Snow, as an important component of the cryosphere, holds a crucial role in the construction of polar infrastructure. However, the current research on the mechanical properties of snow is not comprehensive. To contribute to our understanding of the mechanical behaviors of snow in cold regions, uniaxial compression tests under step loading were performed on the snow. With the Maxwell model as the basis, different temperatures, densities, and loading rates were set to establish constitutive equations of snow. The changes in the elastic modulus and viscosity coefficient of snow with respect to three variables were investigated. The results show that the loading rate has no obvious effect on the elastic modulus and viscosity coefficient of snow. Both the elastic modulus and viscosity coefficient of snow follow an exponential function with respect to density, with an increase in density, resulting in a higher value. As temperature decreases, the elastic modulus and viscosity coefficient initially decrease and then increase, whereas no specific functional relationship between them was observed. Additionally, a new constitutive equation considering snow density is derived based on the Maxwell model.
In river management, it is important to obtain ice velocity quickly and accurately during ice flood periods. However, traditional ice velocity monitoring methods require buoys, which are costly and inefficient to distribute. It was found that UAV remote sensing images combined with machine vision technology yielded obvious practical advantages in ice velocity monitoring. Current research has mainly monitored sea ice velocity through GPS or satellite remote sensing technology, with few reports available on river ice velocity monitoring. Moreover, traditional river ice velocity monitoring methods are subjective. To solve the problems of existing time-consuming and inaccurate ice velocity monitoring methods, a new ice velocity extraction method based on UAV remote sensing technology is proposed in this article. In this study, the Mohe River section in Heilongjiang Province was chosen as the research area. High-resolution orthoimages were obtained with a UAV during the ice flood period, and feature points in drift ice images were then extracted with the scale-invariant feature transform (SIFT) algorithm. Moreover, the extracted feature points were matched with the brute force (BF) algorithm. According to optimization results obtained with the random sample consensus (RANSAC) algorithm, the motion trajectories of these feature points were tracked, and an ice displacement rate field was finally established. The results indicated that the average ice velocities in the research area reached 2.00 and 0.74 m/s, and the maximum ice velocities on the right side of the river center were 2.65 and 1.04 m/s at 16:00 on 25 April 2021 and 8:00 on 26 April 2021, respectively. The ice velocity decreased from the river center toward the river banks. The proposed ice velocity monitoring technique and reported data in this study could provide an effective reference for the prediction of ice flood disasters.
The ice flood phenomenon frequently occurs in frigid locations of high latitude and high altitude, which triggers ice dam or ice jam flooding thus endangering personal and property safety. Hence, a scientific risk evaluation with enough consideration of each factor is a basic and necessary requirement for preventing ice flood disaster risks. This study establishes a risk evaluation system for ice flood disasters based on the catastrophe theory and utilizes the Pearson correlation coefficient to screen underlying indicators to evaluate the risk of ice flood in the upper Heilongjiang River region. Considering the correlation between different indicators, a hierarchical cluster analysis is invoked to simplify the indicator set and to select typical years. The results of the evaluation system indicate that the catastrophe membership values in the Mohe, Tahe, and Huma regions from 2000 to 2020 ranged from 0.86 to 0.93. Based on the membership values and the actual disaster situations, a four-level classification of risk ratings is conducted. The comparison between the results obtained from the catastrophe theory evaluation method and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method reveals similar risk levels, which verifies the effectiveness and practicality of the catastrophe theory applied to the ice flood risk evaluation and presents a novel method for the study of ice floods.
28 July 2023 in Journal of Thermal Science and Engineering Applications
The aim of this study was to enhance the accuracy of predicting the temperature field of frozen soil and to reduce the workload of thermal parameter testing. To achieve this, we employed a three-phase model comprising soil, water, and ice. The unfrozen water content in frozen soil at varying temperatures was determined using nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy (NMR), while the thermal conductivity was measured by a thermal characteristic analyzer. A matlab software-based random model of the frozen soil was then established and imported into COMSOL simulation software. The repeatability and reproducibility of the established model were verified by varying the proportions of pore water and frozen ice to determine the degree of simulation accuracy.The results demonstrated that the unfrozen water content maintained a dynamic equilibrium relationship with temperature, which influenced the thermal conductivity of frozen soil. The simulation results were consistent with those obtained from instrument measurements of trends with respect to temperature. The average PBIAS value between the calculated and measured values was 0.0139, indicating theoretical feasibility. Comparison with experimental data confirmed the effectiveness of our approach, providing a novel concept and a simple method for predicting the temperature field of frozen soil engineering in areas that experience seasonal freezing.
Ice-jam floods (IJFs) are a significant hydrological phenomenon in the upper reaches of the Heilongjiang River, posing substantial threats to public safety and property. This study employed various feature selection techniques, including the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC), Grey Relational Analysis (GRA), mutual information (MI), and stepwise regression (SR), to identify key predictors of river ice break-up dates. Based on this, we constructed various machine learning models, including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Regression (SVR). The results indicate that the ice reserves in the Oupu to Heihe section have the most significant impact on the ice break-up date in the Heihe section. Additionally, the accumulated temperature during the break-up period and average temperature before river ice break-up are identified as features closely related to the river’s opening in all four feature selection methods. The choice of feature selection method notably impacts the performance of the machine learning models in predicting the river ice break-up dates. Among the models tested, XGBoost with PCC-based feature selection achieved the highest accuracy (RMSE = 2.074, MAE = 1.571, R2 = 0.784, NSE = 0.756, TSS = 0.950). This study provides a more accurate and effective method for predicting river ice break-up dates, offering a scientific basis for preventing and managing IJF disasters.
Ground penetrating radar (GPR) has proven to be a very effective method for examining ice thickness. However, two preconditions must be met for this approach to be useful; the round-trip travel time of electromagnetic (EM) waves and radar transmission speed in the ice must be known. These issues are problematic because many factors affect radar transmission speed in ice, including impurities, physical properties such as porosity and density, and temperature. Results show that if these factors are not taken into account and a signal velocity of 0.17 m/ns in pure ice is used to estimate thickness, overestimates will result. We carried out a series of GPR surveys using dual channel host 200 MHz shielded antennas at the Toudaoguai Hydrological Station on the Yellow River, China, and collected samples to analyze ice impurities and physical properties. The results show that the ice crystal types include frazil, granular, and column at the Toudaoguai Hydrologic Station section. Our analysis of ice gas bubble and sediment content showed that the gas bubble volume content is between 11.95 and 13.0% in the frazil ice and between 7.9% and 8.6% in granular and columnar ice. At the same time, the ice sediment content ranged between 0.11‰ and 0.57‰, and the average was 0.24‰ in granular and columnar ice, which was about one-tenth that of the suspended sediment concentration in water. Additionally, a combination of GPR data as well as ice impurities, porosity, density, and temperature enabled us to provide insights on the variability of radar transmission speed and the equivalent dielectric permittivity in river ice. Our extensive observations reveal that radar transmission speed falls between 0.141 m/ns and 0.164 m/ns and that the equivalent dielectric permittivity of river ice increases in concert with ice temperature.