Background: Despite global efforts to control the COVID-19 pandemic, the emergence of new viral strains continues to pose a significant threat. Accurate patient stratification, optimized resource allocation, and appropriate treatment are crucial in managing COVID-19 cases. To address this, a simple and accurate prognostic tool capable of rapidly identifying individuals at high risk of mortality is urgently needed. Early prognosis facilitates predicting treatment outcomes and enables effective patient management. The aim of this study was to develop an early predictive model for assessing mortality risk in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, utilizing baseline clinical factors. Methods: We conducted a descriptive cross-sectional study involving a cohort of 375 COVID-19 patients admitted and treated at the COVID-19 Patient Treatment Center in Military Hospital 175 from October 2021 to December 2022. Results: Among the 375 patients, 246 and 129 patients were categorized into the survival and mortality groups, respectively. Our findings revealed six clinical factors that demonstrated independent predictive value for mortality in COVID-19 patients. These factors included age greater than 50 years, presence of multiple underlying diseases, dyspnea, acute confusion, saturation of peripheral oxygen below 94%, and oxygen demand exceeding 5 L per minute. We integrated these factors to develop the Military Hospital 175 scale (MH175), a prognostic scale demonstrating significant discriminatory ability with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.87. The optimal cutoff value for predicting mortality risk using the MH175 score was determined to be ≥ 3 points, resulting in a sensitivity of 96.1%, specificity of 63.4%, positive predictive value of 58%, and negative predictive value of 96.9%. Conclusions: The MH175 scale demonstrated a robust predictive capacity for assessing mortality risk in patients with COVID-19. Implementation of the MH175 scale in clinical settings can aid in patient stratification and facilitate the application of appropriate treatment strategies, ultimately reducing the risk of death. Therefore, the utilization of the MH175 scale holds significant potential to improve clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. Trial registration: An independent ethics committee approved the study (Research Ethics Committee of Military Hospital 175 (No. 3598GCN-HDDD; date: October 8, 2021), which was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki, Guidelines for Good Clinical Practice.
The study aimed to characterize serum immunoglobulin (Ig) concentrations and their relationship with clinical and paraclinical features in patients with COPD group E in the stable stage. Additionally, the study focused on evaluating the relationship between serum Ig levels and the risk of exacerbations over the next 12 months, thereby clarifying the role of serum Ig deficiency in affecting the future risk for these patients. A prospective observational study assessed IgG, IgA, IgM, and IgE levels in 67 COPD patients and 30 healthy controls at Military Hospital 103 from October 2017 to August 2020. Primary outcomes included Ig isotype levels in COPD patients, with secondary outcomes exploring differences compared to controls and associations with clinical variables. COPD patients showed significantly lower IgG concentrations and higher IgA levels than controls. IgM and IgE levels did not differ significantly. Subgroup analysis revealed notable decreases in IgG1 and IgG3 concentrations, with 10.4% of patients exhibiting reduced IgG levels and 0.3% diagnosed with common variable immunodeficiency. No significant associations were found between Ig levels and exacerbation risk or clinical variables. Serum IgG and IgM concentrations were significantly reduced in COPD patients compared to normal individuals, with IgG1 and IgG3 concentrations notably low. Serum IgA levels were significantly higher in COPD patients compared with normal controls. However, no significant association was found between Ig concentrations, particularly serum IgG deficiency and its subclasses, with the frequency and risk of exacerbations during 12 months of longitudinal follow-up. Caution is warranted in the use of immunoglobulin therapy in the treatment of COPD patients. An independent ethics committee approved the study (Ethics Committee of Military Hospital 103 (No. 57/2014/VMMU-IRB), which was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki, Guidelines for Good Clinical Practice.
Introduction: Despite the theoretical importance of serum immunoglobulin (Ig) in the outcome of COPD exacerbations, the existing evidence for this has not been enough. This study was performed to evaluate changes in serum Ig levels and their relationship with outcomes of acute infectious exacerbations in patients with COPD. Methods: The prospective study was conducted at Military Hospital 103 from August 2017 to April 2019. Group D patients with COPD with infectious exacerbation were selected for participation in the study. The control group consisted of 30 healthy people. The patients were provided clinical examination and laboratory service; simultaneously, we measured their serum Ig levels (total IgG, IgG1, IgG2, IgG3, IgG4) at two time points: at admission (T1) and the final health outcome (T2). Results: The median levels of total IgG in patients at times T1 and T2 were significantly lower compared with those in the healthy group (1119.3 mg/dL and 1150.6 mg/dL compared with 2032.2 mg/dL) (p < 0.001). Regarding changes among IgG subclasses, the IgG1, IgG3, and IgG4 levels measured at T1 and T2 were reduced significantly compared with the control group (p < 0.05); the IgG3 levels at T1 were significantly higher than those at T2. IgG3 levels in patients with life-threatening exacerbations were significantly lower than the remaining ones (24.6 (26.8–155.5) mg/dL and 25.6 (29.5–161.2) mg/dL, respectively, p = 0.023). Conclusions: In group D patients with COPD with infectious exacerbations, there was a decrease in the serum IgG, IgG1, IgG3, and IgG4 levels. IgG3 levels were associated with the severity of COPD exacerbation.
1 January 2025 in Therapeutic Advances in Respiratory Disease
Background: Quantitative computed tomography has emerged as a crucial tool for assessing the severity of emphysema in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients. Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) levels are significantly elevated in patients with chronic bronchitis but reduced in those with emphysema. Chronic inflammation is a key factor in the pathogenesis and progression of COPD, with cytokines such as Interleukin-1 beta playing a significant role. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the characteristics of emphysema in patients with COPD using quantitative computed tomography (QCT) and to investigate the relationship between the extent of emphysema, clinical phenotypes, lung function, and plasma concentrations of VEGF and IL-1β in COPD patients. Design: A prospective cross-sectional study was conducted on 30 male patients with stable COPD at Military Hospital 175. Methods: The emphysema index (EI) was quantified using QCT of the chest and categorized into levels from 0 to 4. Data on acute exacerbation frequency, CAT scores, mMRC, pulmonary function indices, arterial blood gas measurements, and plasma concentrations of VEGF and IL-1β were collected and analyzed to determine their relationship with EI. Results: The study found an average EI of 12.8% ± 11.64%, with 96.7% of patients exhibiting a bronchitis-dominant phenotype. The severity of airflow obstruction, PaCO 2 levels, mMRC scores, and the number of exacerbations per year increased with the degree of emphysema. Conversely, FEV1% and the FEV1/FVC ratio significantly decreased with increasing emphysema severity. Plasma VEGF concentration was inversely correlated with the EI. In GOLD 3 and 4 stages, plasma VEGF levels decreased in proportion to emphysema severity, indicating that more advanced emphysema was associated with a more rapid decline in VEGF concentrations. Notably, when emphysema exceeded 25%, a significant reduction in both VEGF and IL-1β concentrations was observed. Conclusion: The EI determined by QCT is a valuable tool for identifying COPD phenotypes and assessing disease severity. It can also provide insights into the prognosis regarding the risk of exacerbations, clinical symptom burden, and lung function decline. The significant inverse correlation between plasma VEGF concentration and EI indicates that decreased VEGF levels may be a crucial factor in the pathogenesis of emphysema, suggesting a potential target for research on “treatable” factors in COPD management. Trial registration: The study was approved by an independent ethics committee (Ethics Committee of Military Hospital 175, No. 003/QĐ-IRB-VN01.055) and conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and Guidelines for Good Clinical Practice.
Background: Despite global efforts to control the COVID-19 pandemic, the emergence of new viral strains continues to pose a significant threat. Accurate patient stratification, optimized resource allocation, and appropriate treatment are crucial in managing COVID-19 cases. To address this, a simple and accurate prognostic tool capable of rapidly identifying individuals at high risk of mortality is urgently needed. Early prognosis facilitates predicting treatment outcomes and enables effective patient management. The aim of this study was to develop an early predictive model for assessing mortality risk in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, utilizing baseline clinical factors. Methods: We conducted a descriptive cross-sectional study involving a cohort of 375 COVID-19 patients admitted and treated at the COVID-19 Patient Treatment Center in Military Hospital 175 from October 2021 to December 2022. Results: Among the 375 patients, 246 and 129 patients were categorized into the survival and mortality groups, respectively. Our findings revealed six clinical factors that demonstrated independent predictive value for mortality in COVID-19 patients. These factors included age greater than 50 years, presence of multiple underlying diseases, dyspnea, acute confusion, oxygen saturation below 94%, and oxygen demand exceeding 5 liters per minute. We integrated these factors to develop the Military Hospital 175 scale (MH175), a prognostic scale demonstrating significant discriminatory ability with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.87. The optimal cutoff value for predicting mortality risk using the MH175 score was determined to be ≥ 3 points, resulting in a sensitivity of 96.1%, specificity of 63.4%, positive predictive value of 58%, and negative predictive value of 96.9%. Conclusions: The MH175 scale demonstrated a robust predictive capacity for assessing mortality risk in patients with COVID-19. Implementation of the MH175 scale in clinical settings can aid in patient stratification and facilitate the application of appropriate treatment strategies, ultimately reducing the risk of death. Therefore, the utilization of the MH175 scale holds significant potential to improve clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. Trial registration: The participants were registered.