This study aims to assess the potential of Sentinel-2 NDVI time series and Google Earth Engine to detect small land-use/land-cover changes (at the pixel level) in fire-disturbed environs. To capture both slow and fast changes, the investigations focused on the analysis of trends in NDVI time series, selected because they are extensively used for the assessment of post-fire dynamics mainly linked to the monitoring of vegetation recovery and fire resilience. The area considered for this study is the central–southern part of the Italian peninsula, in particular the regions of (i) Campania, (ii) Basilicata, (iii) Calabria, (iv) Toscana, (v) Umbria, and (vi) Lazio. For each fire considered, the study covered the period from the year after the event to the present. The multi-temporal analysis was performed using two main data processing steps (i) linear regression to extract NDVI trends and enhance changes over time and (ii) random forest classification to capture and categorize the various changes. The analysis allowed us to identify changes occurred in the selected case study areas and to understand and evaluate the trend indicators that mark a change in land use/land cover. In particular, different types of changes were identified: (i) woodland felling, (ii) remaking of paths and roads, and (ii) transition from wooded area to cultivated field. The reliability of the changes identified was assessed and confirmed by the high multi-temporal resolution offered by Google Earth. Results of this comparison highlighted that the overall accuracy of the classification was higher than 0.86.

The purpose of this work was to evaluate the potential of Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) and the Fisher–Shannon method to analyse NDVI MODIS time series and to capture and estimate inner vegetation anomalies in forest covers. In particular, the Fisher–Shannon method allows to calculate two quantities, the Fisher Information Measure (FIM) and the Shannon entropy power (SEP), which are used to characterise the complexity of a time series in terms of organisation/disorder. Pilot sites located both in urban (Milano, Torino, and Roma) and peri-urban areas (Appia Park, Castel Porziano, and Castel Volturno) were selected. Among the six sites, Roma, Castel Porziano, and Castel Volturno are affected by the parasite Toumeyella parvicornis. The time series was analysed using the products available in Google Earth Engine. To explore and characterise long-term vegetation dynamics, the time series was analysed using a multistep processing chain based on the (i) normalisation of the satellite time series, (ii) removal of seasonality and any other periodical cycles using SSA, (iii) analysis of the de-trended data using the Fisher–Shannon statistical method, and (iv) validation through comparison with independent data and ancillary information. Our findings point out to a clear discrimination between healthy and unhealthy sites, being the first (Milano, Torino, Appia) characterised by a larger FIM (lower SEP) and the second (Roma, Castel Porziano, Castel Volturno) by a lower FIM (larger SEP). The results of the investigations showed that the use of the SSA and Fisher–Shannon statistical methods coupled with the NDVI time series of the MODIS satellite made it possible to effectively identify and characterise subtle but physically significant signals veiled by seasonality and annual cycles.

The main goal of this study was to evaluate the potential of the Fisher-Shannon statistical method applied to the MODIS satellite time series to search for and explore any small multiyear trends and changes (herein also denoted as inner anomalies) in vegetation cover. For the purpose of our investigation, we focused on the vegetation cover of three peri-urban parks close to Rome and Naples (Italy). For each of these three areas, we analyzed the 2000–2020 time variation of four MODIS-based vegetation indices: evapotranspiration (ET), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), leaf area index (LAI), and enhanced vegetation index (EVI). These data sets are available in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) and were selected because they are related to the interactions between soil, water, atmosphere, and plants. To account for the great variability exhibited by the seasonal variations while identifying small multiyear trends and changes, we devised a procedure composed of two steps: (i) application of the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) to each satellite-based time series to detect and remove the annual cycle including the seasonality and then (ii) analysis of the detrended signals using the Fisher-Shannon method, which combines the Shannon entropy and the Fisher Information Measure (FIM). Our results indicate that among all the three pilot test areas, Castel Volturno is characterized by the highest Shannon entropy and the lowest FIM that indicate a low level of order and organization of vegetation time series. This behaviour can be linked to the degradation phenomena induced by the parasite (Toumeyella parvicornis) that has affected dramatically the area in recent years. Our results were nicely confirmed by the comparison with in situ analyzed and independent data sets revealing the existence of subtle, small multiyear trends and changes in MODIS-based vegetation indices.