Hugh Sturrock

Dr. Hugh Sturrock


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

18Years (2009-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 September 2013 in The Lancet
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
CCChris Cotter
Chris Cotter
HSHugh Sturrock
Hugh Sturrock
MHMichelle S Hsiang
Michelle S Hsiang
JLJenny Liu
Jenny Liu
APAllison A Phillips
Allison A Phillips
RFRichard Ga Feachem
Richard Ga Feachem

18 June 2013 in PLOS Medicine
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
HSHugh Sturrock
Hugh Sturrock
MHMichelle S. Hsiang
Michelle S. Hsiang
JCJustin M. Cohen
Justin M. Cohen
DSDavid L. Smith
David L. Smith
BGBryan Greenhouse
Bryan Greenhouse
RGRoly D. Gosling
Roly D. Gosling
Hugh Sturrock and colleagues discuss the role of active case detection in low malaria transmission settings. They argue that the evidence for its effectiveness is sparse and that targeted mass drug administration should be evaluated as an alternative or addition to active case detection. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary

8 February 2011 in PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
RPRachel L. Pullan
Rachel L. Pullan
PGPeter W. Gething
Peter W. Gething
JSJennifer L. Smith
Jennifer L. Smith
CMCharles S. Mwandawiro
Charles S. Mwandawiro
HSHugh Sturrock
Hugh Sturrock
SBSimon Brooker
Simon Brooker
Implementation of control of parasitic diseases requires accurate, contemporary maps that provide intervention recommendations at policy-relevant spatial scales. To guide control of soil transmitted helminths (STHs), maps are required of the combined prevalence of infection, indicating where this prevalence exceeds an intervention threshold of 20%. Here we present a new approach for mapping the observed prevalence of STHs, using the example of Kenya in 2009. Observed prevalence data for hookworm, Ascaris lumbricoides and Trichuris trichiura were assembled for 106,370 individuals from 945 cross-sectional surveys undertaken between 1974 and 2009. Ecological and climatic covariates were extracted from high-resolution satellite data and matched to survey locations. Bayesian space-time geostatistical models were developed for each species, and were used to interpolate the probability that infection prevalence exceeded the 20% threshold across the country for both 1989 and 2009. Maps for each species were integrated to estimate combined STH prevalence using the law of total probability and incorporating a correction factor to adjust for associations between species. Population census data were combined with risk models and projected to estimate the population at risk and requiring treatment in 2009. In most areas for 2009, there was high certainty that endemicity was below the 20% threshold, with areas of endemicity ≥20% located around the shores of Lake Victoria and on the coast. Comparison of the predicted distributions for 1989 and 2009 show how observed STH prevalence has gradually decreased over time. The model estimated that a total of 2.8 million school-age children live in districts which warrant mass treatment. Bayesian space-time geostatistical models can be used to reliably estimate the combined observed prevalence of STH and suggest that a quarter of Kenya's school-aged children live in areas of high prevalence and warrant mass treatment. As control is successful in reducing infection levels, updated models can be used to refine decision making in helminth control. Effective targeting of mass drug administration for the treatment of soil-transmitted helminths (STH) requires reliable, up-to-date maps that indicate where prevalence exceeds the 20% intervention threshold recommended by the World Health Organization. We present a new approach for mapping the prevalence of STH in Kenya, incorporating observed prevalence data from 945 cross-sectional surveys undertaken between 1974 and 2009. The distribution of each species was modelled using model-based geostatistics; models included information on environmental factors, the spatial distribution of existing surveys and when these surveys were conducted. Resulting risk maps were combined and linked with population data enabling estimation of the population at risk of any STH infection and requiring treatment in 2009. In most areas, there was high certainty that combined STH prevalence was below the 20% intervention threshold, with areas of high prevalence located around the shores of Lake Victoria and on the coast. Results also suggest that observed prevalence decreased over time and emphasise the importance of continued surveillance in areas where observed prevalence was historically high. We show how spatial modelling can be used to develop up-to-date maps of STH risk to help improve the precision of decision making in disease control.

13 May 2014 in PLOS Medicine
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
JCJun Cao
Jun Cao
HSHugh Sturrock
Hugh Sturrock
CCChris Cotter
Chris Cotter
SZShuisen Zhou
Shuisen Zhou
HZHuayun Zhou
Huayun Zhou
QGQi Gao
Qi Gao
Qi Gao and colleagues describe China's 1-3-7 strategy for eliminating malaria: reporting of malaria cases within one day, their confirmation and investigation within three days, and the appropriate public health response to prevent further transmission within seven days.

27 September 2017 in PLOS ONE
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
AMAlemayehu Midekisa
Alemayehu Midekisa
Felix HollFelix Holl
Felix Holl
DSDavid J Savory
David J Savory
RARicardo Andrade-Pacheco
Ricardo Andrade-Pacheco
PGPeter W Gething
Peter W Gething
HSHugh Sturrock
Hugh Sturrock
Quantifying and monitoring the spatial and temporal dynamics of the global land cover is critical for better understanding many of the Earth’s land surface processes. However, the lack of regularly updated, continental-scale, and high spatial resolution (30 m) land cover data limit our ability to better understand the spatial extent and the temporal dynamics of land surface changes. Despite the free availability of high spatial resolution Landsat satellite data, continental-scale land cover mapping using high resolution Landsat satellite data was not feasible until now due to the need for high-performance computing to store, process, and analyze this large volume of high resolution satellite data. In this study, we present an approach to quantify continental land cover and impervious surface changes over a long period of time (15 years) using high resolution Landsat satellite observations and Google Earth Engine cloud computing platform. The approach applied here to overcome the computational challenges of handling big earth observation data by using cloud computing can help scientists and practitioners who lack high-performance computational resources.

1 July 2013 in Malaria Journal
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
JMJacklin F Mosha
Jacklin F Mosha
HSHugh Sturrock
Hugh Sturrock
BGBryan Greenhouse
Bryan Greenhouse
BGBrian Greenwood
Brian Greenwood
CSColin J Sutherland
Colin J Sutherland
RGRoly Gosling
Roly Gosling
At the local level, malaria transmission clusters in hotspots, which may be a group of households that experience higher than average exposure to infectious mosquitoes. Active case detection often relying on rapid diagnostic tests for mass screen and treat campaigns has been proposed as a method to detect and treat individuals in hotspots. Data from a cross-sectional survey conducted in north-western Tanzania were used to examine the spatial distribution of Plasmodium falciparum and the relationship between household exposure and parasite density. Dried blood spots were collected from consenting individuals from four villages during a survey conducted in 2010. These were analysed by PCR for the presence of P. falciparum, with the parasite density of positive samples being estimated by quantitative PCR. Household exposure was estimated using the distance-weighted PCR prevalence of infection. Parasite density simulations were used to estimate the proportion of infections that would be treated using a screen and treat approach with rapid diagnostic tests (RDT) compared to targeted mass drug administration (tMDA) and Mass Drug Administration (MDA). Polymerase chain reaction PCR analysis revealed that of the 3,057 blood samples analysed, 1,078 were positive. Mean distance-weighted PCR prevalence per household was 34.5%. Parasite density was negatively associated with transmission intensity with the odds of an infection being subpatent increasing with household exposure (OR 1.09 per 1% increase in exposure). Parasite density was also related to age, being highest in children five to ten years old and lowest in those > 40 years. Simulations of different tMDA strategies showed that treating all individuals in households where RDT prevalence was above 20% increased the number of infections that would have been treated from 43 to 55%. However, even with this strategy, 45% of infections remained untreated. The negative relationship between household exposure and parasite density suggests that DNA-based detection of parasites is needed to provide adequate sensitivity in hotspots. Targeting MDA only to households with RDT-positive individuals may allow a larger fraction of infections to be treated. These results suggest that community-wide MDA, instead of screen and treat strategies, may be needed to successfully treat the asymptomatic, subpatent parasite reservoir and reduce transmission in similar settings.