenced by disaster management policies, with peaks in July–August and frequent occurrences from April to September. The seasonal trajectory of the center of gravity of flash floods from April to September exhibited a clear directional pattern. Regions with the highest disaster density were concentrated in the headwaters of five major rivers, including the Yarlung Zangbo, Jinsha, Nu, Lancang, and Yellow Rivers. Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) and Random Forest analyses reveal that soil moisture, anthropogenic intensity, and seasonal runoff variability are the dominant driving factors. With ongoing socioeconomic development, intensified human activities have become a key contributor to the increasing frequency of flash floods. These findings highlight the value of remote sensing-based assessments for flash flood monitoring and early warning and provide scientific support for risk mitigation, loss reduction, and the advancement of water-related targets under the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals.