A landslide is one of the most destructive natural disasters in the world. The accurate modeling and prediction of landslide hazards have been used as some of the vital tools for landslide disaster prevention and control. The purpose of this study was to explore the application of coupling models in landslide susceptibility evaluation. This paper used Weixin County as the research object. First, according to the landslide catalog database constructed, there were 345 landslides in the study area. Twelve environmental factors were selected, including terrain (elevation, slope, slope direction, plane curvature, and profile curvature), geological structure (stratigraphic lithology and distance from fault zone), meteorological hydrology (average annual rainfall and distance to rivers), and land cover (NDVI, land use, and distance to roads). Then, a single model (logistic regression, support vector machine, and random forest) and a coupled model (IV–LR, IV–SVM, IV–RF, FR–LR, FR–SVM, and FR–RF) based on information volume and frequency ratio were constructed, and the accuracy and reliability of the models were compared and analyzed. Finally, the influence of environmental factors on landslide susceptibility under the optimal model was discussed. The results showed that the prediction accuracy of the nine models ranged from 75.2% (LR model) to 94.9% (FR–RF model), and the coupling accuracy was generally higher than that of the single model. Therefore, the coupling model could improve the prediction accuracy of the model to a certain extent. The FR–RF coupling model had the highest accuracy. Under the optimal model FR–RF, distance from the road, NDVI, and land use were the three most important environmental factors, ac-counting for 20.15%, 13.37%, and 9.69%, respectively. Therefore, it was necessary for Weixin County to strengthen the monitoring of mountains near roads and areas with sparse vegetation to prevent landslides caused by human activities and rainfall.

Vegetation indexes have been widely used to qualitatively and quantitatively evaluate vegetation cover and its growth vigor. To further extend the study of vegetation indexes, this paper proposes to study the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and specific driving mechanisms of vegetation indexes based on the example of Yunnan Province, China, and also adds the study of spatial and temporal prediction methods of vegetation indexes. This paper used data on this region’s normalized vegetation index (NDVI), three meteorological factors, and eight social factors from 1998 to 2019. The dynamic change in and driving mechanism of the NDVI were studied using mean value analysis, univariate linear trend regression analysis, and partial correlation analysis. In addition, the Fourier function model and the CA–Markov model were also used to predict the NDVI of Yunnan Province from 2020 to 2030 in time and space. The results show that: (1) The NDVI value in Yunnan Province is high, showing a significant growth trend. The increased vegetation coverage area has increased in the past 22 years without substantial vegetation degradation. (2) The positive promotion of meteorological factors is greater than the negative inhibition. The partial correlation of relative humidity among meteorological factors is the highest, which is the main driving factor. (3) The NDVI value is significantly positively correlated with population and economy and negatively correlated with pasture land and agricultural area. (4) The NDVI values are predicted well in time (R = 0.64) and space (Kappa = 0.8086 and 0.806), satisfying the accuracy requirements. This paper aims to enrich the theoretical and technical system of ecological environment research by studying the dynamic change, driving mechanism, and spatiotemporal prediction of the normalized vegetation index. Its results can provide the necessary theoretical basis for the simulation and prediction of vegetation indexes.

Exploring the spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics and coupling coordination relationship of the composite ecosystem of urban agglomerations is of great significance for promoting the synergistic sustainable development and integration construction of urban agglomerations. This paper is based on LUCC (Land Use and Land Cover Change) data, a DEM (Digital Elevation Model), and temperature, precipitation, and other multi-source data, using the central Yunnan urban agglomeration as an example and constructing a multi-dimensional evaluation index system highlighting development quality and efficiency. The entropy weight method was first used to determine the comprehensive weights to evaluate the regional economic and social development level. Then, the InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs) model was used to quantitatively calculate and analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the four key ecosystem services, evaluating the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the natural subsystem. The coupling coordination model was used to quantitatively analyze the evolution of the coupling coordination of the composite ecosystems in the central Yunnan urban agglomeration during the period of 2010–2020, and to reveal its development law. The results show the following: ➀ During the study period, the socio-economic subsystems in the central Yunnan urban agglomeration demonstrated an outward radiative growth from Kunming City, marked by underdeveloped sub-centers and prevalent low-level areas. ② Trends in ecosystem services varied, with water and soil conservation showing fluctuating increases, carbon sequestration remaining stable, and habitat quality declining. The critically important integrated ecosystem services zone of the natural subsystem is mainly located in the northeastern region and southwestern edge of the study area. ③ In 2020, the coupling coordination degree of the composite ecosystem was 0.9492. This showed that economic, social, and ecological subsystems are highly coupled, with consistent overall development trends and strong interactions. ④ The increase in the degree of harmonization amounted to 7.82%, with lagging subsystems varying in the degree of harmonization in subregions. This study can provide a scientific foundation for the development of policies for the Central Yunnan urban agglomeration, promoting regional sustainable development and optimizing the spatial pattern of the national territory.

Rapid urbanization has greatly altered urban ecological spaces and habitat quality functions, threatening regional biodiversity and the sustainability of landscapes. Therefore, constructing a comprehensive ecological network and ecological safety patterns is crucial for ecosystem management and regional development. However, simple quantification of ecological networks fails to meet the construction needs of ecological safety patterns, and most studies focus solely on network quantification analysis, thus overlooking the importance of spatial analysis. This study proposes a method of ecological network quantification assessment combined with hotspot analysis and coupled with standard deviational ellipse spatial analysis, which not only satisfies quantitative analysis but also adds spatial analysis methods, facilitating a more comprehensive construction of safety patterns. Firstly, through morphological spatial pattern analysis (MSPA) and landscape connectivity indices, ecological source areas in the main urban area of Kunming were identified, integrating various resistance factors and corrective factors to construct an ecological resistance surface. The minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model was used to identify potential ecological corridors, and their importance was evaluated using the gravity model, thus establishing an ecological network. Secondly, based on network structure indices, the ecological network was assessed and optimized. On this basis, combined with hotspot analysis coupled with standard deviational ellipse spatial analysis, an ecological safety pattern was constructed. The results show the following: the core area of the study region is 2402.28 km², accounting for 52.07% of the total area; there are 13 ecological source areas, totaling 2102.89 km², accounting for 45.58% of the total area; there are 178 potential ecological corridors, including 15 level-one ecological corridors and 19 level-two ecological corridors; and 103 ecological nodes, 70 “stepping stones”, and 48 ecological breakpoints were identified. In terms of ecological network optimization, six new ecological source areas were added, covering an area of 16.22 km², and the potential ecological corridors increased to 324, including 11 new level two ecological corridors, 51 new ecological nodes, 15 “stepping stones”, and 24 major ecological breakpoints. After optimization, the network closure index (α), network connectivity index (β), and network connectivity rate index (γ) improved by 15.16%, 24.56%, and 17.79%, respectively. Based on the network structure quantitative analysis and hotspot analysis coupled with the standard deviational ellipse’s spatial analysis, a “one axis, two belts, five zones” ecological safety pattern was constructed.

Land use conflict is an inevitable and objective phenomenon during regional development, with significant impacts on both regional economic growth and ecological security. Scientifically assessing the spatiotemporal evolution of these conflicts is essential to optimize land use structures and promote sustainable resource utilization. This study employs multi-period land use/land cover remote sensing data from China to develop a model for the measurement of land use conflict from the perspective of the landscape ecological risk. By applying the optimal landscape scale method to determine the most appropriate analysis scale, this research investigates the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of land use conflicts in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration from 2000 to 2020. Furthermore, by integrating the Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model with the Multi-Objective Programming (MOP) algorithm, this study simulates the spatial patterns of land use conflict in 2030 under four scenarios: Natural Development (ID), Economic Development (ED), Ecological Conservation (PD), and Sustainable Development (SD). The findings reveal that, from 2000 to 2020, the proportion of areas with strong and moderately strong conflict levels in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration increased by 2.19%, while the proportion of areas with weak and moderately weak conflict levels decreased by 1.45%, underscoring the growing severity of land use conflict. The predictions for 2030 suggest that the spatial pattern of conflict under various scenarios will largely reflect the trends observed in 2020. Under the ID scenario, areas with weak and moderately weak conflict levels constitute 57.5% of the region; this increases by 0.85% under the SD scenario. Conversely, areas experiencing strong and moderately strong conflict levels, which stand at 33.02% under the ID scenario, decrease by 1.04% under the SD scenario. These projections indicate that the SD scenario, which aims to balance ecological conservation with economic development, effectively mitigates land use conflict, making it the most viable strategy for future regional development.