Anastasiya Baranyuk

Mrs. Anastasiya Baranyuk

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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26 December 2022 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
IGIrina Gurvich
Irina Gurvich
MPMikhail K Pichugin
Mikhail K Pichugin
ABAnastasiya Baranyuk
Anastasiya Baranyuk
Polar lows (PLs) are intense mesoscale weather systems that often cause severe storm winds in the Nordic Seas but were considered as being exceedingly rare in the Pacific Arctic region before sea ice decline. Here, we explore four PLs observed on 18–22 October 2017 in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas—an area with an exceptionally sparse observation network. The study is based on the combined use of the satellite microwave measurements, as well as infrared imagery, the ERA5, MERRA-2 and NCEP-CFSv2 reanalysis data sets. An unusually strong PLs pair developed near the marginal ice zone during a marine-cold air outbreak in anomalously low sea ice extent conditions. PLs pair moved southward as a mesocyclonic system called the “merry-go-round”, under the upper-level tropospheric vortex with a cold core. Multi-sensor satellite measurements show that, in the mature stage, a PL pair had near-surface wind speeds (W) close to hurricane force—over 30 m/s. Comparison analysis of W distributions within the strongest PL showed that all reanalysis data sets reasonably reproduce the PL median wind speed but underestimate its extreme values by 15–23%. The reanalysis data sets detected only two PLs with horizontal scales of over 220 km. Tracks of identified PLs for all data sets are in good agreement with the ones obtained from satellite images capturing the main features of the mesoscale weather system propagation. For the track of the strongest PL event, ERA5 exhibited the most accordance with satellite observations with a tracking error of 50–60 km.

30 October 2023 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MPMikhail K Pichugin
Mikhail K Pichugin
IGIrina Gurvich
Irina Gurvich
ABAnastasiya Baranyuk
Anastasiya Baranyuk
Here, we examine extreme ocean winds associated with intense wintertime extratropical windstorms over the North Pacific. The study was mainly based on NASA Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) L-band radiometer observations allowing the retrieval of ocean wind speeds up to 70 m/s regardless of precipitation intensity. Additionally, we assessed the ability of atmospheric reanalysis ERA5 and the Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) to reproduce high-wind features within severe windstorms, particularly those associated with “explosive” cyclogenesis. The analysis identified 145 windstorm events with hurricane-force (HF) wind zones within the SMAP L-band radiometer swath from 2015 to 2023. These windstorms develop most frequently over two areas: southeast of Kamchatka and south of Alaska, spanning 40–47°N latitudes. Both reanalysis datasets significantly underestimated HF wind speeds compared to SMAP measurements, but CFSv2 tends to reproduce more-intense windstorms than ERA5. Among the notable new findings is that the SMAP data revealed two distinct groups in maximum wind speed distribution, indicating the existence of a separate class of severe windstorm events with a distinct mechanism for extreme wind formation related probably to a Shapiro–Keyser cyclogenesis and the presence of sting jet (SJ) feature. The study highlights the potential of SMAP measurements to study wind extremes and underscores the need for improvements in operational predictive models to better reproduce the formation of SJ windstorms.

17 December 2024 in Climate
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MPMikhail K Pichugin
Mikhail K Pichugin
IGIrina Gurvich
Irina Gurvich
ABAnastasiya Baranyuk
Anastasiya Baranyuk
VKVladimir Kuleshov
Vladimir Kuleshov
EKElena Khazanova
Elena Khazanova
Freezing precipitation and the resultant ice glaze can have catastrophic impacts on urban infrastructure, the environment, forests, and various industries, including transportation, energy, and agriculture. In this study, we develop and evaluate regional algorithms for detecting freezing precipitations in the Far East, utilizing the ERA5 reanalysis dataset from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, along with standard meteorological observations for 20 cold seasons (September–May) from 2004 to 2024. We propose modified diagnostic algorithms based on vertical atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles, as well as near-surface characteristics. Additionally, we apply a majority voting ensemble (MVE) technique to integrate outputs from multiple algorithms, thereby enhancing classification accuracy. Evaluation of detection skills shows significant improvements over the original method developed at the Finnish Meteorological Institute and the ERA5 precipitation-type product. The MVE-based method demonstrates optimal verification statistics. Furthermore, the modified algorithms validly reproduce the spatially averaged inter-annual variability of freezing precipitation activity in both continental (mean correlation of 0.93) and island (correlation of 0.54) regions. Overall, our findings offer a more effective and valuable tool for operational activities and climatological assessments in the Far East.

30 October 2026 in Atmospheric Research
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MPMikhail Pichugin
Mikhail Pichugin
IGIrina Gurvich
Irina Gurvich
DSDmitry Stepanov
Dmitry Stepanov
ABAnastasiya Baranyuk
Anastasiya Baranyuk

20 July 2026 in SSRN Electronic Journal
Verified
Preprint
Open access
MPMikhail K Pichugin
Mikhail K Pichugin
IGIrina Gurvich
Irina Gurvich
DSDmitry Stepanov
Dmitry Stepanov
ABAnastasiya Baranyuk
Anastasiya Baranyuk
This study evaluates the ability of three global reanalyses, ERA5, CFSR/ CFSv2, and JRA-3Q to reproduce the occurrence, tracks, and intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs) entering the Sea of Japan from 2000 to 2024. The IBTrACS best-track archive was used as the reference dataset, and TC detec- tion in the reanalyses was performed with the TempestExtremes algorithm. For selected intense TC cases, satellite-derived wind speeds retrieved from passive and active microwave measurements were also used. All three reanal- yses reproduce the main track patterns of TC, with generally small position errors ranging from 30 to 50 km. However, they systematically underestimate TC intensity, especially for intense systems, likely due to the smoothed rep- resentation of the vortex inner core and associated pressure-wind gradients. ERA5 and JRA-3Q provide the most consistent estimates of minimum cen- tral pressure throughout the entire study period, whereas CFSv2 shows the best performance for maximum wind speeds after 2011 and more realistically reproduces storm- and typhoon-force winds in the satellite-validated cases. JRA-3Q achieves the highest categorical skill for TC intensity classification, while ERA5 shows limited utility for typhoon-intensity assessment in the Sea of Japan without bias correction.

27 September 2025 in Atmospheric Research
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
IGIrina Gurvich
Irina Gurvich
MPMikhail K Pichugin
Mikhail K Pichugin
ABAnastasiya Baranyuk
Anastasiya Baranyuk
EKElena Khazanova
Elena Khazanova