Groundwater level dynamic monitoring data have the characteristics of spatio-temporal non-smoothness and strong spatio-temporal correlation. However, the current groundwater level prediction model is insufficient to consider the spatio-temporal factors of the groundwater level and the autocorrelation of spatio-temporal series, particularly the lack of consideration of hydrogeological conditions in the actual study area. Thus, this study constructed a model based on the hydrogeological conditions and the spatio-temporal characteristics of the dynamic monitoring data of groundwater in the porous confined aquifer III in Nantong, the northern wing of the Yangtze River Delta, China. The spatial autocorrelation coefficient of the hydrogeology important parameter, permeability coefficient K, is used to optimize the distance weighting coefficient of monitoring wells obtained by the K-nearest neighbor (KNN) algorithm and then reconstruct the spatio-temporal dataset and long short-term memory (LSTM) network. A spatio-temporal groundwater level prediction model LSTM-K-KNN that introduces the spatial autocorrelation of hydrogeological parameters was constructed. The reliability and accuracy of LSTM-K-KNN, LSTM, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, and support vector machine (SVM) were evaluated by a cross-validation algorithm. Results showed that the prediction accuracy of LSTM-K-KNN is 19.86, 43.64, and 52.38% higher than that of the other single prediction models (LSTM, ARIMA, and SVM).

Canopy fractional vegetation cover (FVCc) is a critical indicator for evaluating the effectiveness of ecological restoration, and its accurate estimation provides valuable data for regional ecological management. In this study, Sentinel-2 and MODIS data were integrated to develop an angular relationship model for MODIS reflectance, which was then used to estimate Sentinel-2 reflectance at a 45° viewing angle. Background reflectance at a 10 m spatial resolution was derived using a four-scale model, and total and shrub-herb fractional vegetation cover were estimated using a pixel dichotomy model. Finally, an empirical model tailored to the characteristics of the study area was developed to retrieve FVCc. Cross-validation results demonstrated that the multi-angle retrieval method proposed in this study achieved higher accuracy than the single-angle approach. The spatial distribution of FVCc in Changting County is characterized by higher values in peripheral areas and lower values in the central region. Temporal transitions among fractional vegetation cover classes were predominantly upward, indicating an overall trend of continuous improvement. These findings provide important technical support and a scientific basis for estimating and monitoring dynamic changes in forest canopy fractional vegetation cover.

Understory shrub–grass coverage is a key indicator of forest ecosystem structure and function, and its accurate retrieval via remote sensing is essential for regional ecological assessments. To address the critical limitation in existing multi-angle remote sensing inversion methods: high-resolution images lack angular information while multi-angle datasets suffer from low spatial resolution, making it difficult to achieve large-scale and fine-grained inversion of understory shrub–grass coverage. Here, we developed an inversion method for estimating understory shrub–grass coverage by integrating multi-angle Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer data with high-resolution Sentinel-2 imagery to produce 10 m resolution coverage maps; we then used this method to analyze spatiotemporal changes in Changting County from 2016 to 2025. The results demonstrated that the method achieved high accuracy (R² = 0.8418, RMSE = 0.07), meeting the requirements for quantitative understory shrub–grass coverage estimation. Understory shrub–grass coverage exhibited a concentric decreasing pattern from the surrounding mountainous areas toward the central plain, with high-coverage zones concentrated primarily in the west, southwest, and south. Over the 2016–2025 period, understory shrub–grass coverage displayed a fluctuating upward trend: approximately 60% of the study area showed improvement, while 37.73% experienced slight degradation. The change persistence was dominated by positive trends, with an area proportion of 54.14%, which was close to that of the anti-persistent type (44.87%). This study provides technical support for the high-resolution inversion of understory vegetation structure.

The forest understory litter fraction $\left({\mathrm{F}\mathrm{V}\mathrm{C}}_{\mathrm{y}}\right)$ is a critical indicator for evaluating the effectiveness of “understory erosion” control in red soil regions; however, its high-precision, large-scale monitoring remains challenging due to canopy occlusion. This study proposes an ${\mathrm{F}\mathrm{V}\mathrm{C}}_{\mathrm{y}}$ inversion framework that integrates high-spatial-resolution Sentinel-2 imagery with multi-angular prior knowledge from MODIS BRDF products. First, a linear mapping model between multi-band reflectances at 0° and 45° view angles was constructed using 500 m MODIS MCD43A1 products $(R^2>0.8)$. This model was subsequently employed as a physical prior for anisotropic characterization and transferred to 10 m Sentinel-2 imagery to generate a long-term, dual-angle reflectance dataset. Subsequently, the four-scale geometric-optical model was utilized to decouple canopy and understory background signals, followed by quantitative ${\mathrm{F}\mathrm{V}\mathrm{C}}_{\mathrm{y}}$ inversion using a pixel-based dimidiate model. Validation results confirmed the reliability of the framework $(R^2=0.74, RMSE=0.1073)$. Spatiotemporal evolution analysis indicated a significant upward trend in ${\mathrm{F}\mathrm{V}\mathrm{C}}_{\mathrm{y}}$ across Changting County from 2016 to 2025, with over 90% of the area showing improvement. The proportion of high-coverage areas $({\mathrm{F}\mathrm{V}\mathrm{C}}_{\mathrm{y}}>0.75)$ increased from 10% to 38%, exhibiting a “high in the center, low in the periphery” spatial pattern that aligns closely with core ecological restoration zones. Stability and persistence analyses further revealed that 61.18% of the study area reached moderate-to-high stability, and 70% of pixels exhibited a “positive persistence-improvement” trend, highlighting a pronounced inertia-driven enhancement in ecological recovery. This study provides a refined technical pathway for assessing soil and water conservation benefits in red soil regions.