Engr. Muhammad Safdar

Mrs. Engr. Muhammad Safdar


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

4Years (2023-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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6 December 2023 in Engineering Proceedings
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MSMuhammad Safdar
Muhammad Safdar
MSMuhammad Adnan Shahid
Muhammad Adnan Shahid
Muhammad ZamanMuhammad Zaman
Muhammad Zaman
FRFahd Rasul
Fahd Rasul
ESEngr. Muhammad Safdar
Engr. Muhammad Safdar
UZUsman Zafar
Usman Zafar
Drought is a complex natural disaster with significant implications for agriculture, water resources, and socioeconomic development. Accurate and timely assessment of meteorological drought is crucial for effective management and mitigation strategies. Climate change has led to a rise in climatic anomalies, such as droughts, floods, heatwaves, and cold snaps, which have severe impacts on human well-being and societal patterns. Droughts, which are prolonged periods of limited or absent rainfall, pose significant challenges for sectors like agriculture, energy, and enterprises, especially in economically reliant countries with inadequate water management infrastructure. Drought indicators are essential in meteorology, agriculture, and hydrology for monitoring drought conditions. Accurate drought assessment relies on quantitative index-based comprehensive drought indices, such as India’s Aridity Anomaly Index (AAI), Deciles Index, Percent of Normal Index, Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), and the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). Drought management involves analyzing risk components and using analytical tools for decision making. A decision support system includes institutional, methodological, public, and operational components. Long-term actions include demand reduction through economic incentives, while short-term actions include increasing water supply through wastewater reutilization, inter-basin water conveyance, reservoir construction, and agricultural ponds. Impact minimization is achieved through educational initiatives, reallocating water resources, early warning systems, and insurance programs. Challenges include developing technologies to integrate data sources and create unified indicators, and geospatial decision-support systems facilitate hazard mapping and strategic drought management plans.

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Conference Paper
Open access
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ESEngr. Muhammad Safdar
Engr. Muhammad Safdar
Muhammad ZamanMuhammad Zaman
Muhammad Zaman
MSMuhammad Adnan Shahid
Muhammad Adnan Shahid
MSMuhammad Safdar
Muhammad Safdar
MMMuhammad Danish Majeed
Muhammad Danish Majeed
RSRehan Mehmood Sabir
Rehan Mehmood Sabir
In this study, we present a comprehensive and detailed analysis to identify and quantify spatial patterns of heavy, very heavy, and extremely heavy rainfall, as well as the trends that have developed over the past seven decades (1951 to 2020) of the monsoon months (June to September) under a warming scenario. We also project these extreme rainfall counts during the near (2036–2060) and late 21st century (2075–2099) for comparison to the historical period (1990–2014). The 5-day maximum rainfall over the provinces of Sindh and Baluchistan is currently about 75% more intense than it would have been without the climate warming by 1.2 °C, and the 60-day rainfall across the basin is currently about 50% more intense. This means that heavy rainfall is now more likely to occur. Due to the high-level of rainfall variability in the area, there is significant uncertainty regarding these estimations, and the causes of the observed changes are not just limited to climate change. However, most of the models and observations we have analyzed for the 5-day rainfall extreme indicate that severe rainfall has been heavier than Pakistan has warmed. According to some of these models, the intensity of the rainfall might have increased by 50% due to climate change under the 5-day event threshold. The model predicts that rainfall intensity will greatly rise in the future for the 5-day event in a climate that is 2 °C warmer than it was in pre-industrial times, while the uncertainty is still quite high for the 60-day monsoon rainfall.
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ARAamir Raza
Aamir Raza
MSMuhammad Adnan Shahid
Muhammad Adnan Shahid
MSMuhammad Safdar
Muhammad Safdar
Muhammad ZamanMuhammad Zaman
Muhammad Zaman
RSRehan Mehmood Sabir
Rehan Mehmood Sabir
MAMian Muhammad Ahmed
Mian Muhammad Ahmed
Land use and land cover (LULC) change is a major driver of environmental change in District Bahawalnagar, Punjab. LULC change can lead to changes in soil quality, water availability, and climate, all of which can affect crop yields. LULC change can also lead to the loss of agricultural land, forest land, water bodies, and an increment in urban land that causes climate change and affects the agricultural sector. The study area showed that in the last thirty years, the population increased, built-up land increased, and agricultural land dropped by 30%. The present status of knowledge is reviewed in this paper on the impact of LULC on agricultural production in District Bahawalnagar. The conversion of agricultural land to urban development in District Bahawalnagar has led to a decline in crop yields of an average of 10%. The production of wheat and rice, the two major crops grown in District Bahawalnagar, is influenced by LULC changes. This study also found that the loss of agricultural land has resulted in an increase in soil salinity, which has further reduced crop yields. The detrimental effects of LULC change on agricultural output in District Bahawalnagar can be mitigated by adopting sustainable land management practices. These practices include reforestation, conservation agriculture, and water conservation. The government of Pakistan can also play a role in mitigating the negative impacts of LULC change on agricultural production by developing and implementing land use plans that protect agricultural land from conversion to other uses. More research is required to fully comprehend the effects of LULC and develop effective management strategies. However, LULC is a major challenge that must be addressed if we are to ensure food security in the future.

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HKHira Khanam
Hira Khanam
SASikandar Ali
Sikandar Ali
Muhammad ZamanMuhammad Zaman
Muhammad Zaman
MSMuhammad Adnan Shahid
Muhammad Adnan Shahid
ESEngr. Muhammad Safdar
Engr. Muhammad Safdar
MMMuhammad Danish Majeed
Muhammad Danish Majeed
Freshwater scarcity is a global concern and is caused by the overuse of water, exceeding the sustainable level. In Pakistan, overpopulation, climate change alleviation, and economic development influence the asset of water. For water management, development, and conservation, policymakers need to formulate the right plans and projects. For this purpose, they need to evaluate the impact of different projects and plans and evaluate considerable data and information. Different tools are being adopted for integrated water resource management. Among them, WEAP is user-friendly, reliable, and efficient, and is used widely across the globe. It will aid the policymakers to develop suitable projects and plans. This study was carried out by using WEAP, in the Lower Bari Doab Canal command area (LBDC), Punjab, Pakistan. This study sheds light on the current water allocation situation and simulated scenarios of population growth rates and economic growth to evaluate the future water demand situation. The results of the current account year (2015) show that the domestic water demand of Okara (101.51 MCM) and the agricultural water demand (1713 MCM) of Sahiwal was seen to be the maximum among the four districts. Unmet demand was found to be maximum for the districts laying in the tail end (Sahiwal and Khanewal). The results of the scenarios show that, if the current water consumption, population growth, and economic development continue, unmet demand will increase in the future, and if the population grows at a higher rate and economic development increases, it will result in higher unmet water demand in the coming years. WEAP was found to be a user-friendly and efficient model to better understand water demand.