Snow is a critically important and rapidly changing feature of the Arctic. However, snow-cover and snowpack conditions change through time pose challenges for measuring and prediction of snow. Plausible scenarios of how Arctic snow cover will respond to changing Arctic climate are important for impact assessments and adaptation strategies. Although much progress has been made in understanding and predicting snow-cover changes and their multiple consequences, many uncertainties remain. In this paper, we review advances in snow monitoring and modelling, and the impact of snow changes on ecosystems and society in Arctic regions. Interdisciplinary activities are required to resolve the current limitations on measuring and modelling snow characteristics through the cold season and at different spatial scales to assure human well-being, economic stability, and improve the ability to predict manage and adapt to natural hazards in the Arctic region.
Effects of polyploidisation on gene flow between natural populations are little known. Central European diploid and tetraploid populations of Arabidopsis arenosa and A. lyrata are here used to study interspecific and interploidal gene flow, using a combination of nuclear and plastid markers.
Plants adapted to extreme conditions can be at high risk from climate change; arctic-alpine plants, in particular, could “run out of space” as they are out-competed by expansion of woody vegetation. Mountain regions could potentially provide safe sites for arctic-alpine plants in a warmer climate, but empirical evidence is fragmentary. Here we present a 24,000-year record of species persistence based on sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) from Lake Bolshoye Shchuchye (Polar Urals). We provide robust evidence of long-term persistence of arctic-alpine plants through large-magnitude climate changes but document a decline in their diversity during a past expansion of woody vegetation. Nevertheless, most of the plants that were present during the last glacial interval, including all of the arctic-alpines, are still found in the region today. This underlines the conservation significance of mountain landscapes via their provision of a range of habitats that confer resilience to climate change, particularly for arctic-alpine taxa.
1 January 2011 in Methods in Ecology and Evolution
Summary: 1. Lipids are more depleted in 13C than proteins. Variable lipid contents in tissues affect therefore the measurements of stable carbon isotope ratios. Model based (also called mathematical) normalization has been suggested to correct δ13C values using the ratio of carbon to nitrogen (C/N) as a proxy for lipid content. This approach has not been thoroughly validated for terrestrial animals and it is not clear to what extent it is generally applicable or species/tissue specific.2. Ratios of stable carbon isotopes (δ13C) were obtained for muscle samples of 22 mainly terrestrial arctic mammal and bird species and for egg samples of 32 bird species from nine sites in the circumpolar Arctic. We used linear and nonlinear equations to model the difference in δ13C between samples from which lipids had been extracted chemically and bulk tissue samples. Models were compared on the basis of a model selection criterion (AIC) and of prediction error as estimated by cross‐validation.3. For muscle samples, a linear and a nonlinear equation performed equally well. The observed values were also well predicted by a previously published general equation for aquatic organisms. For egg samples, a nonlinear equation fitted separately to waterfowl and non waterfowl bird species fitted the data best. Prediction errors were, however, larger than for muscle samples.4. The generality of the inferred normalization equations was assessed by applying them to a second data set from a similar ecosystem, but produced in the frame of another study. The predicted lean δ13C values were within 0·5‰ of the observed values for 73% of the muscle samples, but only for 27% of the egg samples.5. Based on our results, we recommend model based normalization of δ13C values as an economic way to deal with varying lipid contents in muscle samples of mammals and birds. For egg samples, on the contrary, model based predictions had large errors. Therefore, we recommend chemical lipid extraction in order to estimate lipid‐free δ13C values for egg content.