The study aimed to assess the trajectories of lifestyle characteristics and their association with 20-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence. In 2002, 3042 Greek adults (aged: 45 (12) years) free of CVD were enrolled. In 2022, the 20-year follow-up was performed on 2169 participants; of those, 1988 had complete data for CVD. The 20-year CVD incidence was 3600 cases/10,000 individuals; the man-to-woman ratio was 1.25, with the peak difference in the 35–45 age group (i.e., 2.1); however, a reversal of the trend was observed in the age-groups 55–65 and 65–75, with a resumption of an almost equal incidence in those >75 years. In multi-adjusted analysis, age, sex, abnormal waist circumference, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, and diabetes were positively associated with 20-year CVD risk, explaining 56% of the excess CVD risk, whereas an additional 30% was attributed to lifestyle trajectories; being physically active throughout life-course and being close to the Mediterranean diet were protective, while continuous smoking was detrimental against CVD risk. Mediterranean diet adherence protected against CVD development even if not sustained, while quitting smoking or engaging in physical activities during the 20-year observation did not offer any significant protection. A life-course personalized approach that is cost-effective and long-term sustained is needed to prevent CVD burden.

The Global Diet Quality Score (GDQS) is a novel food-based score that assesses both nutrient adequacy and chronic disease risk, by evaluating healthy (GDQS+) and unhealthy foods (GDQS−). The aim of this study was to evaluate the association among GDQS, GDQS+, and GDQS− against the 20-year risk of cardiometabolic outcomes in a Mediterranean population. The sample was n = 2169 initially free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) participants of the ATTICA study (2002–2022) that participated in the 20-year follow-up. The incidence of CVD, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) was defined according to WHO-ICD-10 criteria. The GDQS was computed based on previously published instructions. In multivariate analyses, a higher diet quality, per 1/49 of the GDQS, was associated with an 8% [95% Confidence Interval—CI: 6–9%] and 2% [95% CI: 1–3%] lower CVD and T2DM risk, respectively. A higher consumption of healthy foods, per 1/32 of GDQS+, was associated with a 9% [95% CI: 7–11%] and 2% [95% CI: 1–3%] lower CVD and T2DM risk, respectively. Contrarily, a lower consumption of unhealthy foods (GDQS−) was not associated with cardiometabolic events in the adjusted models (all p value< 0.05). In clinical practice or future public health actions to ameliorate dietary habits and prevent CVD and T2DM, more attention should be focused on healthy foods that should be included in our diets.

This study aimed to evaluate the association between adherence to the Mediterranean diet and the 20-year incidence of type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM) among adults from the ATTICA study. This study involved a prospective cohort of 3042 men and women recruited at baseline from the Attica region in Greece. Sociodemographic, anthropometric, lifestyle, and clinical characteristics were evaluated at baseline and follow-up examinations; adherence to the Mediterranean diet was assessed through the MedDietScore (range 0–55); four Mediterranean diet trajectories were identified (i.e., increasing, decreasing, and sustained high and sustained low adherence levels). For the present analysis, data from 2000 individuals with complete information were used (age 43 ± 13 years; 49% men). Over the 20-year period, 26.3% (95%CI 24.4%, 28.3%) of participants developed T2DM; men exhibited a 1.5-times higher incidence compared to women (p < 0.001). Individuals consistently close to the Mediterranean diet throughout the studied period had an improved glycemic and lipidemic profile (at baseline and at 10-y follow-up) (all p-values < 0.001) and showed a 21% reduction in their 20-year risk of developing T2DM compared to those who were consistently away (RR = 0.79, 95%CI 0.47, 0.86). A long-term adherence to the Mediterranean diet is protective against the onset of T2DM and, therefore, could be incorporated in public health actions for the prevention of the disease.

Evidence of the association between dietary habits and long-term body weight status is scarce. This study aimed to evaluate changes in Mediterranean-type diet (MTD) adherence in relation to body weight during 20 years of follow-up. Data from n = 1582 participants from the ATTICA cohort study (2002–2022) were used. MTD adherence was assessed via MedDietScore, and body weight status via body mass index (BMI) by 3 different measurements. We found that MTD adherence and changes in this adherence were inversely related to BMI at 20 years and the mean BMI during the 20-year follow-up. In multi-adjusted linear regression models, a 1/55 increase in baseline, 10-year, and 20-year MedDietScore was associated with a decrease of 0.05–0.13 kg/m² in BMI at 20 years and of 0.08–0.09 kg/m² in the mean BMI. Being consistently close to the MTD for 20 years was associated with a >90% decreased risk of maintaining overweight/obesity during the 20-year period. Strong, protective, long-lasting effects of the MTD were observed, even in those who deviated from the MTD in the follow-up (41% of the sample). Our results highlight the need to focus on the overall diet quality to minimize the risk of maintaining an excessive body weight during the life-course.

The aim of this study was to present the burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its related risk factors based on a 20-year observation period (2002-2022). In 2002, 3,042 Greek adults (aged: 45 (12) years) free of CVD, cancer, or any other chronic infections were enrolled. In 2022, the 20-year follow-up was performed on 2,169 participants (1,988 had complete data for CVD). Lifetime risk for CVDs and Disability-Adjusted-Life-Years (DALYs) lost were also calculated. The 20-year CVD incidence was 3,600 cases/10,000 individuals (man-to-woman ratio 5:4). At the index age of 40 years, the lifetime risk for developing CVD was 68% for men and 63% for women; as the participants were getting older, the lifetime risk declined by approximately 19% and 13% for men and women, respectively, but remained at high levels, reaching 55% for both sexes. Participants between 45-55 years exhibited the highest CVD burden concerning aggregated DALYs. The burden was greater in men than in women, at ages below 35 years; beyond this age threshold, this trend shifted, and women exhibited a higher CVD burden. The burden of CVD in Greece has shown increasing trends over the past 20 years as a result of the accumulative growth of the prevalence of modifiable CVD risk factors. The disability-adjusted life-years lost are the most observed ever before, urging for efficient public health strategies and measures.