William  Goggins

Prof. William Goggins

Division of Biostatistics, Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

23Years (2004-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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22 June 2012 in PLOS ONE
Verified
Journal Article
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WGWilliam Goggins
William Goggins
ECEmily Ying Yang Chan
Emily Ying Yang Chan
ENEdward Ng
Edward Ng
CRChao Ren
Chao Ren
LCLiang Chen
Liang Chen
Prior studies from around the world have indicated that very high temperatures tend to increase summertime mortality. However possible effect modification by urban micro heat islands has only been examined by a few studies in North America and Europe. This study examined whether daily mortality in micro heat island areas of Hong Kong was more sensitive to short term changes in meteorological conditions than in other areas. An urban heat island index (UHII) was calculated for each of Hong Kong’s 248 geographical tertiary planning units (TPU). Daily counts of all natural deaths among Hong Kong residents were stratified according to whether the place of residence of the decedent was in a TPU with high (above the median) or low UHII. Poisson Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) were used to estimate the association between meteorological variables and mortality while adjusting for trend, seasonality, pollutants and flu epidemics. Analyses were restricted to the hot season (June-September). Mean temperatures (lags 0–4) above 29°C and low mean wind speeds (lags 0–4) were significantly associated with higher daily mortality and these associations were stronger in areas with high UHII. A 1°C rise above 29°C was associated with a 4.1% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.7%, 7.6%) increase in natural mortality in areas with high UHII but only a 0.7% (95% CI: −2.4%, 3.9%) increase in low UHII areas. Lower mean wind speeds (5th percentile vs. 95th percentile) were associated with a 5.7% (95% CI: 2.7, 8.9) mortality increase in high UHII areas vs. a −0.3% (95% CI: −3.2%, 2.6%) change in low UHII areas. The results suggest that urban micro heat islands exacerbate the negative health consequences of high temperatures and low wind speeds. Urban planning measures designed to mitigate heat island effects may lessen the health effects of unfavorable summertime meteorological conditions.

6 July 2010 in BMC Public Health
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Journal Article
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SWSamuel Wong
Samuel Wong
KKKenny Kung
Kenny Kung
SGSian M Griffiths
Sian M Griffiths
TCTanya Carthy
Tanya Carthy
Martin WongMartin Wong
Martin Wong
BSBarbara Starfield
Barbara Starfield
The main goal of Hong Kong's publicly-funded general outpatient clinics (GOPCs) is to provide primary medical services for the financially vulnerable. The objective of the current study was to compare the primary care experiences of GOPC users and the users of care provided by private general practitioners (GPs) in Hong Kong via a territory-wide telephone survey.

ECEmily Ying Yang Chan
Emily Ying Yang Chan
HLHolly Lam
Holly Lam
SSSuzanne H. W. So
Suzanne H. W. So
WGWilliam Goggins
William Goggins
JHJanice Ying-en Ho
Janice Ying-en Ho
PCPhoebe P. W. Chung
Phoebe P. W. Chung
Background: Mental disorders have been found to be positively associated with temperature in cool to cold climatic regions but the association in warmer regions is unclear. This study presented the short-term association between temperatures and mental disorder hospitalizations in a subtropical city with a mean annual temperature over 21 °C. Methods: Using Poisson-generalized additive models and distributed-lagged nonlinear models, daily mental disorder hospitalizations between 2002 and 2011 in Hong Kong were regressed on daily mean temperature, relative humidity, and air pollutants, adjusted for seasonal trend, long-term trend, day-of-week, and holiday. Analyses were stratified by disease class, gender and age-group. Results: 44,600 admissions were included in the analysis. Temperature was positively associated with overall mental-disorder hospitalizations (cumulative relative risk at 28 °C vs. 19.4 °C (interquartile range, lag 0–2 days) = 1.09 (95% confidence interval 1.03, 1.15)), with the strongest effect among the elderly (≥75 years old). Transient mental disorders due to conditions classified elsewhere and episodic mood disorders also showed strong positive associations with temperature. Conclusion: This study found a positive temperature–mental-disorder admissions association in a warm subtropical region and the association was most prominent among older people. With the dual effect of global warming and an aging population, targeted strategies should be designed to lower the disease burden.

1 November 2019 in Science of The Total Environment
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Journal Article
Closed access
DWDan Wang
Dan Wang
Kevin Ka-Lun LauKevin Ka-Lun Lau
Kevin Ka-Lun Lau
CRChao Ren
Chao Ren
WGWilliam Goggins
William Goggins
Yuan ShiYuan Shi
Yuan Shi
ENEdward Ng
Edward Ng


14 September 2011 in International Journal of Biometeorology
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Journal Article
Closed access
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WGWilliam Goggins
William Goggins
Jean WooJean Woo
Jean Woo
SHSuzanne Ho
Suzanne Ho
ECEmily Ying Yang Chan
Emily Ying Yang Chan
PCPui Hing Chau
Pui Hing Chau