Soil temperature directly affects the germination of seeds and the growth of crops. In order to accurately predict soil temperature, this study used RF and MLP to simulate shallow soil temperature, and then the shallow soil temperature with the best simulation effect will be used to predict the deep soil temperature. The models were forced by combinations of environmental factors, including daily air temperature (T_air), water vapor pressure (P_w), net radiation (R_n), and soil moisture (VWC), which were observed in the Hejiashan watershed on the Loess Plateau in China. The results showed that the accuracy of the model for predicting deep soil temperature proposed in this paper is higher than that of directly using environmental factors to predict deep soil temperature. In testing data, the range of MAE was 1.158–1.610 °C, the range of RMSE was 1.449–2.088 °C, the range of R² was 0.665–0.928, and the range of KGE was 0.708–0.885 at different depths. The study not only provides a critical reference for predicting soil temperature but also helps people to better carry out agricultural production activities.

The discharge process has undergone major changes in many river basins throughout the world as a result of the simultaneous influences of global climate change and human activity. Flow duration curves (FDCs) are crucial indicators of river basins’ hydrological processes. However, it is challenging to compare FDCs in a quantitative way. This study will identify the best function with which to fit the flow duration curve in a semi-arid region of North China, so as to quantify the FDC, and parameterize the function of the FDC of the region in order to describe the FDCs of ungauged basins. In this work, six small- and medium-sized catchments in North China are selected as the study area, and three functions, i.e., log normal, generalized Pareto and H2018 functions, were chosen to fit the FDC at nineteen hydrological stations. The relationship between the parameters of the FDC and the basin characteristics, such as the climatic factors and geographical features, were analyzed. A regression formula of the parameters of the FDC function was established, and its spatial and temporal distributions were examined. Based on the evaluation of four indicators, the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency, the root mean square relative error, the logarithmic Nash efficiency coefficient and the coefficient of determination, the results demonstrate that the H2018 function can match FDCs the best. Through the annual runoff, annual precipitation, precipitation in summer, potential evapotranspiration, catchment area, mean elevation, length of the main channel and maximum flow frequency, the parameters of a, b, and k in the H2018 function can be formulated. The regression formula constructed in this study can obtain a regional flow duration curve with satisfactory performance, which provides a reference for the validation of remote-sensing-based runoff data in ungauged regions.

Plant phenology is an important indicator of the impact of climate change on ecosystems. We have continuously monitored vegetation phenology using near-surface remote sensing, i.e., the PhenoCam in a gully region of the Loess Plateau of China from March 2020 to November 2022. In each image, three regions of interest (ROIs) were selected to represent different types of vegetation (scrub, arbor, and grassland), and five vegetation indexes were calculated within each ROI. The results showed that the green chromatic coordinate (GCC), excess green index (ExG), and vegetation contrast index (VCI) all well-captured seasonal changes in vegetation greenness. The PhenoCam captured seasonal trajectories of different vegetation that reflect differences in vegetation growth. Such differences may be influenced by external abiotic environmental factors. We analyzed the nonlinear response of the GCC series to environmental variables with the generalized additive model (GAM). Our results suggested that soil temperature was an important driver affecting plant phenology in the Loess gully region, especially the scrub showed a significant nonlinear response to soil temperature change. Since in situ phenology monitoring experiments of the small-scale on the Loess Plateau are still relatively rare, our work provides a reference for further understanding of vegetation phenological variations and ecosystem functions on the Loess Plateau.

Evapotranspiration (ET) is an important part of agricultural water consumption, yet little is known about nocturnal evapotranspiration (ETN) patterns. An eddy covariance system was used to observe ET over five consecutive years (2020–2024) during the growing season in a dry farming area of the Loess Plateau. Daytime and nocturnal evapotranspiration were partitioned using the photosynthetically active radiation threshold to reveal the changing characteristics of ETN at multiple time scales and its control variables. The results showed the following: (1) In contrast to the non-significant trend in ETN on the diurnal and daily scales, monthly ETN dynamics exhibited two peak fluctuations during the growing season. (2) The contribution of ETN to ET exhibited seasonal characteristics, being relatively low in summer, with interannual variations ranging from 10.9% to 14.3% and an annual average of 12.8%. (3) The half-hourly ETN, determined by machine learning methods, was driven by a combination of factors. The main driving factors were the difference between surface temperature and air temperature (Ts-Ta) and net radiation (Rn), which have almost equivalent contributions. Regression analysis results suggested that Ta was the main factor influencing ETN/ET at the monthly scale. This study focuses on the nighttime water loss process in dry farming fields in Northwest China, and the results provide a basis for rational allocation and efficient utilization of agricultural water resources in arid regions.