On December 29, 2020, nine months after the March Mw 5.4 Zagreb earthquake and amidst the COVID-19 lockdown, a devastating Mw 6.4 earthquake struck near the town of Petrinja, about 50 km SE from the country’s capital Zagreb. It was preceded by the Mw 4.9 foreshock from the day before. The main shock claimed 7 fatalities and caused widespread damage. Historical centers of nearby cities with invaluable heritage buildings were significantly affected as were the many residential buildings, built mainly of unreinforced masonry. Damage was observed as far as 60 km from the epicenter. This paper summarizes the seismological aspects of the Mw 6.4 Petrinja earthquake, the emergency response and the main impacts to people and buildings. The description and findings are based on the field observations and a series of post-earthquake activities led by the team of the Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Zagreb. Typical damage to buildings and usability data are presented with examples based on 50,000 inspection results. By far the most affected were the unreinforced masonry buildings, followed by confined masonry, whereas reinforced concrete buildings were the least affected. The total direct and indirect losses are estimated to 4.8 billion EUR. The provided information represents a useful basis and impetus for improving emergency action and long-term disaster reduction plans in other regions with similar building exposure and seismotectonic settings.
1 January 2020 in Journal of the Croatian Association of Civil Engineers
Despite significant scientific and technological advancements in earthquake engineering, earthquakes continue to cause widespread destruction of the built environment, often resulting in numerous fatalities and substantial economic losses. Southeastern Europe, which includes Croatia, is part of the Mediterranean–Trans-Asian high-seismic activity zone. This area has recently experienced a series of earthquakes which had severe consequences for both populations and economies. Notably, the types of buildings that suffered significant damage or collapse during these events still constitute a large portion of the building stock across the region. The majority of residential buildings in Croatia and neighboring areas was constructed before the adoption of modern seismic standards, indicating that a considerable part of the building stock remains highly vulnerable to earthquakes. Therefore, the main goal of this study is to identify the building types which significantly contribute to seismic risk, with the focus on Zagreb as Croatia’s largest city and the capital; collect the documentation on the structural systems and occupancy; analyze the data; and carry out the initial vulnerability assessment. This serves as a first step toward developing a new exposure and vulnerability model for Zagreb that is also applicable to all urban areas in the region with similar building stock and seismotectonic conditions.
The city of Zagreb, the national capital and economic hub of Croatia, is situated in a seismically active region and hosts a significant array of historical buildings, from the medieval to Austro-Hungarian periods. These buildings possess varying but generally high degrees of vulnerability to seismic loading. This was highlighted in the Zagreb earthquake of 22 March 2020, emphasizing the need for seismic retrofitting in order to preserve this architectural heritage. In this paper, the seismic capacity of one such unreinforced masonry building is considered through a number of analysis methods, including response spectrum, pushover, and out-of-plane wall failure analyses. Given the advantages and disadvantages of the individual methods, their applicability and value in a seismic analysis is considered. Ambient vibration measurements before and after the Zagreb 2020 earthquake, used for model calibration, are also presented. Conclusions are drawn from each individual analysis and later compared. In conclusion, no single analysis method considers all relevant failure modes, and a combination of nonlinear static or dynamic analysis and out-of-plane analysis is recommended. Due to the large volume of the material, it is published in two parts, with ground motion record selection, dynamic analysis, and a comparison of the results published in part two.
9 April 2025 in Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering
The historic center of Zagreb’s Lower Town presents a moderate seismic hazard but high exposure and vulnerability. This vulnerability was also demonstrated by the earthquake that struck Zagreb on March 22, 2020 (ML=5.5), which led to significant socio-economic repercussions and damage to the historic buildings. The paper analyses the residential buildings in Zagreb’s historic downtown and aims to develop tools useful for urban-scale seismic risk assessment. To this end, the seismic response of unreinforced masonry (URM) buildings in aggregate representing the city’s construction was numerically analyzed using the equivalent frame approach implemented in Tremuri software. Special attention was given to evaluating the aggregate effect by analyzing the Structural Unit (SU) both in isolation and aggregate configurations. Another aspect analyzed is the evaluation of out-of-plane (OOP) mechanisms and how they impact the development of global fragility curves. The analysis of local mechanisms was carried out using the rigid block model assumptions, with seismic input from accelerograms derived from the 3D model. For this purpose, a detailed analysis was conducted on the structure’s dynamic response variation with increasing damage and on the related floor spectra. For the reference building, it was found that the aggregate effect is beneficial for the single SU, while the OOP mechanisms lead to a considerable setback of the fragility curves due to the reduced in-plane (IP) vulnerability of the building, and thus the lack of a filtering effect by the structure.
On 29 December 2020, a devastating Mw6.4 earthquake struck near the town of Petrinja, Croatia. The main earthquake was preceded by a Mw4.9 foreshock the day before. The earthquakes caused extensive damage to buildings, especially historic buildings made of unreinforced masonry but also to buildings of other typologies and to critical infrastructure. Today, recovery efforts in Croatia focus primarily on reconstruction and seismic retrofitting. Family homes and public, cultural, educational, and other facilities are top priorities. In this paper, a comprehensive study of existing building in the educational sector is presented as a case study. The seismic performance of the building is evaluated using numerical methods, first for the as-built condition and then for the retrofitted building. For each condition, the collapse mechanisms of the building were determined and critical structural elements were identified. The presented retrofit strategy of the dual structural system consisting of RC frame system and masonry walls aims to reduce the displacements of the RC frame system to a level sufficient to prevent the early brittle failure of the concrete. Additionally, the discrepancies when using different modelling approaches are discussed.