Immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are antagonists of inhibitory receptors in the immune system, such as the cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen-4, the programmed cell death protein-1 and its ligand PD-L1, and they are increasingly used in cancer treatment. By blocking certain suppressive pathways, ICIs promote T-cell activation and antitumor activity but may induce so-called immune-related adverse events (irAEs), which mimic traditional autoimmune disorders. With the approval of more ICIs, irAE prediction has become a key factor in improving patient survival and quality of life. Several biomarkers have been described as potential irAE predictors, some of them are already available for clinical use and others are under development; examples include circulating blood cell counts and ratios, T-cell expansion and diversification, cytokines, autoantibodies and autoantigens, serum and other biological fluid proteins, human leucocyte antigen genotypes, genetic variations and gene profiles, microRNAs, and the gastrointestinal microbiome. Nevertheless, it is difficult to generalize the application of irAE biomarkers based on the current evidence because most studies have been retrospective, time-limited and restricted to a specific type of cancer, irAE or ICI. Long-term prospective cohorts and real-life studies are needed to assess the predictive capacity of different potential irAE biomarkers, regardless of the ICI type, organ involved or cancer site.
Several factors have been associated with the occurrence of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) induced by immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy. Despite their availability, the predictive value of circulating blood cell parameters remains underexplored. Our aim was to investigate whether baseline values of and early changes in absolute neutrophil count (ANC), absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), other blood cell counts, and lymphocyte-related ratios can predict irAEs and whether sex may differentially influence this potential predictive ability. Of the 145 patients included, 52 patients (35.8%) experienced at least one irAE, with a 1-year cumulative incidence of 41.6%. Using Fine and Gray competing risk models, we identified female sex (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.20–3.85), high ALC before ICI initiation (HR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.09–2.45), and low ANC after ICI initiation (HR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.69–0.96) as predictors of irAEs. However, ALC and ANC may only have an impact on the risk of irAEs in women (stratified for female sex, ALC-related HR = 2.61, 95% CI = 1.40–4.86 and ANC-related HR = 0.57, 95% CI = 0.41–0.81). Priority should be given to developing models to predict ICI-related toxicity and their validation in various settings, and such models should assess the impact of patient sex on the risk of toxicity.