The Caputo fractional-order differential operator is used in epidemiological models, but its accuracy benefits are typically ignored. We validated the suggested fractional epidemiological seasonal influenza model of the SVEIHR type to demonstrate the Caputo operator’s relevance. We analysed the model using fractional calculus, revealing its basic properties and enhancing our understanding of disease progression. Furthermore, the positivity, bounds, and symmetry of the numerical scheme were examined. Adjusting the Caputo fractional-order parameter = 0.99 provided the best fit for epidemiological data on infection rates. We compared the suggested model with the Caputo fractional-order system and the integer-order equivalent model. The fractional-order model had lower absolute mean errors, suggesting that it could better represent sickness transmission and development. The results underline the relevance of using the Caputo fractional-order operator to improve epidemiological models’ precision and forecasting. Integrating fractional calculus within the framework of symmetry helps us build more reliable models that improve public health interventions and policies.
The fundamental goal of this research is to suggest a novel mathematical operator for modeling visceral leishmaniasis, specifically the Caputo fractional-order derivative. By utilizing the Fractional Euler Method, we were able to simulate the dynamics of the fractional visceral leishmaniasis model, evaluate the stability of the equilibrium point, and devise a treatment strategy for the disease. The endemic and disease-free equilibrium points are studied as symmetrical components of the proposed dynamical model, together with their stabilities. It was shown that the fractional calculus model was more accurate in representing the situation under investigation than the classical framework at α = 0.99 and α = 0.98. We provide justification for the usage of fractional models in mathematical modeling by comparing results to real-world data and finding that the new fractional formalism more accurately mimics reality than did the classical framework. Additional research in the future into the fractional model and the impact of vaccinations and medications is necessary to discover the most effective methods of disease control.
26 September 2022 in Malaysian Journal of Mathematical Sciences
In this work, we investigate the effects of the contact rate between people on the covid-19 virus transmission through a susceptible-infected-treatment-recovered (SITR) fractional mathematical model. Several strategies are introduced, and the development methodology is constructed up in various cases based on the rate of individual contact, due to confinement and social distancing rules, which can be useful in reducing infection. The existence and uniqueness of the proposed model solution are established, as well as the basic reproduction number. The basic reproduction number has been used to control the dynamics of the fractional SITR model completely, which determines whether or not the infection is extinguished. The global stability of the infection-free balance and endemic equilibrium point of the proposed model has been fully established using the Lyapunov-LaSalle type theorem. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis is carried out to find out which parameter is the most dominant to affect the disease's endemicity and to see how changes in parameters affect Covid-19's beginning disease transmission. The fractional Adams-Bashforth method is used to compute an iterative solution to the model. Finally, using the model parameter values to explain the importance of the arbitrary fractional-order derivative, the numerical results using MATLAB are presented.
1 January 2024 in Applied Mathematics & Information Sciences