Vahid Jamali

Mr. Vahid Jamali

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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25 April 2022 in Modeling Earth Systems and Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
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MGMohammadreza Goodarzi
Mohammadreza Goodarzi
ANAmir Reza R. Niknam
Amir Reza R. Niknam
VJVahid Jamali
Vahid Jamali
Hamid Reza PourghasemiHamid Reza Pourghasemi
Hamid Reza Pourghasemi

25 December 2023 in Hydrology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MGMohammadreza Goodarzi
Mohammadreza Goodarzi
MPMahnaz Heydari pour
Mahnaz Heydari pour
VJVahid Jamali
Vahid Jamali
MSMaryam Sabaghzadeh
Maryam Sabaghzadeh
Majid NiazkarMajid Niazkar
Majid Niazkar
Climate change affects hydroclimatic variables, and assessing the uncertainty in future predictions is crucial. This study aims to explore variations in temperature and precipitation in the Kerman Plain under climate change impacts between 2023 and 2054. For this purpose, two climate models, MRI-ESM-2 and BCC-CSM2-MR, were used to simulate precipitation and temperature under two different scenarios. The Mann–Kendall test was employed to analyze the annual time series in the future period. The results indicated an increase in the average temperature of about 1.5 degrees Celsius based on both scenarios in the coming years. Furthermore, an average annual increase of 6.37 mm of precipitation was predicted under the SSP585 scenario. Meanwhile, under the SSP585 scenario, an increase was estimated using the MRI-ESM-2 model, and a decrease was predicted with the BCC-CSM2-MR model. The Mann–Kendall test revealed a downward trend in the BCC-CSM2-MR model under both scenarios and an upward trend in the MRI-ESM-2 model under both scenarios. The bootstrap method and the R-factor index were exploited in this study with a 95% confidence interval to estimate the uncertainty of the predicted data. The results demonstrated that the predicted precipitation is more uncertain than the temperature. Finally, it is postulated that the obtained results provide necessary information for water resource management under a changing climate in the study area.