To address the challenges of real-time control in power systems with high renewable penetration, identifying historical transmission sections similar to future scenarios enables efficient reuse of mature control strategies. However, existing data-driven identification methods exhibit two primary limitations: they typically rely on static Total Transfer Capacity (TTC), ignoring the rapid regulation capability of Energy Storage Systems (ESS) in alleviating congestion; and they employ fixed weights for similarity measurement, failing to distinguish the varying importance of different features (e.g., critical line flows vs. ordinary voltages). To overcome these issues, this paper proposes a similarity identification method for transmission sections considering ESS regulation capabilities and adaptive feature weights. First, a hierarchical decision model is utilized to screen basic grid features. An optimization model incorporating ESS charge/discharge constraints and emergency power support potential is established to calculate the Dynamic TTC, constructing a multi-scale feature set that reflects the real-time safety margin of the grid. Second, a Dispersion-Weighted Fuzzy C-Means (DW-FCM) clustering algorithm is proposed. By introducing a dispersion-weighting mechanism, the algorithm utilizes data distribution characteristics to automatically learn and assign higher weights to key features with high distinguishability during the iteration process, overcoming the subjectivity of manual weighting. Furthermore, fuzzy validity indices (XB, PC, FS) are introduced to adaptively determine the optimal number of clusters. Finally, case studies on the IEEE 39-bus system verify that the proposed method significantly improves identification accuracy compared to traditional methods and provides more reliable references for dispatching decisions.

Extreme scenarios involving abnormal load fluctuations pose serious challenges to the safe and stable operation of power systems. To address these challenges, an ultra-short-term load forecasting model is proposed, specifically designed for extreme conditions. The model combines density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN), random search Bayesian optimization (RSBO), bidirectional gated recurrent units (BiGRUs), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), and an attention mechanism, enhanced by a fine-tuning strategy to improve forecasting accuracy. Firstly, the original load data are reconstructed weekly, and extreme scenarios are identified using the DBSCAN. Secondly, the RSBO is employed to optimize model parameters within the high-dimensional search space. To further refine performance, the final fully connected layer is fine-tuned to adapt to extreme conditions. Finally, case studies demonstrate that the proposed approach reduces the root mean square error (RMSE) by 12.37% and the mean absolute error (MAE) by 6.73% compared to benchmark models, achieving superior accuracy under all tested extreme scenarios.