Landslides are a common and costly geological hazard, with regular occurrences leading to significant damage and losses. To effectively manage land use and reduce the risk of landslides, it is crucial to conduct susceptibility assessments. To date, many machine-learning methods have been applied to the landslide susceptibility map (LSM). However, as a risk prediction, landslide susceptibility without good interpretability would be a risky approach to apply these methods to real life. This study aimed to assess the LSM in the region of Nayong in Guizhou, China, and conduct a comprehensive assessment and evaluation of landslide susceptibility maps utilizing an explainable artificial intelligence. This study incorporates remote sensing data, field surveys, geographic information system techniques, and interpretable machine-learning techniques to analyze the sensitivity to landslides and to contrast it with other conventional models. As an interpretable machine-learning method, generalized additive models with structured interactions (GAMI-net) could be used to understand how LSM models make decisions. The results showed that the GAMI-net model was valid and had an area under curve (AUC) value of 0.91 on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, which is better than the values of 0.85 and 0.81 for the random forest and SVM models, respectively. The coal mining, rock desertification, and rainfall greater than 1300 mm were more susceptible to landslides in the study area. Additionally, the pairwise interaction factors, such as rainfall and mining, lithology and rainfall, and rainfall and elevation, also increased the landslide susceptibility. The results showed that interpretable models could accurately predict landslide susceptibility and reveal the causes of landslide occurrence. The GAMI-net-based model exhibited good predictive capability and significantly increased model interpretability to inform landslide management and decision making, which suggests its great potential for application in LSM.
Earthquakes cause a huge number of landslides and alter the regional landslide risk distribution. As a result, after a significant earthquake, the landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) must be updated. The study goal was to create seismic landslide susceptibility maps containing landslide causative variables which are adaptable to great changes in susceptibility after the Jiuzhaigou earthquake (MS 7.0) and to perform a rapid update of the LSM after the earthquake by means of the distributed scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (DS-InSAR) technique. We selected the territory of Jiuzhaigou County (southwestern China) as the study region. Jiuzhaigou is a world-renowned natural heritage and tourist area of great human and ecological value. For landslide susceptibility mapping, we examined the applicability of three models (logistic regression, support vector machine, and random forest) for landslide susceptibility mapping and offered a strategy for updating seismic landslide susceptibility maps using DS-InSAR. First, using logistic regression, support vector machine, and random forest techniques, susceptibility models of seismic landslides were built for Jiuzhaigou based on twelve contributing variables. Second, we obtained the best model parameters by means of a Bayesian network and network search, while using five-fold cross-validation to validate the optimized model. According to the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the SVM model and RF model had excellent prediction capability and strong robustness over large areas compared with the LR models. Third, the surface deformation in Jiuzhaigou was calculated using DS-InSAR technology, and the deformation data were adopted to update the landslide susceptibility model using the correction matrix. The correction of deformation data resulted in a susceptibility class transition in 4.87 percent of the research region. According to practical examples, this method of correcting LSMs for the continuous monitoring of surface deformation (DS-InSAR) was effective. Finally, we analyze the reasons for the change in the revised LSM and point out the help of ecological restoration in reducing landslide susceptibility. The results show that the integration of InSAR continuous monitoring not only improved the performance of the LSM model but also adapted it to track the evolution of future landslide susceptibility, including seismic and human activities.
Floods are a sudden and influential natural disaster, and synthetic aperture radar (SAR) can image the Earth’s surface almost independently of time and weather conditions, making it particularly suitable for extracting flood ranges in time. Platforms such as Google Earth Engine (GEE) can provide a large amount of SAR data and preprocess it, providing powerful assistance for real-time flood monitoring and time series analysis. However, the application of long-term series data combined with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to monitor floods has been lacking in current research, and the accuracy of flood extraction in open water surfaces remains unsatisfactory. In this study, we proposed a new method of near real-time flood monitoring with a higher accuracy. The method utilizes SAR image time series to establish a gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network model. This model was used to predict normal flood-free surface conditions. Flood extraction was achieved by comparing and analyzing the actual flood surface conditions with the predicted conditions, using a parameter called Scores. Our method demonstrated significant improvements in accuracy compared to existing algorithms like the OTSU algorithm, Sentinel-1 Dual Polarized Water Index (SDWI) algorithm, and Z-score algorithm. The overall accuracy of our method was 99.20%, which outperformed the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (EMS) map. Importantly, our method exhibited high stability as it allowed for fluctuation within the normal range, enabling the extraction of the complete flood range, especially in open water surfaces. The stability of our method makes it suitable for the flood monitoring of future open-access SAR data, including data from future Sentinel-1 missions.
Landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) play an important role in landslide hazard risk assessments, urban planning, and land resource management. While states of motion and dynamic factors are critical in the landslide formation process, these factors have not received due attention in existing LSM-generation research. In this study, we proposed a valuable method for dynamically updating and refining LSMs by combining soil moisture products with Multi-Temporal Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (MT-InSAR) data. Based on a landslide inventory, we used time-series soil moisture data to construct an index system for evaluating landslide susceptibility. MT-InSAR technology was applied to invert the displacement time series. Furthermore, the surface deformation rate was projected in the direction of the steepest slope, and the data was resampled to a spatial resolution consistent with that of the LSM to update the generated LSM. The results showed that varying soil moisture conditions were accompanied by dynamic landslide susceptibility. A total of 22% of the analyzed pixels underwent significant susceptibility changes (either increases or decreases) following the updating and refining processes incorporating soil moisture and MT-InSAR compared to the LSMs derived based only on static factors. The relative landslide density index obtained based on actual landslides and the analyses of Dongfeng, Haila town, and Dajie township confirmed the improved slow landslide prediction reliability resulting from the reduction of the false alarm and omission rates.
Due to the influence of atmospheric phase delays and terrain fluctuation in complex mountainous areas, traditional PS-InSAR technology often fails to select enough measurement points (MPs) and loses effective MPs during phase unwrapping. To solve this problem, this paper proposes an adaptive network construction algorithm, which combines the permanent scatterer (PS) points with the distributed scatterer (DS) points. Firstly, to ensure the extraction quality of the DS points, the covariance matrix of DS points is estimated robustly. Secondly, based on the traditional Delaunay triangulation network, an adaptive network construction method is proposed, which can adaptively increase edge redundancy and network connectivity by considering the edge length, edge coherence, edge number, and spatial distribution. Finally, a total of 31 RADARSAT-2 SAR images that cover the Zongling landslide group in Guizhou Province were used to prove the effectiveness of proposed method. The results show that the quantity of available DS points can be increased by 23.6%, through the robust estimation of the covariance matrix. In addition, it is demonstrated that the proposed network construction algorithm can balance the number, distribution, and quality of edges in the dense and sparse areas of MPs adaptively. This adaptive network construction approach can maintain good connectivity and avoid losing effective MPs to the greatest extent, especially when the scattering points are far away from the reference points. In short, the proposed algorithm improves the number of effective MPs and accuracy of phase unwrapping.
In the development and production of oilfields, oil and gas gathering and transportation pipelines play a pivotal role, with their safe and stable operation being crucial for energy transmission. The environmental conditions and geological disasters along the pipeline routes pose significant threats to pipeline integrity. Existing research often fails to adequately consider the characteristics of oil and gas pipelines as entities that endure such disasters, as well as the potential impacts of surrounding geological disasters and ground deformations. This study establishes a comprehensive failure probability assessment framework aimed at evaluating the susceptibility to disasters, environmental factors, and potential ground deformations along pipeline routes. By employing DS-InSAR technology, we account for the effects of ground deformation and conduct an in-depth analysis of the vulnerability and susceptibility to geological disasters along a pipeline. These assessments are integrated using a failure probability matrix method, resulting in a failure probability level distribution map for the pipelines. In this study, we applied the framework to the Ordos Basin in China. The insights and framework offer a comprehensive understanding for large-scale oil and gas pipeline failure probability assessment, aiding relevant authorities in precisely grasping the impacts of disasters, environmental conditions, and their changes on pipelines, enabling the identification of management priorities and the formulation of more accurate protective measures.