The objective of this work was to quantitatively evaluate the effect of Lactobacillus sakei CTC494 (sakacin-producing bioprotective strain) against Listeria monocytogenes in fish juice and to apply and validate three microbial interaction models (Jameson, modified Jameson and Lotka Volterra models) through challenge tests with gilthead sea bream (Sparus aurata) fillets under modified atmosphere packaging stored at isothermal and non-isothermal conditions. L. sakei CTC494 inhibited L. monocytogenes growth when simultaneously present in the matrix (fish juice and fish fillets) at different inoculation ratios pathogen:bioprotector (i.e. 1:1, 1:2 and 1:3). The higher the inoculation ratio, the stronger the inhibition of L. monocytogenes growth, with the ratio 1:3 yielding no growth of the pathogen. The maximum population density (N_max) was the most affected parameter for L. monocytogenes at all inoculation ratios. According to the microbiological and sensory analysis outcomes, an initial inoculation level of 4 log cfu/g for L. sakei CTC494 would be a suitable bioprotective strategy without compromising the sensory quality of the fish product. The performance of the tested interaction models was evaluated using the Acceptable Simulation Zone approach. The Lotka Volterra model showed slightly better fit than the Jameson-based models with 75-92% out of the observed counts falling into the Acceptable Simulation Zone, indicating a satisfactory model performance. The evaluated interaction models could be used as predictive modelling tool to simulate the simultaneous behaviour of bacteriocin-producing Lactobacillus strains and L. monocytogenes; thus, supporting the design and optimization of bioprotective culture-based strategies against L. monocytogenes in minimally processed fish products.

In this study, the growth of six L. monocytogenes strains isolated from different fish products was quantified and modeled in smoked salmon pâté at a temperature ranging from 2 to 20 °C. The experimental data obtained for each strain was fitted to the primary growth model of Baranyi and Roberts to estimate the following kinetic parameters: lag phase (λ), maximum specific growth rate (μ_max), and maximum cell density (N_max). Then, the effect of storage temperature on the obtained μ_max values was modeled by the Ratkowsky secondary model. In general, the six L. monocytogenes strains showed rapid growth in salmon pâté at all storage temperatures, with a relatively short lag phase λ, even at 2 °C. The growth behavior among the tested strains was similar at the same storage temperature, although significant differences were found for the parameters λ and μ_max. Besides, the growth variations among the strains did not follow a regular pattern. The estimated secondary model parameter T_min ranged from −4.25 to −3.19 °C. This study provides accurate predictive models for the growth of L. monocytogenes in fish pâtés that can be used in shelf life and microbial risk assessment studies. In addition, the models generated in this work can be implemented in predictive modeling tools and repositories that can be reliably and easily used by the fish industry and end-users to establish measures aimed at controlling the growth of L. monocytogenes in fish-based pâtés.