High spatial and temporal resolution products of near-surface air temperature (T2m) over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) are required as baseline information in a variety of research disciplines. Due to the sparse network of in situ data on the GrIS, remote sensing data and machine learning methods provide great advantages, due to their capacity and accessibility. The Land Surface Temperature (LST) at 780 m resolution from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and T2m observation from 25 Automatic Weather Stations (AWSs) are used to establish a relationship over the GrIS by comparing multiple machine learning approaches. Four machine learning methods—neural network (NN), gaussian process regression (GPR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF)—are used to reconstruct the T2m at daily and monthly scales. We develop a reliable T2m reconstruction model based on key meteorological parameters, such as albedo, wind speed, and specific humidity. The reconstructions daily and monthly products are generated on a 780 m × 780 m spatial grid spanning from 2007 to 2019. When compared with in situ observations, the NN method presents the highest accuracy, with R of 0.96, RMSE of 2.67 °C, and BIAS of −0.36 °C. Similar to the regional climate model (RACMO2.3p2), the reconstructed T2m can better reflect the spatial pattern in term of latitude, longitude, and altitude effects.
In this paper, the glacial debris flow blockage event, on 17 October 2018, in the Sedongpu basin of the Yarlung Zangbo River is taken as an example to analyse the occurrence and development of glacier hazards in this region. Multi-sources including remote sensing products, DEM, earthquake records and meteorological data were used to analyse the characteristics and mechanism of glacier hazards. The Elmer/Ice dynamic model was chosen to simulate the glacial surface velocity. It was found that topography and climate background determine that the hazard happens periodically. Based on the meteorological records of the Linzhi station, the warming rate was greater than 0.40 °C/10a during the period 1960–2017. The short-term heavy rainfall with daily values of 9.3 mm before the blockage event was also regarded as a factor. Both heavy rain and earthquake were triggering factors of the ice avalanche that led to the glacial debris flow. The glacier surface velocity of the Dongpu glacier simulated by Elmer/Ice model can reach 19 cm/d. This study has extensive applicability significance in glacier hazard mitigation under a changing climate.
Satellite-based data have promoted the research progress in polar regions under global climate change, meanwhile the uncertainties and limitations of satellite-derived surface temperatures are widely discussed over Greenland. This study validated the accuracy of ice surface temperature (IST) from the moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) over the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS). Daily MODIS IST was validated against the observational surface temperature from 24 automatic weather stations (AWSs) using the mean bias (MB), the root mean square (RMSE), and the correlation coefficient (R). The temporal and spatial variability over the GrIS spanning from March 2000 to December 2019 and the IST melt threshold (−1 °C) were analyzed. Generally, the MODIS IST was underestimated by an average of −2.68 °C compared to AWSs, with cold bias mainly occurring in winter. Spatially, the R and RMSE performed the better accuracy of MODIS IST on the northwest, northeast, and central part of the GrIS. Furthermore, the mean IST is mainly concentrated between −20 °C and −10 °C in summer while between −50 °C and −30 °C in winter. The largest positive IST anomalies (exceeds 3 °C) occurred in southwestern GrIS during 2010. IST shows the positive trends mainly in spring and summer and negative in autumn and winter.